CFB Zeitgeist Score
5
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 21st percentile.
Justin Erb
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
18 REC YDS · 3 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Wyoming for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Wyoming
Returning around him
- 77% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +3 net (19 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Wyoming · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #117 · 2026 recruiting class #89
TE · WYOMING · MOUNTAIN WEST
Justin Erb
- 4
- #80
- 6-2 | 245 lb
- Wakefield, NE
Heisman Heat
#5243
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Wyoming
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Justin Erb
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Justin Erb
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 4g
18Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
4.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
58.5Rec yards
10Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 18): needs 75.8/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 18): needs 109.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 6.3/game over remaining 9.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 8.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.8/game over remaining 9.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Justin Erb's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wyoming, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
3 35th
YDS
18 23rd
YPR
6.0 16th
TD
1 71st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 10-0@ Akron | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 2 | W 31-7vs Northern Iowa | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | Season-high 9 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 20-37@ Colorado | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 6 | L 17-31vs UNLV | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Total | 3 | 18 | 6.8 | 1 | 9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #311/475 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 18 | #368/475 | 23rd pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.0 | #401/475 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.2% | #336/468 | 28th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #386/475 | 19th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.2% | #198/468 | 58th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 2.2% | #320/468 | 32nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.2% | #310/468 | 34th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.1% | #331/468 | 29th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 2.1% | #329/468 | 30th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #339/468 | 28th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 1.5 | 9.0 | 6.8 | 0.5 |
| Road2g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 0.5 | 4.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 1.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 0.8 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
5Below cohort
Concern: long catch (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Justin ErbWyomingBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 57% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 53% sim
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jay Sawvel
Pass share
49.8%
383 pass / 386 run
Plays / game
64.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.3%
332 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
2025
Jay Sawvel
Wyoming
Played his entire career under Jay Sawvel.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWakefield, NE
Height6'2"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey80
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWyoming
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.