CFB Zeitgeist WR Score
Awaiting
Melquan Stovall
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
WR · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist WR Score
Awaiting
Heisman Heat
#2463
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamScout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2023Sharp dropoff (-68%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8256 | No. 1864 recruit | HighSchool | Nevada |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Colorado State -> Arizona State | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Nevada -> Colorado State | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Nevada
Composite
0.8256
#1864 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Melquan Stovall is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2023 season snapshot | final
30-second read
All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2023 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Returns
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Arizona State | 18 | 207 | 11.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Colorado State | 13 | 106 | 8.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Nevada | 56 | 643 | 11.5 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 87 | 956 | 11.0 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Arizona State | 3 | 21 | 98 | 85 | -- |
| 2022 | Colorado State | -- | -- | -- | 10 | -- |
| 2021 | Nevada | 1 | -6 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 4 | 15 | 98 | 95 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #444/1110 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 207 | #455/1107 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.5 | #588/1106 | 47th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 98 | #88/238 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 85 | #68/224 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.0% | #383/1137 | 66th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 21 | #130/397 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 15 | #106/346 | 70th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.0 | #95/393 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #146/407 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 34 | #548/1105 | 50th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 16.3 | #161/236 | 32nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 10.6 | #68/222 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 8 | #91/237 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 6 | #77/243 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.7% | #142/1137 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.3% | #134/1137 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.2% | #199/1137 | 83rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.1% | #386/1137 | 66th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.9% | #235/1137 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.5% | #597/1137 | 48th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.4% | #312/1137 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kenny Dillingham
Pass share
47.1%
429 pass / 482 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
345 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | WR4 | #2463 | #2236 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Arizona State | WR4 | #2258 | #2910 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Colorado State | WR4 | #3894 | #4514 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Nevada | WR4 | #1603 | #1802 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA |
| 2023 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA |
| 2022 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA |
| 2021 | Nevada | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 5 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Palmdale, CA |