ROCKY MOUNTAIN CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Chadron St
Rank #284
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Chadron St fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Quiet Professional
Primary: 72% confidence
Fanbases with no delusions. They know exactly who their team is: good enough to win 8-10 games, not good enough to win it all. They are at peace with this.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“We know what we are”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
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Week 1 · @ Northern Colorado
Week 8 · @ Fort Lewis
Week 2 · @ Nebraska-Kearney
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
20th pct
Defense
8th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.01 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
87th pct
Defense
100th pct
Adjusted values: -0.00 offense, -0.01 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
2nd pct
Defense
96th pct
Adjusted values: +0.02 offense, -0.02 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
16th pct
Defense
89th pct
Adjusted values: -0.00 offense, -0.01 defense
Sample: 1 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power +1.0
Currently +1.0 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 100th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 57
Body of work: best signal lost to Northern Colorado 3-17. Closest call lost to Nebraska-Kearney 21-41. 57th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 L13)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 L13). Power and resume are essentially aligned through the most recent season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 8-3. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#284
Inside DII#19 of 163
Inside Rocky Mountain#1 of 10
Power+1.0pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume5757th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborHardin-Simmons
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +28
#283 West Florida
DII | Gulf South
Overall Behind
Power -0.1 | Resume -25
#285 Edward Waters
DII | SIAC
DII Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +28
#283 West Florida
DII | Gulf South
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power -0.6 | Resume +15
#299 Hardin-Simmons
DIII | American Southwest
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 8-3 in 11 gamesPlayoff 0-1 in 1 game
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 8-3 | 11 |
| Playoff | 0-1 | 1 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 13
Playoff
@ Pittsburg St
Result
Loss
Pregame
-11.59
Power
+0.08
Resume
-0.04
Postgame
-11.51
Week 12
Regular Season
@ CSU Pueblo
Result
Loss
Pregame
-11.75
Power
+0.16
Resume
-0.08
Postgame
-11.59
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Western Colorado
Result
Win
Pregame
-11.97
Power
+0.22
Resume
+0.01
Postgame
-11.75
Week 10
Regular Season
@ South Dakota Mines
Result
Win
Pregame
-12.84
Power
+0.87
Resume
+0.08
Postgame
-11.97
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Fort Lewis
Result
Win
Pregame
-14.57
Power
+1.86
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-12.72
Week 7
Regular Season
vs New Mexico Highlands
Result
Win
Pregame
-15.51
Power
+0.94
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-14.57
Week 6
Regular Season
@ Adams State
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.63
Power
+1.12
Resume
+0.15
Postgame
-15.51
Week 5
Regular Season
vs Colorado Mesa
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.98
Power
+0.35
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-16.63
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Colorado School Of Mines
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.48
Power
+0.50
Resume
+0.17
Postgame
-16.98
Week 3
Regular Season
vs Black Hills State
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.32
Power
-0.16
Resume
+0.45
Postgame
-17.48
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Nebraska-Kearney
Result
Loss
Pregame
-15.96
Power
-1.36
Resume
-0.46
Postgame
-17.32
Week 1
Regular Season
@ Northern Colorado
Result
Loss
Pregame
-18.81
Power
+2.85
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-15.96
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30, 2025 | @ Northern Colorado FCS | Regular Season | L 3-17 | -- | -- | -- | -18.81 | +2.85 | +0.00 | -15.96 |
| 2 | Sep 7, 2025 | @ Nebraska-Kearney DII | Regular Season | L 21-41 | -- | -- | -- | -15.96 | -1.36 | -0.46 | -17.32 |
| 3 | Sep 14, 2025 | vs Black Hills State DII | Regular Season | W 31-28 | -- | -- | -- | -17.32 | -0.16 | +0.45 | -17.48 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Colorado School Of Mines DII | Regular Season | W 34-28 | -- | -- | -- | -17.48 | +0.50 | +0.17 | -16.98 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | vs Colorado Mesa DII | Regular Season | W 34-27 | -- | -- | -- | -16.98 | +0.35 | +0.07 | -16.63 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | @ Adams State DII | Regular Season | W 45-2 | -- | -- | -- | -16.63 | +1.12 | +0.15 | -15.51 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | vs New Mexico Highlands DII | Regular Season | W 37-20 | -- | -- | -- | -15.51 | +0.94 | +0.07 | -14.57 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | @ Fort Lewis DII | Regular Season | W 41-0 | -- | -- | -- | -14.57 | +1.86 | +0.11 | -12.72 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ South Dakota Mines DII | Regular Season | W 35-10 | -- | -- | -- | -12.84 | +0.87 | +0.08 | -11.97 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Western Colorado DII | Regular Season | W 27-24 | -- | -- | -- | -11.97 | +0.22 | +0.01 | -11.75 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ CSU Pueblo DII | Regular Season | L 27-30 | -- | -- | -- | -11.75 | +0.16 | -0.08 | -11.59 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | @ Pittsburg St DII | Playoff | L 17-21 | -- | -- | -- | -11.59 | +0.08 | -0.04 | -11.51 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|