cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joshua Celiscar /South Florida

Joshua Celiscar

DL · South Florida · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · South Florida

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (44 in / 34 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Florida · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #61 · 2026 recruiting class #65

DL · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Joshua Celiscar

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-3 | 292 lb
  • Winter Haven, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9941

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1554 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-3 | 292 lb
HometownWinter Haven, FL
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1554 recruit
Composite rating 0.8393 HighSchool
Signed with UCF 2020
Origin Winter Haven Winter Haven, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8393 No. 1554 recruit | HighSchool | UCF

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9941Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9733Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UCF

Composite

0.8393

#1554 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joshua Celiscar

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Celiscar

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
34Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Final
34Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joshua Celiscar is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Florida's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9941 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 13 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
13 65th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State200.50.00
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida420.50.00
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami530.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State100.00.00
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte300.00.00
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas110.00.00
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic100.50.51
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis110.00.01
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA410.00.00
Wk 12L 38-41@ Navy400.50.50
Wk 13W 48-18@ UAB210.00.00
Wk 14W 52-3vs Rice211.01.00
BowlL 10-24vs Old Dominion430.00.00
Total34133.02.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UCF8-4HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2022UCF9-5HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023UCF6-7HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida34133.02.02----
2023UCF33182.50.0------
2022UCF46287.03.01----
2021UCF39247.53.0------
Career4 loaded seasons1528320.08.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 13 #1622/4584 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.40.30.20.1
Road6g2.80.20.10.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.20.30.20.1
Losses4g3.50.10.10.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.90.10.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.30.30.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

69Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (92nd).

QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
Solo tackles#1622 / 2975 · 44th pct
13defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Joshua CeliscarSouth FloridaRay ConeyTulsa· 72% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 72% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 71% sim
QB hurries
92
Celiscar
88
Coney
82
Payne
95
Fields
Sacks
80
Celiscar
80
Coney
80
Payne
63
Fields
Passes defended
67
Celiscar
67
Coney
67
Payne
67
Fields
Tackles for loss
63
Celiscar
90
Coney
87
Payne
87
Fields
Tackles
61
Celiscar
100
Coney
98
Payne
98
Fields
Solo tackles
44
Celiscar
93
Coney
95
Payne
96
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kelvin Gilliam’s 2025 season.

Kelvin Gilliam

95%match

Virginia Tech · 2025

#2

Tobin Phillips

Stanford · 2022

90%
#3

Etinosa Reuben

Massachusetts · 2024

90%
#4

Seth Mason

UL Monroe · 2021

90%
#5

Cavon Butler

Toledo · 2024

89%

Matches Kelvin on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWinter Haven, FL
Height6'3"
Weight292 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M DL4 #9941 #9733 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 UCF DL4 #10937 #10958 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 UCF DL4 #7915 #8536 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 UCF DL4 #7081 #7644 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic DL 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 292 lb | Winter Haven, FL
2024 Texas A&M SEC DL 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 292 lb | Winter Haven, FL
2023 UCF Big 12 DL 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 292 lb | Winter Haven, FL
2022 UCF American Athletic DL 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 292 lb | Winter Haven, FL
2021 UCF American Athletic DL 4 No. 8 | 6-3 | 292 lb | Winter Haven, FL