CFB Zeitgeist Score
58
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 86th percentile.
Qua Ashley
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
547 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 118 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ball State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Ball State
Returning around him
- 8% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +6 net (24 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ball State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #115 · 2026 recruiting class #119
RB · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN
Qua Ashley
- 3
- #9
- 5-10 | 191 lb
- Dublin, GA
Heisman Heat
#4396
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Ball State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (547).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Qua Ashley
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Qua Ashley
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 21 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
MODERATE · n=21 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#529 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#530 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Miami (OH) — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 24-45
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Miami (OH).
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
547Rush yards
118Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
54.7Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
711.1Rush yards
153Carries
5Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 547): needs 67.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 547): needs 151/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 547): needs 317.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.3/game over remaining 3.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Qua Ashley is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 547 rushing yards, 21 catches, and 212 return yards for Ball State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
118 84th
YDS
547 81st
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
21 88th
YDS
107 72nd
YPR
5.1 27th
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 0-31@ Purdue | 10 | 45 | 4.5 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 2 | L 3-42@ Auburn | 12 | 10 | 0.8 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-29vs New Hampshire | 12 | 154 | 12.8 | 2 | 72 | Season-high 154 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 25-31@ UConn | 18 | 86 | 4.8 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 6 | W 20-14vs Ohio | 12 | 21 | 1.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 7 | L 0-42@ Western Michigan | 6 | 17 | 2.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-28vs Akron | 20 | 143 | 7.2 | 1 | 69 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-21@ Northern Illinois | 11 | 37 | 3.4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 17-13vs Kent State | 6 | 12 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-45@ Miami (OH) | 11 | 22 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Total | 118 | 547 | 4.2 | 4 | 72 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Ball State4-8HC: Mike Uremovich · Run-heavy, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 118 | 547 | 4.6 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 118 | 547 | 4.6 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 21 | 107 | 5.1 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 21 | 107 | 5.1 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 547 | #143/735 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.6 | #364/735 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 21 | #68/552 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 107 | #157/548 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.03 | #325/362 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 109 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 24.9% | #49/738 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 118 | #121/739 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 72 | #52/733 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.1 | #403/548 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 212 | #36/200 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 19.3 | #91/199 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 11 | #24/206 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 36.3% | #81/738 | 89th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 30.9% | #16/738 | 98th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 28.5% | #47/738 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 28.0% | #54/738 | 93rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 18.3% | #30/738 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.9% | #121/738 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.3% | #16/738 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 82.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 36.2 | 3.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 82.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 |
| Losses6g | 36.2 | 3.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 55.5 | 4.6 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 53.5 | 3.6 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
58Solid starter
Elite: long run (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.03Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Qua AshleyBall StateDominic RichardsonTulsa· 81% simJevon JacksonUAB· 81% simShomari LawrenceMissouri State· 81% sim
Long run
Receptions
Carries
Rush yards
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamal Jones’s 2020 season.
Jamal Jones
86%match
#2
Hahsaun Wilson
77%
#3
Kaegun Williams
77%
#4
Ivory Kelly-Martin
77%
#5
Blake Hester
75%
Matches Jamal on
Weight
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ja'Vin Simpkins's junior season at Coastal Carolina (2025).
Ja'Vin Simpkins
78%match
#2
Chris Tyree
75%
#3
Brian Smith
75%
#4
Tre Wisner
74%
#5
Jaivian Thomas
74%
Matches Ja'Vin on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from Ja'Vin on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Uremovich
Pass share
38.2%
277 pass / 449 run
Plays / game
60.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
19.6%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Mike Uremovich
Ball State
Played his entire career under Mike Uremovich.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDublin, GA
Height5'10"
Weight191 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBall State
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | RET |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kennesaw State | RB3 | #4396 | #4981 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | Mid-American | RB | 3 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 191 lb | Dublin, GA |
| 2024 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | RB | 3 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 191 lb | Dublin, GA |