FBS CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON

SEC

#1 overall#1 in FBSRR50 +15.1Upper strength +17.516 teamsTop 25 teams 5

THE LONG WAIT · 2025

The Standard

The SEC placed Indiana, Tennessee, and three others in the 2025 CFP field and came away with Indiana's first national title — the conference's ninth in eleven years. No other conference has touched the College Football Playoff at this rate.

Can anyone break the SEC's stranglehold on the CFP, or does the bracket look the same in 2026?

FBS16 teamsRace: CFP Access

SEC · 2026 Season Preview

Three Things to Watch

The Defending StandardIndiana Enters 2026 as National Champions

Indiana won their first national title in program history and now return to a conference that produced that title. Every team on their 2026 schedule has the Hoosiers circled. Whether they can defend — or whether this was a one-year peak — defines the SEC narrative before Week 1.

The ChallengerCan Georgia Reclaim the Conference?

Georgia won back-to-back CFP titles in 2022-23 and still holds the SEC's second-highest power rating entering 2026. They didn't lose the conference because of talent — they lost it because the schedule caught up with them. The 2026 Georgia-Indiana game may be the conference's defining moment.

The Wild CardOle Miss's Offensive Floor Is a Ceiling Problem

Ole Miss finished with the SEC's highest yards-per-play average in 2025 and a power rating that doesn't match their offensive production. If they can build a defense that holds in November, their offense is capable of a title run that nobody is currently projecting.

Conference Standings · SEC · 2025

Standings

#	Team	Conf	Overall	Pwr
1	Ole Miss	8–1	13–2	+20.0
2	Texas A&M	7–1	11–2	+17.2
3	Georgia	8–2	12–2	+19.2
4	Alabama	8–2	11–4	+16.5
5	Vanderbilt	6–2	10–3	+17.9
6	Texas	6–2	10–3	+17.2
7	Oklahoma	6–3	10–3	+16.0
8	Tennessee	4–4	8–5	+15.8
9	Missouri	4–4	8–5	+15.6
10	LSU	3–5	7–6	+13.9
11	Kentucky	2–6	5–7	+12.7
12	Florida	2–6	4–8	+12.4
13	Auburn	1–7	5–7	+15.1
14	Mississippi State	1–7	5–8	+10.6
15	South Carolina	1–7	4–8	+13.9
16	Arkansas	0–8	2–10	+12.5

Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.

Projected Standings · SEC · 2026

Win Projection

Preseason model — odds of winning at least N conference games, from current power ratings. Tiers rank projected strength; AVG = expected conference wins.

#	Team	W–L	PWR	AVG	≥9	≥8	≥7	≥6	≥5	≥4	≥3	≥2	≥1
Favorites
1	Ole Miss	6–3	+4.6	5.5	1	8	25	51	76	92	98	✓	✓
2	Georgia	5–4	+3.8	5.3	1	6	21	46	71	89	97	✓	✓
3	Vanderbilt	5–4	+2.5	5.1	1	4	16	39	65	85	96	99	✓
Challengers
4	Texas A&M	5–4	+1.8	4.9		4	14	35	62	83	95	99	✓
5	Texas	5–4	+1.8	4.9		3	14	35	61	83	95	99	✓
6	Alabama	5–4	+1.1	4.7		3	11	30	56	79	93	99	✓
7	Tennessee	5–4	+0.4	4.7		2	11	29	55	79	93	99	✓
8	Oklahoma	5–4	+0.6	4.7		2	11	29	55	79	93	99	✓
The Field
9	Missouri	5–4	+0.2	4.6		2	10	28	54	78	93	99	✓
10	Auburn	4–5	-0.3	4.4		1	7	22	47	73	90	98	✓
11	South Carolina	4–5	-1.5	4.4		1	7	22	46	72	90	98	✓
12	LSU	4–5	-1.5	4.2		1	5	18	40	67	87	97	✓
13	Kentucky	4–5	-2.7	3.9		1	4	13	33	59	82	95	99
Rebuilding
14	Arkansas	4–5	-2.9	3.8		1	3	12	31	57	81	95	99
15	Florida	4–5	-3.0	3.6			2	10	27	52	78	93	99
16	Mississippi State	3–6	-4.8	3.4			2	7	22	46	73	91	99

Conference Power · FBS

Where We Stand

#	Conference	Avg Power	vs Focal	Top Team
1	SECYou are here	+15.1	—	Ole Miss
2	Big Ten	+14.8	3–4	Indiana
3	ACC	+14.4	6–8	Miami
4	Big 12	+14.2	3–1	Texas Tech
5	American Athletic	+13.6	6–2	North Texas
6	Mountain West	+13.3	3–0	San Diego State
7	Sun Belt	+13.2	9–0	James Madison
8	Mid-American	+12.7	6–0	Toledo
9	Conference USA	+12.4	5–0	Western Kentucky

Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = SEC's record vs. that conference across all games this season.

Championship market · 2025

Sec Title odds

#	Team	Best odds	Books
1	Georgia	+260	6bk
2	Texas	+265	6bk
3	Texas A&M	+800	6bk
4	Alabama	+800	6bk
5	LSU	+600	6bk
6	Ole Miss	+800	6bk
7	Oklahoma	+1200	6bk
8	Tennessee	+1700	6bk
9	Florida	+1600	6bk
10	Missouri	+3000	6bk
11	Auburn	+3000	6bk
12	South Carolina	+4000	6bk
13	Vanderbilt	+8000	6bk
14	Kentucky	+12500	6bk
15	Arkansas	+20000	6bk
16	Mississippi State	+20000	6bk

Sportsbook consensus — best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22 · American odds (e.g. +450 means bet $100 to win $450)

SEC carries real selection-room weight with 5 teams inside the top 25 and Ole Miss driving a legitimate national ceiling.

Conference Snapshot

RR50+15.1

Upper Strength+17.5

Median Power+15.3

Resume Pulse85.6

Avg ATS47.0%

Wins vs Market-0.32

Top-to-Middle Gap4.3

Combined Record125-83

League Drivers

Power leader Ole Miss #8 overall | +20.0 pts vs avg Resume leader Ole Miss #8 overall | 100 / 100 resume ATS leader Vanderbilt 76.9% cover rate Beat expectation Ole Miss +2.47 wins vs market

SEC Team Board

The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.

Rank	Team	Record	Power	Resume	ATS	Wins vs Market	Recent Form
#8	Ole Miss	13-2	+20.0	100	9-6	+2.47	3-1 over the last 4 (W14 W17 W18 L19)
#10	Georgia	12-2	+19.2	99	6-8	+1.15	3-1 over the last 4 (W13 W14 W15 L18)
#18	Vanderbilt	10-3	+17.9	97	10-3	+1.76	3-1 over the last 4 (W11 W13 W14 L18)
#23	Texas A&M	11-2	+17.2	99	5-8	+1.30	2-2 over the last 4 (W12 W13 L14 L17)
#25	Texas	10-3	+17.2	96	5-8	+0.86	3-1 over the last 4 (L12 W13 W14 W18)
#32	Alabama	11-4	+16.5	97	8-5	+0.31	2-2 over the last 4 (W14 L15 W17 L18)
#39	Oklahoma	10-3	+16.0	97	7-6	+0.99	3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 W14 L17)
#44	Tennessee	8-5	+15.8	90	5-8	-1.24	2-2 over the last 4 (W12 W13 L14 L18)
#46	Missouri	8-5	+15.6	90	6-6	-0.46	2-2 over the last 4 (W12 L13 W14 L18)
#54	Auburn	5-7	+15.1	83	4-7	-2.05	1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L11 W13 L14)
#71	LSU	7-6	+13.9	87	4-9	-0.94	2-2 over the last 4 (W12 W13 L14 L18)
#73	South Carolina	4-8	+13.9	74	6-6	-2.00	1-3 over the last 4 (L10 L12 W13 L14)
#89	Kentucky	5-7	+12.7	70	5-7	-1.00	2-2 over the last 4 (W11 W12 L13 L14)
#96	Arkansas	2-10	+12.5	64	4-8	-4.12	0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L12 L13 L14)
#97	Florida	4-8	+12.4	61	5-7	-2.06	1-3 over the last 4 (L11 L12 L13 W14)
#148	Mississippi State	5-8	+10.6	66	7-5	-0.10	0-4 over the last 4 (L11 L12 L14 L19)

Biggest Risers

Rank movement since the most recent refresh.

Biggest Faders

Teams whose stock dropped most since the last refresh.

ATS Leaders

Who beat the number most often this season.

Team	Cover Rate	Record
Vanderbilt	76.9%	10-3 ATS
Alabama	61.5%	8-5 ATS
Ole Miss	60.0%	9-6 ATS
Mississippi State	58.3%	7-5 ATS
Oklahoma	53.8%	7-6 ATS

Wins vs Market

Win total minus the market's implied expectation, by team.

Team	Wins vs Market	Sample
Ole Miss	+2.47	15 lined games
Vanderbilt	+1.76	13 lined games
Texas A&M	+1.30	13 lined games
Georgia	+1.15	14 lined games
Oklahoma	+0.99	13 lined games

Depth & Parity

How wide the league's power spread runs from top to bottom.

Top Rank#8 Ole Miss

Bottom Rank#148 Mississippi State

Top-to-Middle Gap4.3

Power Spread2.5

Top 25 Teams5

Top 100 Teams15