cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sincere Brown /Colorado

Sincere Brown

WR · Colorado · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

376 REC YDS · 22 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Colorado for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Colorado for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Colorado

Returning around him

  • 7% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (42 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Colorado · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #30 · 2026 recruiting class #37

WR · COLORADO · BIG 12

Sincere Brown

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-5 | 190 lb
  • Charleston, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5491

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2606 national
CFB
College
Colorado
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-5 | 190 lb
HometownCharleston, SC
Primary teamColorado

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2606 recruit
Composite rating 0.8096 HighSchool
Signed with South Florida 2020
Origin First Baptist Church School Charleston, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8096 No. 2606 recruit | HighSchool | South Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Colorado 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 13, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Campbell -> Colorado 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate
2023 South Florida -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#5491Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6069Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to South Florida

Composite

0.8096

#2606 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sincere Brown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sincere Brown

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

17.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #40 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 93rd

Why it matters

#40 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.1 yards per reception (22 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 17.1 (93th)

MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#324 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 vs Delaware — 120 ypr

Result W 31-7

The week the volume broke through — put up 120 yds vs Delaware.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
376Rec yards
22Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
34.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
444.4Rec yards
26Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 376): needs 162/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 376): needs 312/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 19/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 29/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sincere Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5491 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 22 2 rec TD | #383/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 376 17.1 per catch | #305/1107 (73rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 376 Total offensive yardage | #305/1107 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
22 66th
YDS
376 73rd
YPR
17.1 87th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 31-7vs Delaware412030.0171Season-high 120 yds
Wk 3L 20-36@ Houston2157.5013
Wk 4W 37-20vs Wyoming16868.0168
Wk 5L 21-24vs BYU188.008
Wk 6L 21-35@ TCU11717.0017
Wk 7W 24-17vs Iowa State22412.0017
Wk 9L 7-53@ Utah3279.0013
Wk 10L 17-52vs Arizona2105.008
Wk 11L 22-29@ West Virginia22713.5019
Wk 13L 17-42vs Arizona State35016.7033
Wk 14L 14-24@ Kansas State11010.0010
Total2237617.9271
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado2237617.12--
Career1 loaded season2237617.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.8% 9.8% pass-game share | #492/1137 (57th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 22 #383/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 376 #305/1107 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 17.1 #145/1106 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.8% #492/1137 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 71 #89/1105 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.2% #438/1137 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.7% #491/1137 57th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.8% #507/1137 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.4% #594/1137 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.1% #547/1137 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #582/1137 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.246.723.30.3
Road5g1.819.211.40.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g2.370.736.70.7
Losses8g1.920.510.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.842.023.80.3
Weeks 8+5g2.224.810.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

55Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (90th). Strength: long catch (84th). Concern: receptions (29th).

Yards / catch#49 / 558 · 91st pct
17.1rece
Long catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
71rece
Rec yards#305 / 558 · 45th pct
376rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Receptions#383 / 558 · 30th pct
22rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Sincere BrownColoradoHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 65% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 65% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 63% sim
Yards / catch
91
Brown
78
III
80
Jr.
84
McMillan
Long catch
85
Brown
65
III
96
Jr.
65
McMillan
Rec yards
45
Brown
94
III
96
Jr.
96
McMillan
Rec TDs
42
Brown
68
III
68
Jr.
57
McMillan
Fumbles lost
36
Brown
36
III
36
Jr.
Receptions
30
Brown
90
III
93
Jr.
90
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Quentin Skinner’s 2023 season.

Quentin Skinner

80%match

Kansas · 2023

#2

Quentin Skinner

Kansas · 2024

79%
#3

Damien Alford

Syracuse · 2022

70%
#4

Noah Frith

Liberty · 2022

67%
#5

Isaiah Alston

Army · 2021

65%

Matches Quentin on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Reception volume

Differs from Quentin on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to D'Wayne Eskridge’s path through Western Michigan.

D'Wayne Eskridge

75%match

Western Michigan · 2020

All-MACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
#2

Trea Shropshire

UAB · 2022

74%
#3

Tre' Brown III

Old Dominion · 2025

66%
#4

Ra'Shaun Henry

Virginia · 2021

66%
#5

Isaiah Alston

James Madison · 2025

66%

Matches D'Wayne on

Recruiting rating
Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Damien Alford's junior season at Syracuse (2022).

Damien Alford

75%match

Syracuse · 2022

#2

Noah Frith

Liberty · 2022

74%
#3

Dont'E Thornton

Tennessee · 2023

74%
#4

Javian Hester

Oklahoma · 2024

72%
#5

Isaiah Alston

Army · 2022

70%

Matches Damien on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Damien on

Recruiting rating (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Deion Sanders

Pass share

45.6%

356 pass / 424 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

320 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado

Played his entire career under Deion Sanders.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCharleston, SC
Height6'5"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 South Florida WR4 #5491 #6069 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 South Florida WR4 #5104 #5651 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado Big 12 WR 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 190 lb | Charleston, SC
2022 South Florida American Athletic WR 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 190 lb | Charleston, SC
2021 South Florida American Athletic WR 4 No. 9 | 6-5 | 190 lb | Charleston, SC