cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sam Scott /Wyoming

Sam Scott

RB · Wyoming · Sr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

408 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 89 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wyoming for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Wyoming

Returning around him

  • 77% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (19 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wyoming · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #117 · 2026 recruiting class #89

RB · WYOMING · MOUNTAIN WEST

Sam Scott

  • 4
  • #22
  • 6-2 | 230 lb
  • Omaha, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 41st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#650

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
11.02022
2412023
4352024
4082025

+3609%

Up 3609% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2051 national
CFB
College
Wyoming
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey22
Measurements6-2 | 230 lb
HometownOmaha, NE
Primary teamWyoming

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2051 recruit
Composite rating 0.8181 HighSchool
Signed with Wyoming 2021
Origin Skutt Catholic Omaha, NE, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8181 No. 2051 recruit | HighSchool | Wyoming

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#650Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1047Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Wyoming

Composite

0.8181

#2051 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sam Scott

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Sam Scott &nbsp;&nbsp; ESPN"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sam Scott

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
408Rush yards
89Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
34Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
442Rush yards
96Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 408): needs 342/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 408): needs 592/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 408): needs 1,092/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 18/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sam Scott's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wyoming, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #650 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 521 408 rush | 113 rec | #205/735 (72nd pct)
Rush TD 2 89 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 4.6 Per-rush efficiency | #364/735 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
89 74th
YDS
408 72nd
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
113 73rd
YPR
10.3 79th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 10-0@ Akron291324.6028Season-high 132 yds
Wk 2W 31-7vs Northern Iowa8587.3118
Wk 3L 6-31vs Utah7131.904
Wk 4L 20-37@ Colorado5163.206
Wk 6L 17-31vs UNLV11494.5010
Wk 7W 35-28vs San José State362.003
Wk 8L 21-24@ Air Force242.002
Wk 9W 28-0vs Colorado State36822.7137
Wk 10L 7-24@ San Diego State571.403
Wk 12L 3-24@ Fresno State2-1-0.500
Wk 13L 7-13vs Nevada11484.4019
Wk 14L 7-27@ Hawai'i382.7010
Total894084.7237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Wyoming7-6HC: Craig Bohl · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023Wyoming9-4HC: Craig Bohl · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Wyoming3-9HC: Jay Sawvel · Run-leaning
2025Wyoming4-8HC: Jay Sawvel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming894084.62--
2024Wyoming924354.73--
2023Wyoming512414.72--
2022Wyoming4112.80--
Career4 loaded seasons2361,0954.67--
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming1111310.31--
2024Wyoming12645.31--
2023Wyoming11777.00--
2022Wyoming----------
Career4 loaded seasons342547.52--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 113 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 14.2% 25.4% rush share | #198/738 (73rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.00 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #346/362 (5th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 408 #205/735 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #364/735 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 113 #148/548 73rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.00 #346/362 5th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 82 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.2% #198/738 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 89 #190/739 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 37 #253/733 66th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 36 #90/540 84th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.3 #114/548 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 25.4% #173/738 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.1% #208/738 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 15.4% #222/738 70th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.4% #164/738 78th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 10.5% #182/738 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.4% #219/738 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.4% #199/738 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g40.37.10.3
Road6g27.72.20.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g66.09.20.5
Losses8g18.02.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g45.73.90.2
Weeks 8+6g22.35.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush tds (25th).

Rec yards#137 / 338 · 59th pct
113rece
Carries#190 / 349 · 46th pct
89rush
Receptions#179 / 338 · 45th pct
11rece
Rush yards#205 / 349 · 41st pct
408rush
Yards / carry#213 / 349 · 37th pct
4.6rush
Long run#219 / 349 · 37th pct
37rush
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Sam ScottWyomingTae MeadowsTroy· 72% simKamari MoultonIowa· 71% simRashod DubinionApp State· 70% sim
Rec yards
59
Scott
38
Meadows
53
Moulton
77
Dubinion
Carries
46
Scott
84
Meadows
86
Moulton
87
Dubinion
Receptions
45
Scott
45
Meadows
63
Moulton
86
Dubinion
Rush yards
41
Scott
74
Meadows
84
Moulton
84
Dubinion
Yards / carry
37
Scott
29
Meadows
62
Moulton
53
Dubinion
Long run
37
Scott
53
Meadows
33
Moulton
39
Dubinion
Rush TDs
26
Scott
72
Meadows
62
Moulton
50
Dubinion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamoni Jones’s 2023 season.

Jamoni Jones

76%match

New Mexico State · 2023

#2

Dylan Downing

Purdue · 2023

73%
#3

Sam Scott

Wyoming · 2024

73%
#4

Anthony Tyus III

Northwestern · 2021

70%
#5

Ellis Merriweather

Massachusetts · 2022

66%

Matches Jamoni on

Yards / carry
Receiving share
Weight

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.

Gerrid Doaks

98%match

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2

Gary Brightwell

Arizona · 2020

NFL Rd 6
94%
#3

Kierre Crossley

Arkansas-Pine Bluff · 2021

94%
#4

Chaton Mobley

Middle Tennessee · 2021

88%
#5

Alexander Horvath

Purdue · 2021

87%

Matches Gerrid on

Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dylan Downing's senior season at Purdue (2023).

Dylan Downing

80%match

Purdue · 2023

#2

Gavin Wimsatt

Kentucky · 2024

70%
#3

Josh Henderson

Indiana · 2023

70%
#4

Markese Stepp

Western Kentucky · 2023

69%
#5

Antwain Littleton II

Temple · 2024

68%

Matches Dylan on

Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from Dylan on

Height (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Sawvel

Pass share

49.8%

383 pass / 386 run

Plays / game

64.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

332 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Craig Bohl
Wyoming
2023
Craig Bohl
Wyoming
2024
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
era →
2025
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming

Coaching transition mid-career: Craig Bohl → Jay Sawvel. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOmaha, NE
Height6'2"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wyoming RB4 #650 #1047 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Wyoming RB4 #1045 #1038 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Wyoming RB4 #3353 #3355 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Wyoming RB4 #3146 #2952 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wyoming Mountain West RB 4 No. 22 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2024 Wyoming Mountain West RB 4 No. 22 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2023 Wyoming Mountain West RB 4 No. 22 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2022 Wyoming Mountain West RB 4 No. 22 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE
2021 Wyoming Mountain West RB 4 No. 22 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Omaha, NE