The Index

Four offseason signals — fan confidence, market expectations, portal balance, recruiting class — composited into one score per program. Not a power ranking. A momentum board.

Ole Miss

Leads the board — strongest in recruiting class

+80 pts

Northern Illinois

Fans rank Northern Illinois 80 percentile points higher than Vegas does this offseason

7/16

SEC

Programs in the top third of The Index — most of any conference

Fan belief 30% Market expectation 30% Portal balance 25% Recruiting class 15% ■ Top third ■ Bottom third

#	Program	Score	Fan belief	Market	Portal	Recruiting
1	Ole Miss SEC	81	78	75	88	89
2	Iowa Big Ten	79	87	66	87	73
3	Miami ACC	79	92	98	34	91
4	Wisconsin Big Ten	78	—	58	99	81
5	LSU SEC	77	73	87	61	93
6	Houston American Athletic	76	97	65	71	63
7	Virginia ACC	75	59	81	97	58
8	Virginia Tech ACC	75	95▲	56	76	72
9	Arizona Big 12	74	96	59	73	64
10	Miami (OH) Mid-American	73	100	71	64	40
11	NC State ACC	72	95▲	71	44	76
12	Texas SEC	72	70	96	30	100
13	Marshall Conference USA	71	94▼	69	82	13
14	Georgia SEC	70	—	94	25	99
15	Michigan Big Ten	69	91▲	89	4	96
16	Indiana Big Ten	68	29	97	81	66
17	Notre Dame FBS Independents	68	62▲	100	23	92
18	Baylor Big 12	67	93	42	62	74
19	Fresno State Mountain West	66	84	63	72	26
20	SMU American Athletic	66	66▲	90	32	78
21	Texas A&M SEC	66	23	92	71	94
22	Auburn SEC	65	79	44	54	95
23	Louisiana Sun Belt	65	90	68	46	42
24	Missouri SEC	65	62	50	75	86
25	BYU FBS Independents	64	65▲	84	41	61
26	Navy American Athletic	63	99	72	45	5
27	Northwestern Big Ten	63	74	32	92	53
28	Oklahoma SEC	63	88	74	6	88
29	UCLA Big Ten	63	38	56	100	67
30	Memphis American Athletic	62	37	70	85	57
31	North Dakota State MVFC	62	82	95	35	4
32	Ohio State Big Ten	62	—	95	1	98
33	Oregon Big Ten	62	59	98	1	97
34	Penn State Big Ten	62	—	89	12	90
35	South Florida American Athletic	62	20	91	84	53
36	James Madison CAA	61	31	86	90	22
37	Kansas Big 12	61	77▲	30	86	48
38	Air Force Mountain West	59	89	59	53	7
39	Alabama SEC	59	45	83	24	99
40	Texas Tech Big 12	59	2▲	99	74	66
41	Utah Big 12	59	34	93	40	72
42	Florida SEC	58	75	62	10	96
43	Kentucky SEC	58	71	16	79	80
44	Louisville ACC	58	63	68	43	51
45	Clemson ACC	57	55▲	61	39	82
46	Hawai'i Mountain West	57	41	64	95	10
47	Maryland Big Ten	57	88	17	54	82
48	Minnesota Big Ten	57	70▲	32	68	65
49	Western Michigan Mid-American	57	41	83	63	25
50	Arkansas SEC	56	84	11	65	77
51	East Carolina American Athletic	56	76	62	33	45
52	Utah State Mountain West	56	49	38	99	37
53	Liberty FBS Independents	55	3▼	88	88	38
54	New Mexico State FBS Independents	55	98	20	74	9
55	UTSA Conference USA	55	60▲	80	40	23
56	Washington Big Ten	55	48	82	15	84
57	Western Kentucky Conference USA	55	69	57	49	31
58	Missouri State MVFC	54	80	19	96	4
59	Nebraska Big Ten	54	45	50	52	85
60	San Diego State Mountain West	54	32	77	57	44
61	Tulsa American Athletic	54	98	35	43	21
62	Wake Forest ACC	54	58▲	39	66	55
63	Georgia Tech ACC	53	38	48	59	85
64	South Carolina SEC	53	9	53	83	88
65	UConn American Athletic	53	50	37	96	18
66	Arizona State Big 12	52	27	43	82	69
67	Colorado Big 12	52	46	14	91	74
68	Georgia Southern Sun Belt	52	83	14	67	42
69	UNLV Mountain West	52	28	80	60	31
70	Texas State Sun Belt	51	64	54	46	27
71	Jacksonville State OVC	50	25	67	78	20
72	TCU Big 12	50	30	53	50	83
73	USC Big Ten	50	24	92	7	91
74	Army FBS Independents	49	53	60	56	6
75	Boise State Mountain West	49	35▲	85	19	55
76	Pittsburgh ACC	49	30	76	32	64
77	Southern Miss Conference USA	49	66	8	94	24
78	Tennessee SEC	49	20	77	22	93
79	Mississippi State SEC	48	91	18	12	80
80	Troy Sun Belt	48	77	55	9	41
81	Tulane American Athletic	48	39	79	24	47
82	Illinois Big Ten	47	42	65	18	68
83	Purdue Big Ten	47	61	5	93	28
84	California Pac-12	46	44	44	47	50
85	North Texas Conference USA	46	19	51	90	19
86	UL Monroe Sun Belt	46	34	—	79	17
87	Toledo Mid-American	45	27	78	26	47
88	Cincinnati American Athletic	44	51	26	49	56
89	Florida Atlantic Conference USA	44	81	29	20	39
90	Florida State ACC	44	55▲	47	0	87
91	Kansas State Big 12	44	7▼	86	21	75
92	New Mexico Mountain West	43	11	73	70	0
93	Oklahoma State Big 12	43	68▲	33	14	62
94	Sacramento State Big Sky	43	52	23	76	8
95	Stanford Pac-12	42	80	8	27	60
96	Kennesaw State Big South	41	5▼	49	98	1
97	Sam Houston Southland	41	57	7	80	12
98	Old Dominion Conference USA	39	16	74	31	26
99	Wyoming Mountain West	39	13	41	69	36
100	Boston College ACC	38	67	2	35	58
101	Georgia State Sun Belt	38	54	15	36	52
102	Louisiana Tech Conference USA	38	72	31	15	20
103	Delaware CAA	37	5	46	85	3
104	Duke ACC	37	2▼	27	65	79
105	Massachusetts FBS Independents	37	22▼	—	77	1
106	West Virginia Big 12	37	26	41	28	69
107	Bowling Green Mid-American	36	86	12	8	32
108	Rutgers Big Ten	36	12	24	55	77
109	Washington State Pac-12	36	43	40	13	49
110	Iowa State Big 12	34	40▲	29	18	61
111	North Carolina ACC	34	47▲	21	11	71
112	Northern Illinois Mid-American	34	85	5	4	39
113	Ohio Mid-American	34	4	52	62	12
114	App State Sun Belt	33	48	—	26	16
115	Colorado State Mountain West	33	73	2	29	23
116	Temple American Athletic	33	14	35	68	11
117	UAB Conference USA	33	18▼	9	93	9
118	UCF American Athletic	33	17	36	42	43
119	Florida International Conference USA	32	23	47	21	35
120	Oregon State Pac-12	32	52▲	22	5	54
121	Michigan State Big Ten	31	56▲	17	2	59
122	Vanderbilt SEC	31	1	38	51	45
123	Buffalo Mid-American	30	9▼	26	58	34
124	Central Michigan Mid-American	29	—	45	17	18
125	San José State Mountain West	29	12	—	57	15
126	Ball State Mid-American	27	8	1	89	14
127	Syracuse ACC	26	15	23	16	70
128	Coastal Carolina Sun Belt	25	21	13	38	34
129	Middle Tennessee Conference USA	25	16	4	60	29
130	UTEP Conference USA	25	6	10	51	50
131	South Alabama Sun Belt	24	36	34	3	15
132	Eastern Michigan Mid-American	22	—	28	10	30
133	Kent State Mid-American	22	—	3	38	33
134	Nevada Mountain West	21	7▼	20	29	36
135	Rice Conference USA	21	10▼	6	48	28
136	Akron Mid-American	19	—	11	37	7
137	Arkansas State Sun Belt	16	0	25	7	46
138	Charlotte Conference USA	14	33	0	—	2

No programs match your search.

~ our read. Fan belief from r/cfb discourse analysis (CardiffNLP sentiment, percentile-ranked within FBS). Market = current median win total across major books. Portal balance = net talent-point delta from transfer activity. Recruiting = 2025 247Sports composite class rating. All dimensions normalized to 0–100 percentile rank within FBS. Composite = weight-renormalized mean of available signals. Conference labels reflect 2024–25 realignment. ▲▼ on fan belief = movement vs. prior week.