CFB Index
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Akron

5-7 2025 final

Akron is the Mid-American program known for the zips.

The Zips bide their time.

Record
5-7
win% .416
SP+
-1.6
Bowl Odds
Needs 1
Year-over-Year
5 wins
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-win — basking
The Long Wait·Offseason

Akron enters the 2026 season at 5-7.

2025 Record5-7
offseason · quiet
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

2026 Preview Thesis 2026 Evidence-validated

Akron faces a high-volatility season with heavy roster turnover and limited returning production

The team returns just 37% of its roster, with significant transfer activity and a depth-ranked recruiting class (#128) impacting continuity.

  • Roster reloadAkron has a returning_total_pct of 37, with 15 transfers in and 18 out, leading to a reload_score of "Low continuity / heavy reload".
Data as of 2026-06-20 · Validated against program evidence

Offseason Pulse · Akron

Roster · Recruiting · Portal

Recruiting Class

#128 nationally

2025 cycle · 247 composite rating 87.4

Outside the recruiting top 60. Roster gaps must close via portal.

Returning Production

37%

2025 cycle · CFBD weighted

Heavy roster turnover. QB room mostly intact.

Talent Composite

#104 nationally

2025 cycle · 247 composite 537.2

Outside the talent top 60. The wins must be earned in development.

Portal Movement

15 in / 18 out

2026 cycle · in 15 / out 18

Incoming and outgoing movement are tracked separately in Roster Reload.

Akron · the story right now 1 storyline developing

What Akron's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

this cycle✓ factnew

Akron enters 2025 rated No. 117 in SP+ (-13.9).

why it mattersAkron enters 2025 at No. 117 in SP+ — Joe Moorhead's fourth season opens with a losing record and bottom-40% FBS talent, raising questions about progress.
narrative tension · our read

Roster Reload - Akron

2026 snapshot - 2026-06-21
Returning Production37%Low continuity / heavy reload
Portal Additions15Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses18Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#128Depth class (#128)
CBin 5 - Dawayne Galloway Jr.3.60out 2 - Elijah Reed3.50Need Filled
IOLin 3 - Nate Hampton3.30out 3 - Kenneth McManus IV3.60Downgrade
LBin 1 - Dwight Nunoo3.20out 3 - Markus Boswell3.50Starter Risk
TEin 1 - Wyatt Hook3.40out 3 - Jake Newell3.50Starter Risk
EDGEin 1 - Kurtis Waye1.00out 2 - Bruno Dall3.50Downgrade
DLin 1 - Vaughn Highland3.40out 2 - Julien Laventure3.30Downgrade

The Pulse on Akron

Archive · Late Spring · 600 mentions · medium confidence
67
Δ +4.1 vs last wk
600 mentions this week · conversation velocity

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Zips." — Akron fanbase · recurring line

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Akron

Bowl eligibility (6 wins)

The baseline goal for a program at this stage.

Beat a rival

The narrative win the season is graded by.

Statement year

Exceed last season by 2+ wins.

Conference championshipLocked

Out of reach without a transformative year.

Akron · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor3-9No postseason.
base5-7No postseason.
ceiling8-5Bowl game.

Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total3 booksO/U 4.5
CFP championship#132 in field+100000
MAC title#9 in market+1600

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22

Recruiting Reload - Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Semaj Beals
QB · Philadelphia, PA
#1320 national
★★★☆☆
Elzea Rollins
IOL · Indianapolis, IN
#1924 national
★★★☆☆
Lorvens Barthelemy
IOL · Pompano Beach, FL
#1924 national

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

5
OH · 2FL · 1IN · 1PA · 1

OH leads the 2026 class with 2 commits. National footprint reaching 4 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

40 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCAUTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKSARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSALGAAKHITXFL
Source CFB Index · player_recruiting_profiles
Act II

Who We Are

Program Prestige · Akron

Mid-Major Contender

Mid-Major Contender — G5 force with occasional national attention.

T1Regional
T2Mid-Major
T3Power
T4National
T5Blue Blood
T6Dynasty
T7All-Time

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Akron

CFB Index

#92

-1.6

SP+

#117

-13.9

FPI

#128

-17.6

Elo

#129

1101

SRS

#123

-14.6

The national models put Akron between 117th and 129th nationally — the CFB Index is higher on them than any of these models, at 92nd.

National rank of 136 FBS teams · 2025 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Index ranked by rating.

Most Similar Programs · Akron

Reads Like

Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.

Coaching Era · Akron

Joe Moorhead

Joe Moorhead has held the program for 4 seasons — the era is established.

Era Joe Moorhead · 2022–presentPrev: Oscar Rodriguez (2021)
4 years · era

Fanbase Health Index · Akron · medium confidence

Growing (63)

DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 5-7 (42% win rate)53
Volume — 127 effective signal-N72

Home-Field Advantage · Akron · 2018-present

Elite

36% home win rate vs 13% on the road. margin runs +14.2 better at home.

Home11-19Away5-31

Chronicle Visuals

5 deterministic SVG · provenance-gated
2026 preview

A heavy-turnover 2025: 37% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.

A heavy-turnover 2025: 37% returning (below average), with the offense the biggest question.Offense is the stress point for 2025. Source: CFB Index — returning production vs the FBS average (dashed = league avg) · 2025 · high confidenceRETURNING PRODUCTION · 2025A heavy-turnover 2025: 37% returning(below average), with the offense thebiggest question.QB roomQB room: 79% returning79%OffenseOffense: 37% returning37%OverallOverall: 37% returning37%▸ Offense is the stress point for 2025.Source: CFB Index — returning production vs the FBS average(dashed = league avg) · 2025 · high confidence
model-confident
2026 preview

The portal upgraded the CB room but opened a hole at LB.

The portal upgraded the CB room but opened a hole at LB.Net -3 · upgraded CB · hole at LB. Source: CFB Index — transfer portal in/out by position (count) · 2026 · 15 in / 18 out · high confidenceTRANSFER PORTAL · 2026The portal upgraded the CB room butopened a hole at LB.OUTINCBCB: 2 out2CB: 5 in5net +3DLDL: 2 out2DL: 1 in1net -1EDGEEDGE: 2 out2EDGE: 1 in1net -1IOLIOL: 3 out3IOL: 3 in3net 0KK: 1 out1net -1LBLB: 3 out3LB: 1 in1net -2OTOT: 1 out1net -1PP: 1 in1net +1QBQB: 1 in1net +1TETE: 3 out3TE: 1 in1net -2WRWR: 1 out1WR: 1 in1net 0▸ Net -3 · upgraded CB · hole at LB.Source: CFB Index — transfer portal in/out by position(count) · 2026 · 15 in / 18 out · high confidence
model-confident
2026 preview

Akron sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.

Akron sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.Talent 21th, draft yield 20th among 132 programs. Source: CFB Index — recruit talent vs draft-pick yield · 2025 · 132 programs · high confidenceAKRON · TALENT YIELDAkron sits where recruit talent anddraft yield largely match.Recruit talent (percentile) →Draft yield (percentile) →Georgia — 99 / 99 pctileBaylor — 73 / 35 pctileWashington State — 28 / 64 pctileCentral Michigan — 8 / 43 pctileOld Dominion — 7 / 51 pctileAkron — 21 / 20 pctileAkronWashington StateOld DominionCentral MichiganGeorgiaBaylor▸ Talent 21th, draft yield 20th among 132 programs.Source: CFB Index — recruit talent vs draft-pick yield ·2025 · 132 programs · high confidence
model-confident
2024 season

Calm on the surface in 2024 — but the weekly trend ran the wrong way.

Calm on the surface in 2024 — but the weekly trend ran the wrong way.calm on the surface, but trending the wrong way. Source: CFB Index — per-game power-rating swings · 2024 · 10 games · high confidenceTHE WEEK-TO-WEEK RIDE · 2024Calm on the surface in 2024 — but theweekly trend ran the wrong way.Game 1: -0.27 power swingGame 2: -0.27 power swingGame 3: -0.61 power swingGame 4: -0.61 power swingGame 5: -1.35 power swingGame 6: -1.35 power swingGame 7: -0.73 power swingGame 8: -0.73 power swingGame 9: -0.89 power swingGame 10: -0.89 power swing-1.3▲ stock-up week▼ stock-down week▸ calm on the surface, but trending the wrong way.Source: CFB Index — per-game power-rating swings · 2024 · 10games · high confidence
model-confident
2024 season

L 6-52 vs Ohio State leads the season's top 5 results by combined power and résumé delta.

L 6-52 vs Ohio State leads the season's top 5 results by combined power and résumé delta.L 6-52 vs Ohio State is the biggest mover. Source: CFB Index — results ranked by combined power + résumé impact · top 5 games · medium confidenceSTATEMENT WINS · TOP 5 RESULTSL 6-52 vs Ohio State leads the season'stop 5 results by combined power andrésumé delta.L 6-52 vs Ohio StateL 6-52 vs Ohio State — -0.27 résumé impactL 6-52 vs Ohio State — -0.27 résumé impact-0.27W 31-20 vs ColgateW 31-20 vs Colgate — -0.62 résumé impact-0.62L 7-50 vs South CarolinaL 7-50 vs South Carolina — -0.77 résumé impact-0.77L 10-30 vs OhioL 10-30 vs Ohio — -0.94 résumé impact-0.94L 17-49 vs RutgersL 17-49 vs Rutgers — -1.01 résumé impact-1.01▸ L 6-52 vs Ohio State is the biggest mover.Source: CFB Index — results ranked by combined power +résumé impact · top 5 games · medium confidence
solid read
How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
FOLLOWING NOW · AKRON · SEASON OUTLOOK Confidence

Akron enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Akron enters 2025 rated No. 117 in SP+ (-13.9). SP+ is a tempo-free efficiency model — it describes what the program HAS done. The season is the test of whether it's still true. The coverage is thin. Quiet preseasons end two ways.

CFB INDEX READ · our read
Akron enters 2025 at No. 117 in SP+ — Joe Moorhead's fourth season opens with a losing record and bottom-40% FBS talent, raising questions about progress.
Source of record: Akron enters 2025 rated No. 117 in SP+ (-13.9).

Every line is a door. Evidence opens in place — verbatim outlet headlines for news sources, verbatim fan text attributed to the community not the individual (never a username). Works with JavaScript off.

HOW EACH ROOM IS REACTING — TAP TO EXPAND
The Believers bullishThe Skeptics no dissentThe Boards thin
📣THE BELIEVERS0 bullish/recruiting items — the case it's working.

The optimistic read: recruiting wins, momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Minnesota Football 2026 Opponent Rankings: No. 11 Akron”
On3 · 2026-06-18 · read ↗
“Akron Zips (University of Akron)”
Transfermarkt · 2026-06-17 · read ↗
“Remember When: Ohio State’s Historic 2001 Season-Opening Victory Over Akron Kick-Started the Tressel Era”
Eleven Warriors · 2026-06-13 · read ↗
🧐THE SKEPTICSNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬THE BOARDS12 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 12 of 23 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"Hey all, Soon will begin graduate school at Akron and have just been given access to my Akron email. My undegrad institution also used an Outlook-based email system, but we also we"
r/uakron fan
"I’m looking into transferring to The University of Akron for computer science and was wondering what it’s actually like there socially and academically. Is it easy to meet people a"
r/uakron fan

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice. Per-event for/against lands when event-level sentiment coverage is wired.

Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Mixed

Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.

Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5

Season Standing · 2025 · 5-7

FBS sub-.500

Akron: Below .500 in FBS play. The rebuild bar.

Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff

Mid-American Standing · 2025

7th in the Mid-American

Akron is 7th of 13 in the Mid-American at 5-7. The path to the title is steep — the focus is on bowl access and rivalry wins.

#ProgramRecord
1Western Michigan10-4
2Ohio9-4
3Toledo8-5
4Sacramento State7-5
5Central Michigan7-6
6Miami (OH)7-7
7Akron5-7
8Buffalo5-7
9Kent State5-7
10Ball State4-8
11Bowling Green4-8
12Eastern Michigan4-8
13Massachusetts0-12

Schedule Strength · Akron · 2025

Soft

Average opponent win rate 41% across 12 finalized games. 1 AP top-25 opponent played (Nebraska).

Opp Win %0.412
Top-251
Top-100

Top Players · 2025

2025
1. Jordan Gant RB 1,032 yds (rush)
2. Shammond Cooper LB 66.0 tot (def)
3. Ben Finley QB 2,475 yds (pass)
4. Gage Summers LB 54.0 tot (def)
5. Marcel Williams WR 641 yds (rec)

Moment of the Year · Akron · 2025

Won 51-7 vs Duquesne

Week 4 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — Akron

2022: Lost 21-28 vs Central Michigan

In 2022, the program lost 21-28 vs Central Michigan — a close home result, 7 points either way.

Go Zips.