CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 96th percentile.
Nik McMillan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
975 REC YDS · 61 REC · 3 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Kansas
2025Buffalo
2026Kansas
WR · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN
Nik McMillan
- 3
- #3
- 6-1 | 187 lb
- Buffalo, NY
Heisman Heat
#1662
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2023
Buffalo · WR
—
2024
Buffalo · WR
—
★
2025
Buffalo · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+442%
Up 442% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Buffalo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8289 | No. 1741 recruit | HighSchool | Buffalo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Buffalo -> Kansas | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 975 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (975).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Buffalo
Composite
0.8289
#1741 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Nik McMillan
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Nik McMillan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
16.0
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #69 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 87th
Why it matters
#69 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.0 yards per reception (61 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 16.0 (87th)
HIGH · n=61 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#24 / 531
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 9 vs Akron — 177 ypr
Result L 16-24
The week the volume broke through — put up 177 yds vs Akron.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
975Rec yards
61Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
81.2Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,056Rec yards
66Receptions
3Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 975.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 975): needs 25/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 61.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 61): needs 19/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Nik McMillan already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
61 95th
YDS
975 98th
YPR
16.0 82nd
TD
3 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-23@ Minnesota | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA) | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | W 31-28@ Kent State | 6 | 111 | 18.5 | 1 | 38 | |
| Wk 4 | L 17-21vs Troy | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 5 | L 17-20vs UConn | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 8 | W 28-21@ Massachusetts | 10 | 119 | 11.9 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Akron | 8 | 177 | 22.1 | 0 | 52 | Season-high 177 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 28-3@ Bowling Green | 8 | 105 | 13.1 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 12 | L 19-38@ Central Michigan | 7 | 122 | 17.4 | 2 | 55 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 13 | L 20-37vs Miami (OH) | 8 | 147 | 18.4 | 0 | 41 | 147-yard receiving day |
| Wk 14 | L 26-31vs Ohio | 5 | 122 | 24.4 | 0 | 46 | |
| Total | 61 | 975 | 13.7 | 3 | 55 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Buffalo3-9HC: Maurice Linguist · Balanced
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 61 | #55/1110 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 975 | #25/1107 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.0 | #205/1106 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 20.5% | #81/1137 | 93rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 55 | #215/1105 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.5% | #160/1137 | 86th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 10.9% | #63/1137 | 95th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.8% | #82/1137 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 10.3% | #88/1137 | 92nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.7% | #75/1137 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.6% | #328/1137 | 71st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 4.0 | 71.1 | 13.4 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 6.6 | 95.4 | 14.2 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 5.6 | 75.6 | 13.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 4.7 | 85.3 | 14.3 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.5 | 30.5 | 9.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.7 | 132 | 17.9 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
79All-Conference
Elite: rec yards (95th). Strength: receptions (89th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Nik McMillanBuffaloHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 94% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 86% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 85% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Kelly’s 2021 season.
Josh Kelly
78%match
#2
Gunner Romney
71%
#3
Tory Horton
All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
76%
#4
Xavier Weaver
76%
#5
Konata Mumpfield
NFL Rd 7
73%
Matches Josh on
Class year
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kahtero Summers’s path through Rhode Island.
Kahtero Summers
100%match
#2
Nick Devereaux
All-MAC
98%
#3
August Pitre III
94%
#4
Jakobie Keeney-James
94%
#5
Will Vereen
89%
Matches Kahtero on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Dante Cephas's junior season at Kent State (2022).
Dante Cephas
72%match
All-MAC
#2
J.C. Santana
66%
#3
J.J. Jones
65%
#4
Deshon Stoudemire
64%
#5
Jayce Brown
64%
Matches Dante on
Height
Recruiting rating
Yards / reception
Differs from Dante on
Class year (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pete Lembo
Pass share
49.8%
409 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
338 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025era →
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBuffalo, NY
Height6'1"
Weight187 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBuffalo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Buffalo | MAC | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Buffalo | WR3 | #1662 | #2269 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Buffalo | WR3 | #2800 | #3522 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Buffalo | WR3 | #4694 | #4826 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Buffalo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Buffalo, NY |
| 2024 | Buffalo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Buffalo, NY |
| 2023 | Buffalo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Buffalo, NY |
| 2022 | Buffalo | Mid-American | WR | 3 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 187 lb | Buffalo, NY |