cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Xavier Irvin /Temple

Xavier Irvin

WR · Temple · Jr · #86

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

85 REC YDS · 5 REC · 1 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Temple)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Temple
DestinationTBD

WR · TEMPLE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Xavier Irvin

  • 3
  • #86
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3816

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
50.02023
38.02024
85.02025

+70%

Up 70% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1211 national
CFB
College
Temple
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey86
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamTemple

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1211 recruit
Composite rating 0.8569 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Booker T. Washington Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8569 No. 1211 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Oct 6, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Temple -> -- 3-star | 0.8000 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3816Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4483Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8569

#1211 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Xavier Irvin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Xavier Irvin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
85Rec yards
5Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
28.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
368.3Rec yards
22Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 85): needs 61.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 85): needs 91.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 5): needs 5.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Xavier Irvin's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Temple, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3816 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 5 1 rec TD | #725/1110 (35th pct)
Receiving yards 85 17.0 per catch | #671/1107 (39th pct)
Scrimmage yards 86 Total offensive yardage | #671/1107 (39th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
5 35th
YDS
85 39th
YPR
17.0 87th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
1 20th
YPC
1.0 22nd
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 55-7vs Howard37826.0046Season-high 78 yds
Wk 3L 3-42vs Oklahoma133.003
Wk 4L 24-45@ Georgia Tech144.014
Total58511.0146
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Temple3-9HC: Stan Drayton · Pass-leaning
2024Temple3-9HC: Everett Withers · Balanced
2025Temple5-7HC: K.C. Keeler · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Temple58517.01--
2024Temple33812.70--
2023Temple35016.70--
Career3 loaded seasons1117315.71--
SeasonTeam
2025Temple11------
2024Temple----------
2023Temple----------
Career3 loaded seasons11------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.2% 8.5% pass-game share | #569/1137 (50th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 5 #725/1110 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 85 #671/1107 39th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 17.0 #150/1106 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.5% #569/1137 50th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #334/346 4th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #317/397 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #309/393 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 46 #325/1105 71st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.7% #188/1137 84th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.8% #326/1137 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.2% #582/1137 49th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.7% #845/1137 26th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.4% #787/1137 31st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.9% #898/1137 21st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.4% #146/1137 87th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g2.040.514.50.0
Road1g1.04.04.01.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g3.078.026.00.0
Losses2g1.03.53.50.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.728.311.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

30Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (90th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#54 / 558 · 90th pct
17.0rece
Long catch#285 / 558 · 48th pct
46rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rush yards#226 / 287 · 20th pct
1rush
Rec yards#556 / 558 · 1st pct
85rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Xavier IrvinTempleHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 47% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 45% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 45% sim
Yards / catch
90
Irvin
78
III
9
III
25
Cobb
Long catch
48
Irvin
65
III
16
III
58
Cobb
Rush TDs
39
Irvin
39
III
39
III
39
Cobb
Rec TDs
24
Irvin
68
III
24
III
24
Cobb
Rush yards
20
Irvin
20
III
6
III
12
Cobb
Rec yards
1
Irvin
94
III
70
III
87
Cobb
Receptions
0
Irvin
90
III
92
III
98
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

K.C. Keeler

Pass share

47.0%

348 pass / 392 run

Plays / game

61.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.5%

254 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

3 coaches
2023
Stan Drayton
Temple
2024
Everett Withers
Temple
era →
2025
K.C. Keeler
Temple
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Stan Drayton, Everett Withers, and K.C. Keeler. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey86

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Temple WR3 #3816 #4483 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Temple WR3 #4245 #4969 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Temple American Athletic WR 3 No. 86 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Temple American Athletic WR 3 No. 86 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Temple American Athletic WR 3 No. 86 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Miami, FL