CFB Zeitgeist Score
19
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.
Sione I Moa
The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22
Sione I Moa is BYU's offseason bet — the case is potential over production.
92RUSH YDS1RUSH TD18CARRIES
BYU fans treat him as an investment — what he could become outruns what he's done.
high confidence19 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to BYU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · BYU
Returning around him
- 87% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 2 BYU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (9 in / 13 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
BYU · Last season: 12-2 (AP #12) · Talent rank #70 · 2026 recruiting class #55
RB · BYU · BIG 12
Sione I Moa
- 2
- #30
- 5-10 | 215 lb
- Provo, UT
Heisman Heat
#375
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025-28%
Sharp dropoff (-28%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
BYU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Sione I Moa
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
77
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=22
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Sione I Moa
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 4g
92Rush yards
18Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
23Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
299Rush yards
58Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 92): needs 73.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 92): needs 100.9/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 92): needs 156.4/game over remaining 9.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Sione I Moa's story is about how role and output meet each other. For BYU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
18 37th
YDS
92 39th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
6 47th
YDS
36 41st
YPR
6.0 38th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 69-0vs Portland State | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 19 | Season-high 33 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 27-3vs Stanford | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-13@ East Carolina | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 15 | L 7-34@ Texas Tech | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 18 | 92 | 5.3 | 1 | 19 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024BYU11-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2025BYU12-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 92 | #449/735 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.1 | #257/735 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 6 | #291/552 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 36 | #322/548 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.2% | #311/738 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 19 | #413/733 | 44th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 18 | #464/739 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 17 | #264/540 | 51st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.0 | #340/548 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 35.0 | #6/199 | 97th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 35 | #118/200 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.2% | #116/738 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.0% | #421/738 | 43rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.5% | #288/738 | 61st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 10.9% | #324/738 | 56th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.9% | #247/738 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.5% | #404/738 | 45th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.8% | #61/738 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 31.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| Road2g | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 30.0 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Losses1g | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 30.0 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
19Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Sione I MoaBYUTae MeadowsTroy· 47% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 47% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 46% sim
Yards / carry
Receptions
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalani Sitake
Pass share
43.5%
401 pass / 520 run
Plays / game
65.8
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
270 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2025
Kalani Sitake
BYU
Played his entire career under Kalani Sitake.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownProvo, UT
Height5'10"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey30
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBYU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | BYU | RB2 | #375 | #336 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.