cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keyshaun Elliott /Arizona State

Keyshaun Elliott

LB · Arizona State · Sr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

98 TACKLES · 7 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Chicago — Rd 5, Pick 26, #166 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Chicago2026 NFL rookie season

#166Rd 5 · Pick 26
Chicago2026 NFL rookie season

LB · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12

Keyshaun Elliott

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-2 | 235 lb
  • Richmond, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

91

Elite in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9563

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

New Mexico State · LB

2023

New Mexico State · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Arizona State · LB

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 26 · #166 overall · Chicago

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1890 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #166
Chicago &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-2 | 235 lb
HometownRichmond, MO
Primary teamArizona State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1890 recruit
Composite rating 0.8204 HighSchool
Signed with New Mexico State 2022
Origin Richmond Richmond, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8204 No. 1890 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arizona State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 26, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 New Mexico State -> Arizona State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9563Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9188Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to New Mexico State

Composite

0.8204

#1890 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 26

#166 overall · Chicago

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keyshaun Elliott

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keyshaun Elliott

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
98Tackles
14Tackles for loss
7Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks
Projected (13g)
106Tackles
15.2Tackles for loss
7.6Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 98.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 98): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 7.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keyshaun Elliott is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arizona State's defense, with 7.0 sacks, 14.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9563 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 98 54 solo | #55/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 14.0 Backfield disruption | #33/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 7.0 Pass-rush finish | #39/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
98 99th
SOLO
54 99th
TFL
14.0 99th
SACK
7.0 99th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-19vs Northern Arizona511.00.00
Wk 2L 20-24@ Mississippi State831.01.00
Wk 3W 34-15vs Texas State771.01.00
Wk 4W 27-24@ Baylor1082.01.01
Wk 5W 27-24vs TCU732.51.002.5 TFL
Wk 7L 10-42@ Utah730.00.00
Wk 8W 26-22vs Texas Tech1050.00.00
Wk 9L 16-24vs Houston1351.50.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 10W 24-19@ Iowa State1051.00.00
Wk 12W 25-23vs West Virginia541.01.00
Wk 13W 42-17@ Colorado762.02.012 sacks
Wk 14L 7-23vs Arizona941.00.00
Total985414.07.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022New Mexico State7-6HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arizona State985414.07.02----
2023New Mexico State1105810.02.56----
2022New Mexico State27161.50.0------
Career3 loaded seasons23512825.59.58----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 98 #55/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 14.0 #33/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 7.0 #39/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 54 #46/4584 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g8.01.10.40.0
Road5g8.41.20.80.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g7.61.30.80.2
Losses4g9.20.90.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.31.20.70.2
Weeks 8+6g9.01.10.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

91Elite
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (98th). Strength: sacks (98th).

Tackles for loss#33 / 2975 · 99th pct
14.0defe
Sacks#39 / 2975 · 98th pct
7.0defe
Solo tackles#46 / 2975 · 98th pct
54defe
Tackles#55 / 2975 · 98th pct
98defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Keyshaun ElliottArizona StateMani PowellPurdue· 97% simKaleb Elarms-OrrTCU· 96% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 95% sim
Tackles for loss
99
Elliott
98
Powell
97
Elarms-Orr
91
Harris
Sacks
98
Elliott
96
Powell
93
Elarms-Orr
97
Harris
Solo tackles
98
Elliott
99
Powell
99
Elarms-Orr
98
Harris
Tackles
98
Elliott
99
Powell
100
Elarms-Orr
99
Harris
QB hurries
88
Elliott
82
Powell
95
Elarms-Orr
97
Harris
Passes defended
67
Elliott
67
Powell
67
Elarms-Orr
67
Harris

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to K'Von Sherman’s 2025 season.

K'Von Sherman

79%match

Toledo · 2025

#2

Karson Sharar

Iowa · 2025

NFL Rd 6
78%
#3

Jalen Mackie

Massachusetts · 2022

75%
#4

Marlowe Wax

Syracuse · 2022

75%
#5

Aiden Fisher

Indiana · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
75%

Matches K'Von on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
PD rate

Differs from K'Von on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Alex Howard's senior season at Duke (2024).

Alex Howard

84%match

Duke · 2024

#2

Aiden Fisher

Indiana · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
81%
#3

Teddye Buchanan

California · 2024

NFL Rd 4
78%
#4

Aaron Casey

Indiana · 2023

All-Big Ten
78%
#5

Marlowe Wax

Syracuse · 2023

77%

Matches Alex on

Sack rate
Weight
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kenny Dillingham

Pass share

47.1%

429 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2023
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
era →
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State

Coaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRichmond, MO
Height6'2"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big 12 all_conference Arizona State | Big 12 LB
2023 All-Conference USA all_conference New Mexico State | Conference USA LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona State LB4 #9563 #9188 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 New Mexico State LB4 #9333 #9929 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 New Mexico State LB4 #9900 #10016 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arizona State Big 12 LB 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Richmond, MO
2024 Arizona State Big 12 LB 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Richmond, MO
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA LB 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Richmond, MO
2022 New Mexico State FBS Independents LB 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Richmond, MO