CFB Index
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

BYU

12-2 2025 final AP #12COACHES #13CFP #12

BYU is the program with a national title, a religious identity, and the longest patience in college football.

Cosmo is studying scripture.

Record
12-2
win% .857
SP+
+3.7
AP / Coaches
#12
Bowl Status
Eligible
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-win — basking
The Long Wait·Offseason

BYU is the program that won a national title in 1984, spent four decades in the wilderness waiting for a seat at the table, and in 2025 came within a Big 12 title game of cashing in the patience.

AP Poll#12 AP

BYU's 2025 season was one of the best in program history — 12-2 (8-1 Big 12), a run to the Big 12 Championship Game (a 34-7 loss to Texas Tech), and a Pop-Tarts Bowl win over Georgia Tech. Kalani Sitake, the alumnus head coach, wo…

offseason · active
Read the full program story ↓

BYU won a national title in 1984 from outside the traditional power structure, spent four decades in conference exile, and in 2025 went 12-2 in the Big 12 before a 34-7 title-game loss to Texas Tech ended the Playoff dream in the same night. The patience is not quite paid yet.

LaVell Edwards threw the ball when the rest of college football ran it. He built a passing dynasty in Provo — Ty Detmer's 1990 Heisman, Steve Young, Jim McMahon's Miracle Bowl, the 1984 national championship from outside the WAC's supposed ceiling — and gave BYU an identity inseparable from its faith: disciplined, principled, unconventional, patient. LaVell Edwards Stadium bears his name. The program he built is the reason 'Quarterback U' is a phrase. The LDS Church has a worldwide following, and the football team carries a recognizable place in it — 'Rise and Shout' rings in venues far from Provo, because returned missionaries end up everywhere.

Kalani Sitake, a BYU alum, turned down Penn State to stay in Provo after winning Big 12 Coach of the Year in 2025. That decision moved belief in the fanbase more than any recruiting class could. The 2025 Cougars went 12-2, finished 8-1 in the Big 12 in the regular season, and reached the conference championship — where a 34-7 blowout by Texas Tech ended the Playoff run before it started. Freshman QB Bear Bachmeier returns alongside Sitake, making the 2026 roster one of the youngest with the most upside in the league.

The 2026 question is the same one the Big 12 move was always going to ask eventually: can BYU win a Power-conference title outright, not just go 12-2 in the regular season? The drought since 1984 is real. The credentials to end it are the most legitimate they have been in forty years. The schedule will say whether 2025 was a near-miss or a preview.

How they play

The passing tradition, evolved: Sitake runs a pro-style framework rooted in Edwards' principles — quick reads, designed space for the QB, a philosophy that trusts the quarterback to distribute rather than overwhelm. Bear Bachmeier operates within structured dropback concepts with motion-generated openings. The Honor Code is structural to roster management; BYU recruits differently and doesn't apologize for it. Continuity and faith are the competitive advantages the program points to when asked why it plays on its own terms.

program outlook · as of 2026-06-14
How They Play · 2025

BYU fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.

OffenseStrong75th pct EPA/play · FBS
TempoMethodical, ball-control80th pct success, 17th explosiveness
DefenseElite85th pct EPA allowed · FBS
Defensive shapeBend-don't-break74th pct at limiting explosive plays

Identity computed from opponent-adjusted EPA, success rate, explosiveness, and run/pass volume — percentiles vs all FBS.

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

2026 Preview Thesis 2026 Evidence-validated

BYU's 2026 Season Projected to Reach 11-2 with High Confidence

BYU enters the 2026 season with a high continuity roster and a balanced transfer profile, positioning it for a strong bowl game performance.

  • Roster reloadBYU's returning total percentage is 87%, indicating strong continuity, while the team has a balanced portal churn with 9 transfers in and 13 out.
Data as of 2026-06-21 · Validated against program evidence

Offseason Pulse · BYU

Roster · Recruiting · Portal

Recruiting Class

#55 nationally

2025 cycle · 247 composite rating 197.2

Mid-major recruiting tier. Development becomes the lever.

Returning Production

87%

2025 cycle · CFBD weighted

Top-tier continuity. QB returns.

Talent Composite

#70 nationally

2025 cycle · 247 composite 649.4

Outside the talent top 60. The wins must be earned in development.

Portal Movement

9 in / 13 out

2026 cycle · in 9 / out 13

Incoming and outgoing movement are tracked separately in Roster Reload.

BYU · the story right now 2 storylines developing

What BYU's offseason is really about

the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?

dynastythis cycle✓ factnew

BYU has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 28% a year ago.

the contexta 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons
why it mattersSitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its title era, but the market projects just 8.5 wins this season.
narrative tension · our read
this cycle✓ factnew

BYU enters 2025 rated No. 18 in SP+ (+15.9).

the contexttop-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back
why it mattersBYU enters 2025 at No. 18 in SP+ — the 12-2 record under Kalani Sitake raises the question of whether top-quintile returning production can sustain this ceiling.
narrative tension · our read

The Offseason Ledger · BYU

3 verified moves · portal · recruiting · staff
  1. Recruiting

    Four-star IOL Bott Mulitalo commits 2026

    Interior line depth at this level doesn't just protect a quarterback — it controls tempo, and Mulitalo gives Sitake a road-grader who can anchor the middle when Big 12 fronts start selling out.

    CFBD
  2. Recruiting

    Four-star TE Brock Harris commits 2026

    Harris fills the mold Sitake's offense keeps going back to — a move tight end who can stress the seam and actually hold a block when the run game needs him.

    CFBD
  3. Recruiting

    Four-star QB Ryder Lyons commits 2026

    BYU lands its clearest signal yet that the post-Doman rebuild under Sitake is real — Lyons throws with anticipation, not reaction.

    CFBD

Roster Reload - BYU

2026 snapshot - 2026-06-21
Returning Production87%High continuity
Portal Additions9Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses13Primary pressure: OT
Draft Loss2NFL Draft departures (2)
Recruiting Reload#55Development class (#55)
OTin 1 - Jr Sia3.50out 3 - Ikinasio Tupou3.50Starter Risk
TEin 2 - Roger Saleapaga II4.12out 1 - Tucker Kelleher3.50Upgrade
LBin 2 - Cade Uluave4.50out 1 - Max Alford3.60Upgrade
CBin 1 - Jayven Williams3.50out 2 - Tayvion Beasley3.49Downgrade
WRin 1 - Kyler Kasper3.60out 2 - Dominique McKenzie3.49Downgrade
IOLin 2 - Paki Finau3.70out 0Need Filled
The Backometer™ how every fanbase reads →
UNEASY 51▲ 6.5 wk/wk
SO BACK ↑IT'S SO OVER ↓BASELINE · 50
n=491 fan conversations · 4 sources · sarcasm-adjusted · floor n≥200

The Pulse on BYU

Archive · Late Spring · 600 mentions · medium confidence
66
Δ +27.0 vs last wk
600 mentions this week · conversation velocity

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Cougs" — BYU fanbase · recurring line

Five Lenses

What people are saying right now

Diehard fan boards16 posts
What will the cut line be? No one’s scoring well outside of Clark

CougarBoard · 2d ago

The broader fanbase16 posts
If you could decide the schedule every year who would you schedule?

BYUFootball · 3d ago

CFB analyst takes5 posts
* Tech would've been favored without Sorsby

Bluesky · 1w ago

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · BYU

8 wins

Above the program's recent baseline.

Beat a top-10 opponent

Statement win that reshapes recruiting.

Conference championship game appearance

Plausible breakthrough.

NY6 bowlLocked

Beyond modern reach without a transformative year.

BYU · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor6-7Bowl game.
base9-4Bowl game.
ceiling11-2Bowl game.

Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total3 booksO/U 8.5
CFP championship#21 in field+7500
Big 12 title#2 in market+550

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22

Recruiting Reload - Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Ryder Lyons
QB · Folsom, CA
#38 national
★★★★☆
Brock Harris
TE · St. George, UT
#113 national
★★★★☆
Bott Mulitalo
IOL · American Fork, UT
#121 national

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

16
UT · 7CA · 2TX · 2AZ · 1CO · 1ID · 1OK · 1WA · 1

UT leads the 2026 class with 7 commits. National footprint reaching 8 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

69 signees across 14 states, 2023-2026. UT leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCAUTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKSARTNNCSCDCOKLAMSALGAAKHITXFL
Source CFB Index · player_recruiting_profiles
Act II

Who We Are

Program Prestige · BYU

National Program

National Program — sustained top-25 expectations across cycles.

Historical peak: Tier 5 · Blue Blood (1984 LaVell Edwards national championship). Current tier: Tier 4.

T1Regional
T2Mid-Major
T3Power
T4National
T5Blue Blood
T6Dynasty
T7All-Time

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank BYU

CFB Index

#24

+3.7

SP+

#18

+15.9

FPI

#17

+15.3

Elo

#25

1750

SRS

#14

+15.0

The national models put BYU between 14th and 25th nationally — the CFB Index agrees, slotting them 24th.

National rank of 136 FBS teams · 2025 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Index ranked by rating.

Most Similar Programs · BYU

Reads Like

Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.

Coaching Era · BYU

Kalani Sitake

Kalani Sitake has held the program for 6 seasons — the era is established.

Era Kalani Sitake · 2020–present
6 years · era

Rituals

Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.

Rise and Shout

since 1947

The fight song. The whole stadium stands and shouts on the chorus. Originated 1947, but the 1984 national-title run made it permanent. BYU fans on the road sing it louder than the home crowd.

Cosmo the Cougar

since 1953

Cosmo (1953-) became a viral mascot in the 2010s via gymnastic halftime routines and choreographed dance numbers. The most-followed CFB mascot on Instagram. Marketing department mostly carries the brand.

Honor Code Adherence

since 1949

BYU's Honor Code (no alcohol, no premarital sex, dress code, weekly church attendance for LDS students) shapes who recruits, who transfers in, and the program's national identity. Inseparable from the football product.

Fanbase Health Index · BYU · medium confidence

Growing (75)

DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 12-2 (86% win rate)77
Volume — 127 effective signal-N72
Fanbase Voice 839 fan mentions
Doomers
Optimism
18th
Joy
47th
Anger
88th
Doom
94th
Sarcasm
82nd
vs the 18 highest-volume fanbases - 2025 season

Home-Field Advantage · BYU · 2018-present

Strong

83% home win rate vs 65% on the road. margin runs +13.7 better at home.

Home31-6Away21-11

Statement Wins · 2025

6

6 wins over AP top-25 opponents. Headlined by #7 Georgia Tech.

#7 Georgia Tech#12 Iowa State#13 Utah#17 Cincinnati#21 Arizona+1 more

Chronicle Visuals

8 deterministic SVG · provenance-gated
2026 preview

Among the most continuous rosters into 2025 — 87% back, anchored by the qb room, only offense to settle.

Among the most continuous rosters into 2025 — 87% back, anchored by the qb room, only offense to settle.Offense is the stress point for 2025. Source: CFB Index — returning production vs the FBS average (dashed = league avg) · 2025 · high confidenceRETURNING PRODUCTION · 2025Among the most continuous rosters into2025 — 87% back, anchored by the qbroom, only offense to settle.QB roomQB room: 93% returning93%OffenseOffense: 87% returning87%OverallOverall: 87% returning87%▸ Offense is the stress point for 2025.Source: CFB Index — returning production vs the FBS average(dashed = league avg) · 2025 · high confidence
model-confident
2026 preview

The portal upgraded the IOL room but opened a hole at CB.

The portal upgraded the IOL room but opened a hole at CB.Net -4 · upgraded IOL · hole at CB. Source: CFB Index — transfer portal in/out by position (count) · 2026 · 9 in / 13 out · high confidenceTRANSFER PORTAL · 2026The portal upgraded the IOL room butopened a hole at CB.OUTINCBCB: 2 out2CB: 1 in1net -1DLDL: 1 out1net -1EDGEEDGE: 1 out1net -1IOLIOL: 2 in2net +2LBLB: 1 out1LB: 2 in2net +1OTOT: 3 out3OT: 1 in1net -2QBQB: 1 out1net -1RBRB: 1 out1net -1TETE: 1 out1TE: 2 in2net +1WRWR: 2 out2WR: 1 in1net -1▸ Net -4 · upgraded IOL · hole at CB.Source: CFB Index — transfer portal in/out by position(count) · 2026 · 9 in / 13 out · high confidence
model-confident
2026 preview

2 players drafted in 2026; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.

2 players drafted in 2026; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.2 drafted · 3 capital units. Source: CFB Index — round-weighted draft capital lost by position + portal answers · 2026 · medium confidenceNFL DRAFT · 20262 players drafted in 2026; the reloadruns through the portal and recruiting.LBLB: 1 pick1 pick+2 portalTETE: 1 pick1 pick+2 portal▸ 2 drafted · 3 capital units.Source: CFB Index — round-weighted draft capital lost byposition + portal answers · 2026 · medium confidence
solid read
2026 preview

BYU sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.

BYU sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.Talent 47th, draft yield 57th among 132 programs. Source: CFB Index — recruit talent vs draft-pick yield · 2025 · 132 programs · high confidenceBYU · TALENT YIELDBYU sits where recruit talent and draftyield largely match.Recruit talent (percentile) →Draft yield (percentile) →Georgia — 99 / 99 pctileBaylor — 73 / 35 pctileWashington State — 28 / 64 pctileCentral Michigan — 8 / 43 pctileOld Dominion — 7 / 51 pctileBYU — 47 / 57 pctileBYUWashington StateOld DominionCentral MichiganGeorgiaBaylor▸ Talent 47th, draft yield 57th among 132 programs.Source: CFB Index — recruit talent vs draft-pick yield ·2025 · 132 programs · high confidence
model-confident
2024 season

A roller-coaster 2024 — big weekly swings, but the ride trended upward.

A roller-coaster 2024 — big weekly swings, but the ride trended upward.wild week to week — but the arrow keeps pointing up. Source: CFB Index — per-game power-rating swings · 2024 · 10 games · high confidenceTHE WEEK-TO-WEEK RIDE · 2024A roller-coaster 2024 — big weeklyswings, but the ride trended upward.Game 1: -2.12 power swingGame 2: -2.12 power swingGame 3: +1.72 power swingGame 4: +1.72 power swingGame 5: +1.44 power swingGame 6: +1.44 power swingGame 7: +1.66 power swingGame 8: +1.66 power swingGame 9: +1.30 power swingGame 10: +1.30 power swing-2.1▲ stock-up week▼ stock-down week▸ wild week to week — but the arrow keeps pointing up.Source: CFB Index — per-game power-rating swings · 2024 · 10games · high confidence
model-confident
2024 season

W 18-15 vs SMU moved the résumé more than the next 4 wins combined.

W 18-15 vs SMU moved the résumé more than the next 4 wins combined.W 18-15 vs SMU is the biggest mover. Source: CFB Index — results ranked by combined power + résumé impact · top 5 games · medium confidenceSTATEMENT WINS · TOP 5 RESULTSW 18-15 vs SMU moved the résumé morethan the next 4 wins combined.W 18-15 vs SMUW 18-15 vs SMU — +3.47 résumé impactW 18-15 vs SMU — +3.47 résumé impact+3.47W 38-9 vs Kansas StateW 38-9 vs Kansas State — +2.29 résumé impact+2.29W 34-28 vs BaylorW 34-28 vs Baylor — +2.19 résumé impact+2.19W 34-14 vs WyomingW 34-14 vs Wyoming — +2.03 résumé impact+2.03W 41-13 vs Southern IllinoisW 41-13 vs Southern Illinois — -2.12 résumé impact-2.12▸ W 18-15 vs SMU is the biggest mover.Source: CFB Index — results ranked by combined power +résumé impact · top 5 games · medium confidence
solid read
2024 season

Dillon Gabriel leads the 2024 Heisman race in the opening read.

Dillon Gabriel leads the 2024 Heisman race in the opening read.Dillon Gabriel opens at 84% finalist odds. Source: CFB Index — Heisman standings · 2024 Wk 16 · opening snapshot · top 8 · high confidenceHEISMAN RACE · 2024 WK 16Dillon Gabriel leads the 2024 Heismanrace in the opening read.finalist odds#1Dillon GabrielDillon Gabriel — #1 · 84% finalist odds84%#2Cameron WardCameron Ward — #2 · 73% finalist odds73%#3Jalen MilroeJalen Milroe — #3 · 41% finalist odds41%#4Kevin JenningsKevin Jennings — #4 · 29% finalist odds29%#5Kurtis RourkeKurtis Rourke — #5 · 34% finalist odds34%#6Quinn EwersQuinn Ewers — #6 · 31% finalist odds31%#7Shedeur SandersShedeur Sanders — #7 · 22% finalist odds22%#8Jake RetzlaffJake Retzlaff — #8 · 25% finalist odds25%▸ Dillon Gabriel opens at 84% finalist odds.Source: CFB Index — Heisman standings · 2024 Wk 16 · openingsnapshot · top 8 · high confidence
model-confident
2024 season

BYU clears both the committee case and the model — in the bracket on every read.

BYU clears both the committee case and the model — in the bracket on every read.Résumé 98th vs model 82th among 25 at-large teams. Source: CFB Index — committee résumé vs model power · 2024 Wk 16 · 25 teams · high confidenceBYU · CFP BUBBLE WALLBYU clears both the committee case andthe model — in the bracket on everyread.Résumé (committee case) →Power (model) →Texas — 94 / 98 pctileMiami — 90 / 86 pctileIndiana — 86 / 90 pctileOhio State — 74 / 94 pctileBYU — 98 / 82 pctileBYUTexasOhio StateIndianaMiami▸ Résumé 98th vs model 82th among 25 at-large teams.Source: CFB Index — committee résumé vs model power · 2024Wk 16 · 25 teams · high confidence
model-confident
THE SAVANT CARD · BYU · 2025

BYU reads strongest in passing epa allowed (top 14%) and epa allowed (top 16%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where BYU sits at the 16th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.22
75th
Success Rate +0.46
80th
Explosive Plays +1.18
17th
Rushing EPA +0.17
74th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.05
85th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
74th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.20
74th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.12
87th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.30
62nd
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.02
79th
ELITE · 90+STRONG · 70+AVERAGE · 40-70CONCERN · 10-40BOTTOM · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · opponent-adjusted · 14 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 139 FBS peers
Rent free · r/cfb fan posts, last season
BYU fans this offseason 45% of posts bring up another team▼5pp quieter#17 of 34 saltiest · mostly about Utah
Who BYU fans can’t stop bringing up
  1. Utah26%
  2. Kansas4%
  3. Tulane4%
  4. Coastal Carolina3%
  5. UCF2%
share of BYU’s football posts that mention each team
BYU lives rent-free in
  1. Notre Dame5%
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up BYU
How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
FOLLOWING NOW · BYU · PROGRAM POWER Confidence

The arrow is pointing up for BYU — the data backs it.

BYU has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 28% a year ago. It is a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons. This is a three-year structural read, not a single result. Power ratings reward the recent past — the question is whether the schedule lets it register as wins outside the model.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers14 bull takes
DEVELOPING1 new this week
todayFour-star TE Brock Harris commits 2026
last weekFour-star IOL Bott Mulitalo commits 2026
4 weeks agoFour-star QB Ryder Lyons commits 2026
CFB INDEX READ · our read
Sitake's 26-11 run has BYU in dynasty-caliber territory for the first time since its title era, but the market projects just 8.5 wins this season.
Source of record: BYU has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 8% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 28% a year ago — a 26-11 record over the last three regular seasons.

Every line is a door. Evidence opens in place — verbatim outlet headlines for news sources, verbatim fan text attributed to the community not the individual (never a username). Works with JavaScript off.

HOW EACH ROOM IS REACTING — TAP TO EXPAND
The Believers bullishThe Skeptics no dissent
📣THE BELIEVERS14 bullish/recruiting items — the case it's working.

The optimistic read: recruiting wins, momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“BYU football game plan target - Kedrick Reescano, Arizona Wildcats”
USA Today · 2026-06-22 · read ↗
“Three-star two-way talent Jaxson Rex commits to BYU football”
roundtable.io · 2026-06-22 · read ↗
“BYU football gets commitments from a family legacy recruit and a kicker/punter during a big recruiting weekend”
Deseret News · 2026-06-21 · read ↗
🧐THE SKEPTICSNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

FOLLOWING NOW · BYU · SEASON OUTLOOK Confidence

BYU is a ranked program entering 2025. The tape backs it.

BYU enters 2025 rated No. 18 in SP+ (+15.9). It is top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back. SP+ is a tempo-free efficiency model — it describes what the program HAS done. The season is the test of whether it's still true. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers14 bull takes
💬 fans: 9% volume · negative overall
DEVELOPING1 new this week
todayFour-star TE Brock Harris commits 2026
last weekFour-star IOL Bott Mulitalo commits 2026
4 weeks agoFour-star QB Ryder Lyons commits 2026
CFB INDEX READ · our read
BYU enters 2025 at No. 18 in SP+ — the 12-2 record under Kalani Sitake raises the question of whether top-quintile returning production can sustain this ceiling.
Source of record: BYU enters 2025 rated No. 18 in SP+ (+15.9) — top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back.

Every line is a door. Evidence opens in place — verbatim outlet headlines for news sources, verbatim fan text attributed to the community not the individual (never a username). Works with JavaScript off.

HOW EACH ROOM IS REACTING — TAP TO EXPAND
The Believers bullishThe Skeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
📣THE BELIEVERS14 bullish/recruiting items — the case it's working.

The optimistic read: recruiting wins, momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“BYU football game plan target - Kedrick Reescano, Arizona Wildcats”
USA Today · 2026-06-22 · read ↗
“Three-star two-way talent Jaxson Rex commits to BYU football”
roundtable.io · 2026-06-22 · read ↗
“BYU football gets commitments from a family legacy recruit and a kicker/punter during a big recruiting weekend”
Deseret News · 2026-06-21 · read ↗
🧐THE SKEPTICSNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬THE BOARDS9% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (62%).

This event was in 78 of 856 board posts (9%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Did anyone watch the video? He has 2 classes left to graduate. If he decides to go back to BYU, would they even let him in? Sucks that he was so close… I’ve heard of academic proba"
r/BYUFootball fan
"I’m sure some of you listen to Pardon My Take as it is the biggest sports podcast. Today’s episode featured Roger Bennet talking about the World Cup. He mused on which traditions f"
r/BYUFootball fan

Board health this week (32 posts): 31% positive · 19% neutral · 50% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Warming

Four of five. The board favors this trend.

Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2

Season Standing · 2025 · 12-2 · CFP #12 / AP #12

Top 15

BYU: Top 15 nationally. NY6-bowl conversation.

Sub-FBSBuildingBowlRankedContenderPlayoff

Big 12 Standing · 2025

1st in the Big 12

BYU sits at the top of the Big 12 at 12-2. Everyone else is chasing.

#ProgramRecord
1BYU12-2
2Texas Tech12-2
3Utah11-2
4Houston10-3
5Arizona9-4
6TCU9-4
7Iowa State8-4
8Arizona State8-5
9Cincinnati7-6
10Kansas State6-6
11Baylor5-7
12Kansas5-7
13UCF5-7
14West Virginia4-8
15Colorado3-9
16Oklahoma State1-11

Schedule Strength · BYU · 2025

Brutal

Average opponent win rate 54% across 13 finalized games. 7 AP top-25 opponents played (Georgia Tech, Utah, TCU +4 more).

Opp Win %0.546
Top-257
Top-102

Top Players · 2025

2025
1. LJ Martin RB 1,305 yds (rush)
2. Faletau Satuala S 79.0 tot (def)
3. Parker Kingston WR 924 yds (rec)
4. Bear Bachmeier QB 3,033 yds (pass)
5. Chase Roberts WR 802 yds (rec)

NFL Draft Pipeline

2022–2026

Developing

7 picks last 5 cycles. Pipeline emerging.

7 picks · 0 R1
#63 Kingsley Suamataia Offensive Tackle · 2024 · Kansas City
#106 Blake Freeland Offensive Tackle · 2023 · Indianapolis
#151 Tyler Allgeier Running Back · 2022 · Atlanta

Moment of the Year · BYU · 2025

Postseason · Won 25-21 vs Georgia Tech

Week 18 of 2025. Postseason win — the season-defining moment.

Postseasonvs AP #24

Bowl / Postseason Ledger

Recent postseason (2022-2025): 3-0

Most recent: 2025 — win 25-21 (home). Last 5 postseason: 3-0.

202520242022

From the Archive — BYU

2024: Won 38-9 vs Kansas State

In 2024, the program won 38-9 vs Kansas State — a blowout home result that left the 29-point margin on the books.

Rise and Shout. The 1984 stays on the wall.