GREAT AMERICAN CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Harding University
Rank #318
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Harding University fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Quiet Professional
Primary: 72% confidence
Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 17 · @ Ferris State
Week 7 · @ Southeastern Oklahoma State
Week 8 · @ Henderson State
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -0.6
Currently -0.6 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 92
Body of work: best signal lost to Ferris State 21-42. Closest call beat UT Permian Basin 34-28. 92nd percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
3-1 over the last 4 (W13 W14 W15 L17)
Last four games: 3-1 over the last 4 (W13 W14 W15 L17). Resume is 39 points ahead of power through the most recent season — results are outpacing the underlying strength rating.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 14-0. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#318
Inside DII#51 of 163
Inside Great American#1 of 12
Power-0.6pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume9292nd percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborMary Hardin-Baylor
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -10
#317 CSU Pueblo
DII | Rocky Mountain
Overall Behind
Power -0.1 | Resume -52
#319 Texas A&M-Kingsville
DII | Lone Star
DII Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -10
#317 CSU Pueblo
DII | Rocky Mountain
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.4 | Resume -36
#315 Mary Hardin-Baylor
DIII | American Southwest
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 14-0 in 14 gamesPlayoff 1-1 in 2 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 14-0 | 14 |
| Playoff | 1-1 | 2 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 17
Playoff
@ Ferris State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-14.58
Power
+1.35
Resume
-0.95
Postgame
-13.23
Week 15
Regular Season
vs UT Permian Basin
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.17
Power
-0.23
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-14.41
Week 14
Regular Season
vs Pittsburg St
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.13
Power
-0.04
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-14.17
Week 13
Playoff
vs Northwest Missouri St
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.28
Power
+0.15
Resume
+0.06
Postgame
-14.13
Week 12
Regular Season
@ Arkansas Tech
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.91
Power
+0.62
Resume
+0.05
Postgame
-14.28
Week 11
Regular Season
@ Southern Nazarene
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.23
Power
+0.32
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-14.91
Week 10
Regular Season
vs Oklahoma Baptist
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.58
Power
+0.35
Resume
+0.06
Postgame
-15.23
Week 9
Regular Season
vs Arkansas-Monticello
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.86
Power
+0.28
Resume
+0.03
Postgame
-15.58
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Henderson State
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.84
Power
+0.98
Resume
+0.13
Postgame
-15.86
Week 7
Regular Season
@ Southeastern Oklahoma State
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.87
Power
+1.03
Resume
+0.12
Postgame
-16.84
Week 6
Regular Season
vs East Central (OK)
Result
Win
Pregame
-18.71
Power
+0.84
Resume
+0.13
Postgame
-17.87
Week 5
Regular Season
vs Ouachita Baptist
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.29
Power
+0.58
Resume
+0.03
Postgame
-18.71
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Southern Arkansas
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.90
Power
+0.60
Resume
+0.14
Postgame
-19.29
Week 3
Regular Season
vs Southwestern Oklahoma State
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.24
Power
+0.34
Resume
-0.10
Postgame
-19.90
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Northwestern Oklahoma State
Result
Win
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
Week 1
Regular Season
@ Kutztown University
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.88
Power
+0.55
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-20.32
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 13, 2025 | @ Kutztown University DII | Regular Season | W 49-27 | -- | -- | -- | -20.88 | +0.55 | +0.00 | -20.32 |
| 2 | Sep 4, 2025 | @ Northwestern Oklahoma State DII | Regular Season | W 49-7 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 3 | Sep 12, 2025 | vs Southwestern Oklahoma State DII | Regular Season | W 55-0 | -- | -- | -- | -20.24 | +0.34 | -0.10 | -19.90 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Southern Arkansas DII | Regular Season | W 31-12 | -- | -- | -- | -19.90 | +0.60 | +0.14 | -19.29 |
| 5 | Sep 28, 2025 | vs Ouachita Baptist DII | Regular Season | W 24-7 | -- | -- | -- | -19.29 | +0.58 | +0.03 | -18.71 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | vs East Central (OK) DII | Regular Season | W 65-0 | -- | -- | -- | -18.71 | +0.84 | +0.13 | -17.87 |
| 7 | Oct 9, 2025 | @ Southeastern Oklahoma State DII | Regular Season | W 35-7 | -- | -- | -- | -17.87 | +1.03 | +0.12 | -16.84 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | @ Henderson State DII | Regular Season | W 35-10 | -- | -- | -- | -16.84 | +0.98 | +0.13 | -15.86 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | vs Arkansas-Monticello DII | Regular Season | W 55-0 | -- | -- | -- | -15.86 | +0.28 | +0.03 | -15.58 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | vs Oklahoma Baptist DII | Regular Season | W 69-0 | -- | -- | -- | -15.58 | +0.35 | +0.06 | -15.23 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | @ Southern Nazarene DII | Regular Season | W 52-14 | -- | -- | -- | -15.23 | +0.32 | +0.07 | -14.91 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ Arkansas Tech DII | Regular Season | W 47-13 | -- | -- | -- | -14.91 | +0.62 | +0.05 | -14.28 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | vs Northwest Missouri St DII | Playoff | W 38-16 | -- | -- | -- | -14.28 | +0.15 | +0.06 | -14.13 |
| 14 | Nov 29, 2025 | vs Pittsburg St DII | Regular Season | W 37-21 | -- | -- | -- | -14.13 | -0.04 | +0.07 | -14.17 |
| 15 | Dec 6, 2025 | vs UT Permian Basin DII | Regular Season | W 34-28 | -- | -- | -- | -14.17 | -0.23 | +0.11 | -14.41 |
| 17 | Dec 20, 2025 | @ Ferris State DII | Playoff | L 21-42 | -- | -- | -- | -14.58 | +1.35 | -0.95 | -13.23 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|