cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nate Sullivan Jr. /UL Monroe

Nate Sullivan Jr.

TE · UL Monroe · Sr · #80

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

48 REC YDS · 6 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UL Monroe for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UL Monroe for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · UL Monroe

Returning around him

  • 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (20 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UL Monroe · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #124 · 2026 recruiting class #115

TE · UL MONROE · SUN BELT

Nate Sullivan Jr.

  • 4
  • #80
  • 6-3 | 225 lb
  • Bellevue, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

4

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 12th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3938

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UL Monroe
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey80
Measurements6-3 | 225 lb
HometownBellevue, NE
Primary teamUL Monroe

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3938Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3826Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nate Sullivan Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nate Sullivan Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
48Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
6.9Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
89.1Rec yards
11Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 48): needs 108.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 48): needs 158.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 6): needs 9/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 6): needs 12.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nate Sullivan Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For UL Monroe, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3938 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 25 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 6 0 rec TD | #245/475 (49th pct)
Receiving yards 48 8.0 per catch | #276/475 (42nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 48 Total offensive yardage | #276/475 (42nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
6 49th
YDS
48 42nd
YPR
8.0 31st
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 29-0vs St. Francis (PA)2115.5012
Wk 6L 7-42@ Northwestern
Wk 7L 8-23@ Coastal Carolina
Wk 8L 14-37vs Troy199.009
Wk 9L 21-49@ Southern Miss11414.0014Season-high 14 yds
Wk 13L 14-31@ Texas State133.003
Wk 14L 27-30@ Louisiana11111.0011
Total6488.5014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025UL Monroe3-9HC: Bryant Vincent · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025UL Monroe6488.00--
Career1 loaded season6488.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.4% 4.8% pass-game share | #303/468 (35th pct)
Return yards 25 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 6 #245/475 49th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 48 #276/475 42nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.0 #328/475 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 4.8% #303/468 35th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #341/475 28th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 4.4% #174/468 63rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.2% #178/468 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.6% #296/468 37th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 2.4% #292/468 38th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 1.8% #323/468 31st pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.3% #411/468 12th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.510.07.20.0
Road5g0.65.69.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.011.05.50.0
Losses6g0.76.29.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g0.73.75.50.0
Weeks 8+4g1.09.29.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

4Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#154 / 175 · 12th pct
8.0rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#174 / 175 · 1st pct
14rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
48rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
6rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Nate Sullivan Jr.UL MonroeBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 56% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 52% sim
Yards / catch
12
Jr.
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Rec TDs
7
Jr.
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Long catch
1
Jr.
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry
Rec yards
0
Jr.
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
Jr.
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bryant Vincent

Pass share

41.4%

302 pass / 428 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

241 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bryant Vincent
UL Monroe

Played his entire career under Bryant Vincent.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBellevue, NE
Height6'3"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey80

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UL Monroe TE4 #3938 #3826 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UL Monroe Sun Belt TE 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Bellevue, NE
2024 UL Monroe Sun Belt TE 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Bellevue, NE