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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Melquan Stovall /Arizona State

Melquan Stovall

WR · Arizona State · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSArizona State 2023 alumnus

WR · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12

Melquan Stovall

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 185 lb
  • Palmdale, CA

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#2463

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
6432021
1062022
2072023

-68%

Sharp dropoff (-68%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1864 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 185 lb
HometownPalmdale, CA
Primary teamArizona State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1864 recruit
Composite rating 0.8256 HighSchool
Signed with Nevada 2019
Origin Junipero Serra Gardena, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8256 No. 1864 recruit | HighSchool | Nevada

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arizona State 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Oct 12, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 Colorado State -> Arizona State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2022 Nevada -> Colorado State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2463Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2236Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Nevada

Composite

0.8256

#1864 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Melquan Stovall

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Melquan Stovall

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Melquan Stovall is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #2463 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 18 0 rec TD | #444/1110 (60th pct)
Receiving yards 207 11.5 per catch | #455/1107 (59th pct)
Scrimmage yards 228 Total offensive yardage | #455/1107 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
18 60th
YDS
207 59th
YPR
11.5 47th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
21 68th
YPC
7.0 76th
TD
1 96th

Returns

KR YDS
98 63rd
KR AVG
16.3 32nd
PR YDS
85 70th
PR AVG
10.6 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Nevada8-4HC: Vai Taua · Pass-heavy
2022Colorado State3-9HC: Jay Norvell · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Arizona State3-9HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023Arizona State1820711.50--
2022Colorado State131068.20--
2021Nevada5664311.51--
Career3 loaded seasons8795611.01--
SeasonTeam
2023Arizona State3219885--
2022Colorado State------10--
2021Nevada1-6------
Career3 loaded seasons4159895--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.2% 12.0% pass-game share | #383/1137 (66th pct)
Return yards 183 0 return TD | #88/238 (63rd pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 18 #444/1110 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 207 #455/1107 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.5 #588/1106 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 98 #88/238 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 85 #68/224 70th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.0% #383/1137 66th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 21 #130/397 68th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #106/346 70th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 7.0 #95/393 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 16.3 #161/236 32nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 10.6 #68/222 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 8 #91/237 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 6 #77/243 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.7% #142/1137 88th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.3% #134/1137 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.2% #199/1137 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.1% #386/1137 66th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.9% #235/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.5% #597/1137 48th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.4% #312/1137 73rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kenny Dillingham

Pass share

47.1%

429 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2022
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2023
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPalmdale, CA
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona State WR4 #2463 #2236 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Arizona State WR4 #2258 #2910 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Colorado State WR4 #3894 #4514 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Nevada WR4 #1603 #1802 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Arizona State Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA
2023 Arizona State Pac-12 WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA
2022 Colorado State Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA
2021 Nevada Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA