CFB IndexWhere every team stands · what every fanbase thinks

FBS CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

American Athletic

#7 overall#7 in FBSRR50 +13.6Upper strength +17.014 teamsTop 25 teams 2

THE LONG WAIT · 2025

After the Raid

After losing UCF, Cincinnati, and Houston to the Big 12 in 2023 — the three programs it spent a decade building into Power-adjacent contenders — the AAC rebuilt around service academies and Gulf Coast programs that stayed. Army joined in 2024, joining Navy and Air Force already in the league. Tulane won the Cotton Bowl in January 2023 and reached the Rose Bowl the following year. The conference has no pretension about being Power Five. It has a very specific identity instead.

With Army, Navy, and Air Force all in the same conference, the AAC now plays the only annual Army-Navy-Air Force round-robin in FBS history. Can that military-academy identity become the conference's brand — and does Tulane or Memphis claim the role of civilian anchor?

FBS14 teamsRace: CFP Access

American Athletic · 2026 Season Preview

Three Things to Watch

The StandardTulane's Cotton Bowl Era Is Still Going

Tulane won the Cotton Bowl after the 2022 season and reached the Rose Bowl the following January — two New Year's Six bowls in consecutive years as an AAC program. They enter 2026 as the conference's highest-rated team and the one program that has consistently proven the AAC can play at the New Year's Six level even without its most famous former members.

The ChallengerMemphis: Built for This Conference

Memphis has the recruiting footprint — a major city, a strong basketball brand that carries football, and a pipeline to skill players from the mid-South — to win the AAC every year. They went 10-2 in 2025. The program that can't quite make the leap into CFP territory but is consistently dangerous in December is still valuable. In the AAC's new format, Memphis might be the most important program for the conference's long-term stability.

The StorylineArmy-Navy-Air Force All in the Same League

The three service academy programs now play each other every year in a conference context — the only such arrangement in FBS history. Navy's option offense, Army's commitment to the wishbone, Air Force's triple-option system: three teams with distinct identities and shared cultures playing meaningful games against each other before they play Army-Navy in December. The format is unlike anything else in college football. Fans who have never watched the AAC have a reason to start.

Conference Standings · American Athletic · 2025

Standings

# Team Conf Overall Pwr Last 5
1Navy8–111–2+16.3
2Tulane8–111–3+15.8
3North Texas7–212–2+19.1
4South Florida6–29–4+18.7
5East Carolina6–29–4+16.9
6Memphis4–48–5+13.8
7UTSA4–47–6+17.1
8Army4–57–6+15.9
9Temple3–55–7+10.6
10Florida Atlantic3–54–8+10.8
11Rice2–65–8+6.8
12UAB2–64–8+9.2
13Tulsa1–74–8+11.4
14Charlotte0–81–11+6.1

Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.

Projected Standings · American Athletic · 2026

Win Projection

Preseason model — odds of winning at least N conference games, from current power ratings. Tiers rank projected strength; AVG = expected conference wins.

# Team W–L PWR AVG ≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1North Texas5–3+5.65.331744739198
2South Florida5–3+5.24.92113362859699
3UTSA5–3+3.64.7192855809499
Challengers
4East Carolina5–3+3.45.02123564869799
5Navy5–3+2.94.71103058829599
6Army5–3+2.44.5172451779399
7Tulane4–4+2.44.4162148759298
The Field
8Memphis4–4+0.44.031437658797
9Tulsa4–4-2.13.6282653799499
10Temple4–4-2.93.6172452799499
11Florida Atlantic3–5-2.73.2141740699099
Rebuilding
12UAB3–5-4.33.031334638798
13Rice2–6-6.62.62824528096
14Charlotte2–6-7.42.62723507996

Conference Power · FBS

Where We Stand

# Conference Avg Power vs Focal Top Team
1SEC
+15.1
2–6Ole Miss
2Big Ten
+14.8
1–1Indiana
3ACC
+14.4
2–5Miami
4Big 12
+14.2
3–2Texas Tech
5American AthleticYou are here
+13.6
North Texas
6Mountain West
+13.3
5–0San Diego State
7Sun Belt
+13.2
6–4James Madison
8Mid-American
+12.7
3–0Toledo
9Conference USA
+12.4
1–2Western Kentucky

Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = American Athletic's record vs. that conference across all games this season.

Championship market · 2025

Aac Title odds

#TeamBest oddsBooks
1Navy+3106bk
2UTSA+4506bk
3Army+5756bk
4Tulane+5506bk
5Memphis+6006bk
6South Florida+7006bk
7East Carolina+7506bk
8North Texas+18006bk
9Florida Atlantic+16006bk
10Temple+18006bk
11Tulsa+18006bk
12Rice+40006bk
13UAB+80006bk
14Charlotte+100006bk

Sportsbook consensus — best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22 · American odds (e.g. +450 means bet $100 to win $450)

American Athletic is outperforming its raw power profile. The league body of work is stronger than the market would expect.

Conference Snapshot

RR50+13.6
Upper Strength+17.0
Median Power+14.5
Resume Pulse72.3
Avg ATS53.0%
Wins vs Market+0.25
Top-to-Middle Gap4.2
Combined Record97-82

American Athletic Team Board

The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.

Rank Team Record Power Resume ATS Wins vs Market Recent Form
#12 North Texas 12-2 +19.1 99 10-4 +1.35 3-1 over the last 4 (W13 W14 L15 W18)
#16 South Florida 9-4 +18.7 95 8-4 +0.14 2-2 over the last 4 (L12 W13 W14 L16)
#26 UTSA 7-6 +17.1 86 7-6 -0.79 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 L14 W18)
#28 East Carolina 9-4 +16.9 93 8-4 +1.04 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 L13 W14 W18)
#35 Navy 11-2 +16.3 98 5-8 +2.49 4-0 over the last 4 (W12 W14 W16 W18)
#41 Army 7-6 +15.9 83 7-6 -0.39 2-2 over the last 4 (L13 W14 L16 W18)
#43 Tulane 11-3 +15.8 97 6-7 +2.37 3-1 over the last 4 (W13 W14 W15 L17)
#74 Memphis 8-5 +13.8 88 8-5 -1.12 0-4 over the last 4 (L11 L12 L14 L16)
#124 Tulsa 4-8 +11.4 48 6-6 -0.39 2-2 over the last 4 (L11 W12 W13 L14)
#144 Florida Atlantic 4-8 +10.8 54 7-5 -0.64 1-3 over the last 4 (W11 L12 L13 L14)
#149 Temple 5-7 +10.6 66 7-5 +0.06 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L13 L14)
#188 UAB 4-8 +9.2 39 4-8 +0.09 1-3 over the last 4 (L11 L12 L13 W14)
#230 Rice 5-8 +6.8 48 5-8 +0.46 1-3 over the last 4 (W11 L13 L14 L18)
#237 Charlotte 1-11 +6.1 16 5-6 -1.24 0-4 over the last 4 (L11 L12 L13 L14)

Biggest Risers

Rank movement since the most recent refresh.

Biggest Faders

Teams whose stock dropped most since the last refresh.

Wins vs Market

Win total minus the market's implied expectation, by team.

TeamWins vs MarketSample
Navy+2.4913 lined games
Tulane+2.3714 lined games
North Texas+1.3514 lined games
East Carolina+1.0413 lined games
Rice+0.4613 lined games

Depth & Parity

How wide the league's power spread runs from top to bottom.

Top Rank#12 North Texas
Bottom Rank#237 Charlotte
Top-to-Middle Gap4.2
Power Spread4.1
Top 25 Teams2
Top 100 Teams8