National signal
Fan Confidence Index
The aggregate mood of college football fandom. How bullish or bearish are fans across FBS, right now?
National fan confidence
Cautious
45/100 avg FBS percentile · 48 programs tracked
↑ +4.0 pts vs prior week
Coverage
48
FBS programs with sufficient data (≥20 mentions, most recent week)
By conference
| Conference |
Avg confidence |
Score |
Label |
Coverage |
| Big Ten | | 88 | Very bullish | 1 teams |
| Southland | | 81 | Very bullish | 1 teams |
| Mid-American | | 58 | Bullish | 3 teams |
| Pac-12 | | 56 | Cautious | 4 teams |
| FBS Independents | | 56 | Cautious | 2 teams |
| Big 12 | | 54 | Cautious | 2 teams |
| ACC | | 51 | Cautious | 4 teams |
| American Athletic | | 49 | Cautious | 4 teams |
| Sun Belt | | 45 | Cautious | 5 teams |
| SEC | | 40 | Mixed | 2 teams |
| Big South | | 38 | Mixed | 1 teams |
| CAA | | 38 | Mixed | 2 teams |
| Conference USA | | 37 | Mixed | 8 teams |
| Mountain West | | 32 | Mixed | 6 teams |
| MVFC | | 28 | Mixed | 2 teams |
| OVC | | 25 | Pessimistic | 1 teams |
The contrarian · this week
The market expects more from South Florida than their fans do right now
Vegas has them at 8.5 expected wins
— 98th percentile among FBS programs.
Their fans sit at just the 11th percentile in national fan confidence.
That 87-point gap between market and fanbase is the biggest in the dataset right now.
8.5
Vegas win total
11th
Fan confidence pct.
+87
Market–fan gap
South Florida full profile →
Fan confidence = FBS belief percentile from r/cfb + team fan forums, most-recent week with ≥20 mentions per program.
National score = weighted average by mention volume.
Conference averages weighted equally (one vote per tracked team).
Full methodology →
