CFB Zeitgeist Score
44
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 90th percentile.
Qian Magwood
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
320 REC YDS · 19 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ball State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Ball State
Returning around him
- 8% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +6 net (24 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ball State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #115 · 2026 recruiting class #119
WR · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN
Qian Magwood
- 4
- #5
- 6-0 | 184 lb
- Hilltop, OH
Heisman Heat
#5075
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-11%
Down 11% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Ball State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8559 | No. 1041 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (320).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8559
#1041 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Qian Magwood
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Qian Magwood
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
320Rec yards
19Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
32Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
416Rec yards
25Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 320): needs 126.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 320): needs 226.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 13.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 20.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Qian Magwood's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ball State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
19 61st
YDS
320 69th
YPR
16.8 86th
TD
1 64th
Rushing
CAR
4 74th
YDS
6 39th
YPC
1.5 23rd
TD
0 81st
Returns
PR YDS
12 27th
PR AVG
4.0 23rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 3-42@ Auburn | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-29vs New Hampshire | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 4 | L 25-31@ UConn | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | 0 | 53 | |
| Wk 6 | W 20-14vs Ohio | 4 | 92 | 23.0 | 1 | 43 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 0-42@ Western Michigan | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-28vs Akron | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-21@ Northern Illinois | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-24vs Eastern Michigan | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 13 | L 9-38@ Toledo | 2 | 45 | 22.5 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-45@ Miami (OH) | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 19 | 320 | 17.0 | 1 | 53 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Ball State4-8HC: Mike Neu · Run-heavy
2025Ball State4-8HC: Mike Uremovich · Run-heavy, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 19 | 320 | 16.8 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Ball State | 41 | 358 | 8.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 60 | 678 | 11.3 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | 4 | 6 | -- | 12 | -- |
| 2023 | Ball State | -- | -- | -- | 26 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 4 | 6 | -- | 38 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 19 | #436/1110 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 320 | #342/1107 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.8 | #160/1106 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 12 | #165/224 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 14.5% | #264/1137 | 77th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 8 | #198/346 | 43rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 6 | #245/397 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.5 | #303/393 | 23rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 53 | #236/1105 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 4.0 | #173/222 | 23rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 3 | #141/237 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.1% | #166/1137 | 85th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.1% | #233/1137 | 80th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.7% | #188/1137 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.1% | #270/1137 | 76th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.5% | #336/1137 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.1% | #692/1137 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.3% | #154/1137 | 87th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 1.8 | 34.0 | 16.8 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 2.0 | 30.7 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 2.0 | 39.0 | 16.0 | 0.3 |
| Losses7g | 1.9 | 29.0 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 2.2 | 40.0 | 16.8 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 1.6 | 24.0 | 17.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
44Mid-pack
Elite: yards / catch (89th). Concern: receptions (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Qian MagwoodBall StateHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 62% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 58% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 58% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ty McCullouch’s 2021 season.
Ty McCullouch
87%match
#2
Mike Brown-Stephens
86%
#3
Willie Johnson
79%
#4
Vinny Anthony
83%
#5
Nico Ragaini
82%
Matches Ty on
TD rate
Yards / reception
Reception volume
Differs from Ty on
Class year (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Treyvhon Saunders’s path through Colgate.
Treyvhon Saunders
100%match
#2
Karim Page
97%
#3
Devin Young
95%
#4
Marshel Martin
94%
#5
Tony Poljan
93%
Matches Treyvhon on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Cam Sullivan-Brown's junior season at Massachusetts (2022).
Cam Sullivan-Brown
84%match
#2
Mike Brown-Stephens
83%
#3
Jaylan Sanchez
82%
#4
Lemeke Brockington
82%
#5
Mekhi Shaw
81%
Matches Cam on
Yards / reception
TD rate
Weight
Differs from Cam on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Uremovich
Pass share
38.2%
277 pass / 449 run
Plays / game
60.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
19.6%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Mike Neu
Ball State
2025era →
Mike Uremovich
Ball State
Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Neu → Mike Uremovich. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHilltop, OH
Height6'0"
Weight184 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBall State
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Ball State | WR4 | #5075 | #5667 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Ball State | WR4 | #2635 | #3240 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Ball State | WR4 | #4806 | #5077 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Ball State | WR4 | #4930 | #5324 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-0 | 184 lb | Hilltop, OH |
| 2024 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-0 | 184 lb | Hilltop, OH |
| 2023 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-0 | 184 lb | Hilltop, OH |
| 2022 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-0 | 184 lb | Hilltop, OH |
| 2021 | Ball State | Mid-American | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 6-0 | 184 lb | Hilltop, OH |