cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kaden Anderson /Wyoming

Kaden Anderson

QB · Wyoming · So · #12

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Kaden Anderson is a cornerstone for Wyoming — measured against the line he joined.

1,971PASS YDS12PASS TD-33RUSH YDS

PASSING VALUE · WEPA

+0.16

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 327 plays

Read the story so far

He lines up at QB for Wyoming.

On the field, the headline is 1,971 pass yds, with 12 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Evan Svoboda.

The number to watch: +0.16 — passing value · wepa.

QB successionlow bar
  • Inherited fromEvan Svoboda
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 327 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wyoming for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wyoming for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Wyoming

Returning around him

  • 77% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (19 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wyoming · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #117 · 2026 recruiting class #89

QB · WYOMING · MOUNTAIN WEST

Kaden Anderson

  • 2
  • #12
  • 6-4 | 230 lb
  • Southlake, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 49th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#526

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
9552024
1,9712025

+106%

Up 106% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Wyoming
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey12
Measurements6-4 | 230 lb
HometownSouthlake, TX
Primary teamWyoming

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#526Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#811Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1971).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kaden Anderson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kaden Anderson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,971Pass yards
12Pass TDs
10INT
Per game
164.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,135Pass yards
13Pass TDs
11INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,971): needs 1,029/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,971): needs 2,029/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 13/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 18/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 23/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kaden Anderson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wyoming, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #526 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 46.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,971 12 TD | 10 INT | #92/382 (76th pct)
Completion rate 56.3% 189/336 completions | #269/383 (30th pct)
Yards/attempt 5.9 Explosiveness through the air | #275/382 (28th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
189 79th
ATT
336 85th
CMP%
56.3% 30th
Y/A
5.9 28th

Passing Production

YDS
1,971 76th
TD
12 79th
INT
10 8th

Rushing

CAR
43 65th
YDS
-33 5th
YPC
-0.8 13th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 10-0@ Akron19/36260117.241.7
Wk 2W 31-7vs Northern Iowa17/23167207.320.9
Wk 3L 6-31vs Utah12/23108014.722.9
Wk 4L 20-37@ Colorado11/25176207.051.8
Wk 6L 17-31vs UNLV25/46254115.532.3
Wk 7W 35-28vs San José State23/39304227.827.4Season-high 304 yds
Wk 8L 21-24@ Air Force23/29211117.347.8
Wk 9W 28-0vs Colorado State16/24154206.474.6
Wk 10L 7-24@ San Diego State12/2493033.913.03 INTs — rough day
Wk 12L 3-24@ Fresno State6/2364012.85.2
Wk 13L 7-13vs Nevada22/39157104.015.7
Wk 14L 7-27@ Hawai'i3/523004.651.6
Total189/336197112105.733.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Wyoming3-9HC: Jay Sawvel · Run-leaning
2025Wyoming4-8HC: Jay Sawvel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming18933656.2%1,9715.91210111.4----
2024Wyoming7012058.3%9558.063136.7----
Career2 loaded seasons25945656.8%2,9266.41813118.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Wyoming43-33-0.80--
2024Wyoming22492.22--
Career2 loaded seasons65160.22--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -33 0 rush TD | #388/408 (5th pct)
Usage 46.8% 83.3% pass share | 8.0% rush share | #107/428 (75th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.16 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #165/200 (18th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,971 #92/382 76th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 12 #88/407 79th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 189 #82/383 79th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 56.3% #269/383 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.9 #275/382 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -33 #388/408 5th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.16 #165/200 18th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 327 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 46.8% #107/428 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 336 #62/407 85th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 10 #377/407 8th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 43 #142/408 65th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 9 #311/391 21st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -0.8 #354/407 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 83.3% #105/428 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 60.7% #105/428 76th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 59.4% #105/428 76th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 47.3% #98/428 77th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 40.6% #104/428 76th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 39.5% #110/428 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 8.0% #200/428 54th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g1911.36.00.7
Road6g1380.75.51.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g2211.87.20.8
Losses8g1360.65.00.9

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2121.36.60.8
Weeks 8+6g1170.74.80.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

25Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush tds (9th).

Pass yards#92 / 183 · 50th pct
1971pass
Pass TDs#88 / 183 · 49th pct
12pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Completion %#156 / 183 · 14th pct
56.3%pass
Interceptions#153 / 183 · 14th pct
10pass
Yards / att#164 / 183 · 11th pct
5.9pass
Rush yards#165 / 183 · 10th pct
-33rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

117/213 (54.9%) · 7 TD · 3 INT

Short

0–9 yds
56%of completions
66 comp5.7 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
24%of completions
28 comp12.5 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
20%of completions
23 comp31.1 yds avg5 TD

Overall 54.9% completion on 213 attempts · 23 deep completions averaging 31.1 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.160
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.16Below (<p25) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kaden AndersonWyomingLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 89% simPreston StoneNorthwestern· 86% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 78% sim
Pass yards
50
Anderson
58
Fife
62
Stone
57
Vattiato
Pass TDs
49
Anderson
45
Fife
68
Stone
64
Vattiato
Fumbles lost
38
Anderson
18
Fife
38
Stone
66
Vattiato
Completion %
14
Anderson
13
Fife
34
Stone
41
Vattiato
Interceptions
14
Anderson
5
Fife
5
Stone
44
Vattiato
Yards / att
11
Anderson
19
Fife
26
Stone
13
Vattiato
Rush yards
10
Anderson
20
Fife
24
Stone
27
Vattiato
Rush TDs
9
Anderson
26
Fife
26
Stone
39
Vattiato

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ryan Hilinski’s 2022 season.

Ryan Hilinski

78%match

Northwestern · 2022

#2

Tad Hudson

Coastal Carolina · 2025

74%
#3

Zach Calzada

Texas A&M · 2021

70%
#4

Billy Wiles

Southern Miss · 2023

70%
#5

Ryan Hilinski

Northwestern · 2021

69%

Matches Ryan on

Yards / attempt
Rush yards / carry
Weight

Differs from Ryan on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Mike Wright’s path through Northwestern.

Mike Wright

91%match

Northwestern · 2024

#2

Joe Pesansky

Florida International · 2025

89%
#3

Aidan Armenta

UL Monroe · 2025

87%
#4

Cam Ransom

Bethune-Cookman · 2025

85%
#5

Ethan Hampton

Northern Illinois · 2024

84%

Matches Mike on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jacob Sirmon's sophomore season at Central Michigan (2021).

Jacob Sirmon

66%match

Central Michigan · 2021

#2

Brayden Schager

Hawai'i · 2022

65%
#3

Ken Seals

Vanderbilt · 2021

64%
#4

Ryan Hilinski

Northwestern · 2021

64%
#5

Aidan Armenta

UL Monroe · 2025

62%

Matches Jacob on

Height

Differs from Jacob on

Class year (lower)
Completion % (lower)
TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Sawvel

Pass share

49.8%

383 pass / 386 run

Plays / game

64.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

332 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
2025
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming

Played his entire career under Jay Sawvel.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSouthlake, TX
Height6'4"
Weight230 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wyoming QB2 #526 #811 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Wyoming QB2 #1763 #1569 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wyoming Mountain West QB 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Southlake, TX
2024 Wyoming Mountain West QB 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Southlake, TX
2023 Wyoming Mountain West QB 2 No. 12 | 6-4 | 230 lb | Southlake, TX