DII CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
Lone Star
THE LONG WAIT · 2025
Texas Standard
The Lone Star Conference is the largest DII conference footprint by geography — stretching from Texas through Oklahoma and New Mexico. Texas A&M-Commerce won the DII national championship in 2017, Texas A&M-Kingsville won it multiple times in the 1990s, and Angelo State regularly challenges for the Super Region title. The LSC has produced more NFL draft picks in the last decade than most FCS conferences and operates in the shadow of a state that treats football as religion at every level.
With Tarleton State now in FCS and Texas A&M-Commerce's national championship years behind them, which Lone Star program carries the conference's national profile in 2026?
Conference Standings · Lone Star · 2025
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Washington | 9–0 |
| 2 | UT Permian Basin | 7–2 |
| 3 | Western Oregon | 7–2 |
| 4 | West Texas A&M | 7–2 |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Kingsville | 4–5 |
| 6 | Angelo State | 3–5 |
| 7 | Eastern New Mexico | 3–6 |
| 8 | Midwestern State | 3–6 |
| 9 | Western New Mexico | 1–8 |
| 10 | Sul Ross State | 0–8 |
Conference record determines Super Region seeding. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average.
Projected Standings · Lone Star · 2025
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥9 | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | |||||||||||||
| 1 | Western Oregon | 6–3 | +4.3 | 5.5 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 52 | 77 | 92 | 98 | ✓ | ✓ |
| 2 | Central Washington | 5–4 | +4.2 | 5.4 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 48 | 73 | 90 | 98 | ✓ | ✓ |
| Challengers | |||||||||||||
| 3 | UT Permian Basin | 5–4 | +1.9 | 5.0 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 63 | 85 | 96 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 4 | West Texas A&M | 5–4 | +0.7 | 4.7 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 56 | 80 | 93 | 99 | ✓ | |
| 5 | Texas A&M-Kingsville | 5–4 | +0.8 | 4.6 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 54 | 78 | 93 | 99 | ✓ | |
| The Field | |||||||||||||
| 6 | Eastern New Mexico | 4–5 | -1.8 | 4.2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 67 | 87 | 97 | ✓ | |
| 7 | Angelo State | 4–5 | -1.6 | 4.1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 65 | 86 | 97 | ✓ | |
| 8 | Sul Ross State | 4–5 | -2.0 | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 36 | 62 | 84 | 96 | ✓ | |
| Rebuilding | |||||||||||||
| 9 | Midwestern State | 4–5 | -2.3 | 3.9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 61 | 83 | 96 | 99 | |
| 10 | Western New Mexico | 4–5 | -4.2 | 3.6 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 52 | 77 | 93 | 99 | ||
Conference Power · Division II
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SIAC | |
| 2 | GLIAC | |
| 3 | CIAA | |
| 4 | Great Lakes | |
| 5 | Gulf South | |
| 6 | South Atlantic | |
| 7 | Northeast 10 | |
| 8 | Lone StarYou are here | |
| 9 | Northern Sun | |
| 10 | Rocky Mountain | |
| 11 | Carolinas | |
| 12 | Great Midwest Athletic | |
| 13 | Mountain East | |
| 14 | Mid America | |
| 15 | Pennsylvania State Athletic | |
| 16 | Great American |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Lone Star's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
Lone Star is outperforming its raw power profile. The league body of work is stronger than the market would expect.
League Drivers
Lone Star Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #273 | Western Oregon | 8-3 | +2.9 | 54 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 W11 L12) |
| #274 | Central Washington | 10-2 | +2.7 | 87 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 W12 L13) |
| #296 | UT Permian Basin | 11-3 | +0.5 | 82 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W13 W14 L15) |
| #319 | Texas A&M-Kingsville | 5-6 | -0.6 | 40 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 W12) |
| #324 | West Texas A&M | 8-4 | -0.8 | 48 | -- | +0.00 | 4-0 over the last 4 (W10 W11 W12 W15) |
| #371 | Angelo State | 6-5 | -3.1 | 59 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 L12) |
| #374 | Eastern New Mexico | 3-8 | -3.2 | 20 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 L12) |
| #382 | Sul Ross State | 0-11 | -3.5 | 2 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 L12) |
| #389 | Midwestern State | 3-8 | -3.7 | 14 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 W12) |
| #435 | Western New Mexico | 2-9 | -5.7 | 5 | -- | +0.00 | 0-4 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 L12) |