CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 86th percentile.
Lamar Sperling
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
234 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 39 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to UTEP
2025Buffalo
2026UTEP
RB · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN
Lamar Sperling
- 2
- #32
- 5-10 | 189 lb
- Akron, OH
Heisman Heat
#1058
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+1276%
Up 1276% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Buffalo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8337 | No. 1804 recruit | HighSchool | Buffalo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Buffalo -> UTEP | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Buffalo
Composite
0.8337
#1804 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lamar Sperling
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lamar Sperling
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
234Rush yards
39Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
29.2Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
380.2Rush yards
63Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 234): needs 103.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 234): needs 153.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 234): needs 253.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Lamar Sperling's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Buffalo, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
39 53rd
YDS
234 57th
YPC
6.0 85th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
12 21st
YPR
4.0 17th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA) | 11 | 48 | 4.4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 31-28@ Kent State | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 4 | L 17-21vs Troy | 7 | 35 | 5.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 17-20vs UConn | 9 | 106 | 11.8 | 1 | 63 | Season-high 106 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 28-21@ Massachusetts | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Akron | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 13 | L 20-37vs Miami (OH) | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | L 26-31vs Ohio | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Total | 39 | 234 | 4.9 | 1 | 63 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Buffalo3-9HC: Maurice Linguist · Balanced
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 234 | #314/735 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.0 | #108/735 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 12 | #435/548 | 21st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.18 | #84/362 | 77th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 31 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.1% | #427/738 | 42nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 63 | #95/733 | 87th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 39 | #349/739 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 8 | #438/540 | 19th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.0 | #456/548 | 17th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 12.0 | #163/199 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 12 | #176/200 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.1% | #399/738 | 46th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.9% | #346/738 | 53rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.8% | #213/738 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.5% | #479/738 | 35th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.8% | #527/738 | 29th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.1% | #436/738 | 41st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.1% | #495/738 | 33rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 38.3 | 6.0 | 0.2 |
| Road2g | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 17.3 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Losses5g | 36.4 | 6.4 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 47.8 | 5.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 10.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
33Below cohort
Elite: yards / carry (86th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Lamar SperlingBuffaloJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 53% simBill DavisLouisiana· 47% simQuinton JacksonRice· 47% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Receptions
Rec yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pete Lembo
Pass share
49.8%
409 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
338 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025era →
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAkron, OH
Height5'10"
Weight189 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey32
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBuffalo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.