CFB Zeitgeist Score
48
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 73rd percentile.
Luke Murphy
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
36 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to UConn
2025Coastal Carolina
2026UConn
LB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT
Luke Murphy
- 4
- #20
- 6-3 | 235 lb
- Massillon, OH
Heisman Heat
#12263
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8133 | No. 2395 recruit | HighSchool | Kent State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Coastal Carolina -> UConn | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Eastern Michigan -> Coastal Carolina | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Kent State -> Eastern Michigan | 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kent State
Composite
0.8133
#2395 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Luke Murphy
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Luke Murphy
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 10g
36Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
47Tackles
5.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 36): needs 14.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 36): needs 21.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Luke Murphy is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Coastal Carolina's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
36 79th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-48@ Virginia | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 13-0vs Charleston Southern | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | L 0-38vs East Carolina | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-47@ Old Dominion | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 23-8vs UL Monroe | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-37@ App State | 8 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 8 tackles |
| Wk 11 | W 40-27vs Georgia State | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 40-45@ Georgia Southern | 7 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 7-51@ South Carolina | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 14-23@ Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 36 | 24 | 4.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Kent State5-7HC: Sean Lewis · Run-leaning
2025Coastal Carolina6-7HC: Tim Beck · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | 36 | 24 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Kent State | 13 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 49 | 30 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 36 | #1060/4942 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 4.0 | #738/4972 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 24 | #790/4584 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses6g | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 6.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
48Mid-pack
Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Luke MurphyCoastal CarolinaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 82% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 76% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 74% sim
Tackles for loss
Solo tackles
Tackles
Passes defended
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Linebacker
Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tarian Lee Jr.’s 2023 season.
Tarian Lee Jr.
82%match
#2
Ben Bywater
81%
#3
Cody Lindenberg
NFL Rd 7
79%
#4
Eric Mitchell
78%
#5
Brandon George
77%
Matches Tarian on
Tackle volume
Weight
PD rate
Differs from Tarian on
Height (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cody Lindenberg's senior season at Minnesota (2023).
Cody Lindenberg
89%match
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
#2
Josh Ahern
87%
#3
Ralen Goforth
87%
#4
Ben Bywater
86%
#5
Carter Evans
84%
Matches Cody on
Class year
TFL rate
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tim Beck
Pass share
46.3%
399 pass / 463 run
Plays / game
66.3
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.2%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Chad Staggs
Coastal Carolina
2025era →
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
Coaching transition mid-career: Chad Staggs → Tim Beck. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMassillon, OH
Height6'3"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCoastal Carolina
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Eastern Michigan | LB4 | #12263 | #12116 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Kent State | LB4 | #15729 | #15832 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Kent State | LB4 | #14074 | #14139 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Kent State | LB4 | #13856 | #13851 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | LB | 4 | No. 20 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Massillon, OH |
| 2024 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | LB | 4 | No. 20 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Massillon, OH |
| 2023 | Kent State | Mid-American | LB | 4 | No. 20 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Massillon, OH |
| 2022 | Kent State | Mid-American | LB | 4 | No. 20 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Massillon, OH |
| 2021 | Kent State | Mid-American | LB | 4 | No. 20 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Massillon, OH |