cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Terry Lockett /Eastern Michigan

Terry Lockett

WR · Eastern Michigan · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

263 REC YDS · 19 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Eastern Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Eastern Michigan for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Eastern Michigan

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -15 net (11 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Eastern Michigan · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #94 · 2026 recruiting class #97

WR · EASTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Terry Lockett

  • 4
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 182 lb
  • Minneapolis, MN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 60th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3446

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
18.02021
34.02023
2632025

+1361%

Up 1361% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 182 lb
HometownMinneapolis, MN
Primary teamEastern Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3446Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3202Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Terry Lockett

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Terry Lockett, Jr. Selected to Don ‘The Deuce’ &nbsp;&nbsp; Eastern Michigan Uni"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Terry Lockett

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
263Rec yards
19Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
52.6Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
683.8Rec yards
49Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 263): needs 54.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 263): needs 92.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 5.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 7.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Terry Lockett already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3446 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 19 1 rec TD | #436/1110 (61st pct)
Receiving yards 263 13.8 per catch | #396/1107 (64th pct)
Scrimmage yards 263 Total offensive yardage | #396/1107 (64th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
19 61st
YDS
263 64th
YPR
13.8 66th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 27-52@ Texas State56212.4028
Wk 2L 23-28vs Long Island University8789.8020
Wk 3L 23-48@ Kentucky39030.0164Season-high 90 yds
Wk 4W 34-31vs Louisiana22914.5023
Wk 5L 13-24@ Central Michigan144.004
Total1926314.1164
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Michigan State10-2HC: Mel Tucker · Run-leaning
2023Eastern Michigan6-7HC: Chris Creighton · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Eastern Michigan4-8HC: Chris Creighton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Eastern Michigan1926313.81--
2023Eastern Michigan33411.30--
2021Michigan State3186.00--
Career3 loaded seasons2531512.61--
SeasonTeam
2025Eastern Michigan----------
2023Eastern Michigan16------
2021Michigan State----------
Career3 loaded seasons16------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 11.7% 21.5% pass-game share | #68/1137 (94th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 19 #436/1110 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 263 #396/1107 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.8 #375/1106 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 21.5% #68/1137 94th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #136/1105 88th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.1% #34/1137 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 12.2% #38/1137 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.2% #124/1137 89th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 11.7% #45/1137 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 11.4% #40/1137 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.7% #249/1137 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g5.053.512.20.0
Road3g3.052.015.50.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.029.014.50.0
Losses4g4.258.514.10.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.852.614.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

39Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (21st).

Long catch#124 / 558 · 77th pct
64rece
Yards / catch#216 / 558 · 60th pct
13.8rece
Rec yards#396 / 558 · 29th pct
263rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Receptions#436 / 558 · 21st pct
19rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Terry LockettEastern MichiganJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 56% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 56% simRyan DavisUtah· 54% sim
Long catch
77
Lockett
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
67
Davis
Yards / catch
60
Lockett
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
36
Davis
Rec yards
29
Lockett
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
83
Davis
Rec TDs
24
Lockett
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
68
Davis
Receptions
21
Lockett
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
91
Davis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Spencer Curtis’s 2023 season.

Spencer Curtis

85%match

Nevada · 2023

#2

Da'Wain Lofton

Virginia Tech · 2022

83%
#3

Leroy Thomas

Western Michigan · 2023

83%
#4

Milan Tucker

App State · 2023

82%
#5

Courtney Jackson

Syracuse · 2022

81%

Matches Spencer on

Weight
TD rate
Class year

Differs from Spencer on

Reception volume (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Camp’s path through Georgia Tech.

Jalen Camp

100%match

Georgia Tech · 2020

NFL Rd 6
#2

Jalen Kelsey

Campbell · 2022

99%
#3

Dom Henry

Florida Atlantic · 2025

98%
#4

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

97%
#5

Terrace Marshall

LSU · 2020

97%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Julian Gray's graduate season at Liberty (2025).

Julian Gray

86%match

Liberty · 2025

#2

Keegan Jones

UCLA · 2024

82%
#3

JoJo Earle

UNLV · 2025

77%
#4

Jay Maclin

Kentucky · 2025

73%
#5

Jordan Brown

Nevada · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 7
72%

Matches Julian on

TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Creighton

Pass share

51.1%

403 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

65.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.9%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
2023
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
2025
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan

Played his entire career under Chris Creighton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMinneapolis, MN
Height5'11"
Weight182 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-MAC all_conference Eastern Michigan | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Eastern Michigan WR4 #3446 #3202 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Eastern Michigan WR4 #3862 #4140 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Michigan State WR4 #3830 #3914 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Michigan State WR4 #2024 #1747 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Eastern Michigan Mid-American WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 182 lb | Minneapolis, MN
2024 Eastern Michigan Mid-American WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 182 lb | Minneapolis, MN
2023 Eastern Michigan Mid-American WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 182 lb | Minneapolis, MN
2022 Michigan State Big Ten WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 182 lb | Minneapolis, MN
2021 Michigan State Big Ten WR 4 No. 3 | 5-11 | 182 lb | Minneapolis, MN