CFB Zeitgeist Score
25
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.
Zach Gibson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
323 PASS YDS · 3 PASS TD · 3 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Florida Atlantic for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Florida Atlantic
Returning around him
- 21% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -8 net (22 in / 30 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Florida Atlantic · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #82 · 2026 recruiting class #85
QB · FLORIDA ATLANTIC · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Zach Gibson
- 4
- #7
- 6-2 | 200 lb
- Alpharetta, GA
Heisman Heat
#1849
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025-74%
Sharp dropoff (-74%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8106 | No. 2254 recruit | HighSchool | Akron |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Akron
Composite
0.8106
#2254 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Zach Gibson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Zach Gibson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 6g
323Pass yards
3Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
53.8Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
699.8Pass yards
6Pass TDs
6INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 323): needs 382.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 323): needs 525.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.9/game over remaining 7.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 4.6/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Zach Gibson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida Atlantic, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
31 48th
ATT
53 52nd
CMP%
58.5% 37th
Y/A
6.1 34th
Passing Production
YDS
323 47th
TD
3 57th
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
2 14th
YDS
3 22nd
YPC
1.5 32nd
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-39@ Maryland | 6/13 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 3.8 | 47.7 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-14vs Florida A&M | 1/2 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 16.5 | 92.8 | |
| Wk 5 | L 26-55vs Memphis | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 26.9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 32-42@ Navy | 9/14 | 82 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 | 90.7 | |
| Wk 11 | W 40-21vs Tulsa | 2/3 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 13.0 | 99.7 | |
| Wk 14 | L 3-42vs East Carolina | 12/20 | 116 | 0 | 1 | 5.8 | 3.4 | Season-high 116 yds |
| Total | 31/53 | 323 | 3 | 3 | 8.2 | 60.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Akron2-10HC: Oscar Rodriguez · Run-leaning
2022Georgia Tech5-7HC: Brent Key · Balanced
2025Florida Atlantic4-8HC: Zach Kittley · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | 31 | 53 | 58.5% | 323 | 6.1 | 3 | 3 | 117.0 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | 57 | 104 | 54.8% | 589 | 5.7 | 1 | 2 | 101.7 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Akron | 109 | 157 | 69.4% | 1,262 | 8.0 | 10 | 0 | 158.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 197 | 314 | 62.7% | 2,174 | 6.9 | 14 | 5 | 132.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | 23 | -14 | -0.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Akron | 43 | 57 | 1.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 68 | 46 | 0.7 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 323 | #203/382 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 3 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 31 | #201/383 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.5% | #241/383 | 37th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.1 | #254/382 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 3 | #318/408 | 22nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 167 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.0% | #275/428 | 36th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 53 | #198/407 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 6 | #345/391 | 12th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #350/408 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.5 | #277/407 | 32nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.4% | #278/428 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.3% | #289/428 | 33rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.6% | #290/428 | 32nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.8% | #260/428 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.1% | #270/428 | 37th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.2% | #305/428 | 29th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/428 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 48.0 | 0.2 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| Road2g | 65.5 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 36.0 | 0.5 | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 62.8 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 28.7 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 79.0 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
25Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (82nd). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Zach GibsonFlorida AtlanticNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 66% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 60% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 59% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Completion %
Rush yards
Yards / att
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Zach Kittley
Pass share
62.3%
580 pass / 351 run
Plays / game
77.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.2%
423 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Willie Taggart
Florida Atlantic
2022
Willie Taggart
Florida Atlantic
2025era →
Zach Kittley
Florida Atlantic
Coaching transition mid-career: Willie Taggart → Zach Kittley. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAlpharetta, GA
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamFlorida Atlantic
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia State | QB4 | #1849 | #2192 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | QB4 | #1293 | #1142 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | QB4 | #1472 | #1744 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Akron | QB4 | #537 | #802 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2021 | Akron | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Alpharetta, GA |