CFB Index
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

North Dakota

8-6 2025 final

North Dakota is the Fighting Hawks with a new head coach — Eric Schmidt's first year replacing Bubba Schweigert, and an 8-6 record that proves the program can stay competitive during a transition.

The Fighting Hawks bide their time.

Record
8-6
win% .571
FCS Top 25
Conf Standing
Playoff Path
Season closed
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

North Dakota is the Fighting Hawks with a new head coach — Eric Schmidt's first year replacing Bubba Schweigert, and an 8-6 record that proves the program can stay competitive during a transition.

Title DroughtSince 2020 · 5 yrs

North Dakota finished 8-6 overall (5-3 MVFC) in 2025 under new head coach Eric Schmidt, who replaced longtime coach Bubba Schweigert. The Hawks made the playoffs and proved the transition was successful. Schmidt's task is now to b…

offseason · quiet
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

The Pulse on North Dakota

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Fighting Hawks bide their time.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go North Dakota" — North Dakota fanbase · recurring line
15 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · North Dakota

Winning record

The season's first milestone.

Conference title race

Competitive for the conference crown.

Playoff bidLocked

24-team bracket qualifier — realistic in a strong year.

Championship gameLocked

The FCS championship weekend. A generational leap.

North Dakota · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor6-6Competitive but likely outside the at-large field.
base8-4Conference title contender. Playoff bid realistic.
ceiling11-1Conference title + deep playoff run.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

FCS Program Prestige · North Dakota

National Program

National Program — sustained top-25 expectations across cycles.

T1Regional
T2Mid-Major
T3Power
T4National
T5Blue Blood
T6Dynasty
T7All-Time

Fanbase Health Index · North Dakota · medium confidence

Growing (58)

DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 8-6 (57% win rate)61
Volume — 15 effective signal-N54

Home-Field Advantage · North Dakota · 2018-present

Elite

76% home win rate vs 29% on the road. margin runs +16.7 better at home.

Home23-7Away9-22
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Cooling

Two of five. Schedule has caught up.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4

MVFC Standing · 2025

5th in the MVFC

North Dakota sits 5th of 9 in the MVFC at 8-6. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.

#ProgramRecord
1Illinois State12-5
2South Dakota10-5
3South Dakota State9-5
4Youngstown State8-5
5North Dakota8-6
6Southern Illinois7-5
7Indiana State3-9
8Northern Iowa3-9
9Murray State1-11

Schedule Strength · North Dakota · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 52% across 14 finalized games. 1 FBS top-25 opponent played (Kansas State).

Opp Win %0.524
Top-251
Top-100

FCS → NFL Pipeline

2022–2022

Developing

1 picks last 5 cycles. The pipeline is real but still building volume.

1 picks · last 5 yrs
#155 Matt Waletzko Offensive Tackle · 2022 · Dallas

Moment of the Year · North Dakota · 2025

Lost 35-38 at Kansas State

Week 1 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.

vs AP #17

Playoff History

Recent postseason (2023): 0-1

Most recent: 2023 — loss 35-42 (home). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.

2023

From the Archive — North Dakota

2021: Won 14-7 vs Illinois State

In 2021, the program won 14-7 vs Illinois State — a tight home result that left the 7-point margin on the books.

Go Fighting Hawks.