CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 56th percentile.
Jeff Sims
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,261 PASS YDS · 10 PASS TD · 522 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arizona State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Arizona State
Returning around him
- 70% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 4 Arizona State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +3 net (24 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arizona State · Last season: 8-5 (AP #24) · Talent rank #33 · 2026 recruiting class #44
QB · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12
Jeff Sims
- 4
- #2
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Jacksonville, FL
Heisman Heat
#729
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025-14%
Down 14% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9170 | No. 228 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Nebraska -> Arizona State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech -> Nebraska | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (522).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Georgia Tech
Composite
0.9170
#228 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jeff Sims
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=5
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jeff Sims
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
TD : INT ratio
1.7
ratio
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts
National rank #54 of 72
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 150 attempts 25th
Why it matters
#54 of 72 P4 + Notre Dame QBs at 1.7 TDs per INT (188 attempts).
Vs cohort
This player 1.7 (25th)
MODERATE · n=188 cohort 72
- Also strong
- Yards per attempt#59 / 72
- ESPN QBR (season average)#38 / 92
- QB rushing weighted-EPA#41 / 46
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 9g
1,261Pass yards
10Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
140.1Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,821Pass yards
14Pass TDs
9INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,261): needs 434.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,261): needs 684.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 3.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 6.2/game over remaining 4.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Jeff Sims's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Arizona State, he has 1,261 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, but he also adds 522 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
105 66th
ATT
188 69th
CMP%
55.9% 28th
Y/A
6.7 45th
Passing Production
YDS
1,261 66th
TD
10 74th
INT
6 28th
Rushing
CAR
100 88th
YDS
522 92nd
YPC
5.2 79th
TD
5 86th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 34-15vs Texas State | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-42@ Utah | 18/38 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | 66.5 | |
| Wk 8 | W 26-22vs Texas Tech | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Houston | 6/11 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 5.3 | 83.2 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-19@ Iowa State | 13/24 | 177 | 1 | 1 | 7.4 | 66.1 | |
| Wk 12 | W 25-23vs West Virginia | 19/28 | 207 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 | 75.0 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 42-17@ Colorado | 11/24 | 206 | 2 | 1 | 8.6 | 41.6 | |
| Wk 14 | L 7-23vs Arizona | 11/25 | 114 | 0 | 3 | 4.6 | 31.8 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Bowl | L 39-42@ Duke | 27/38 | 375 | 3 | 1 | 9.9 | 85.0 | |
| Total | 105/188 | 1261 | 10 | 6 | 6.6 | 64.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Georgia Tech3-9HC: Geoff Collins · Run-leaning
2022Georgia Tech5-7HC: Brent Key · Balanced
2023Nebraska5-7HC: Matt Rhule · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | 105 | 188 | 55.9% | 1,261 | 6.7 | 10 | 6 | 123.4 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Nebraska | 28 | 47 | 59.6% | 282 | 6.0 | 1 | 6 | 91.5 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | 110 | 188 | 58.5% | 1,115 | 5.9 | 5 | 3 | 113.9 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech | 113 | 188 | 60.1% | 1,468 | 7.8 | 12 | 7 | 139.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 356 | 611 | 58.3% | 4,126 | 6.8 | 28 | 22 | 122.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | 100 | 522 | 5.2 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Nebraska | 42 | 189 | 4.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | 87 | 288 | 3.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech | 70 | 372 | 5.3 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 299 | 1,371 | 4.6 | 11 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,261 | #130/382 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 105 | #132/383 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 55.9% | #275/383 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.7 | #210/382 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 522 | #35/408 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.15 | #171/200 | 15th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 185 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 44.6% | #120/428 | 72nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 188 | #127/407 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 100 | #51/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 88 | #1/391 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #88/407 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #59/408 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 66.2% | #150/428 | 65th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 60.0% | #109/428 | 75th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 55.0% | #129/428 | 70th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 50.0% | #80/428 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 36.9% | #129/428 | 70th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 34.9% | #137/428 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 27.0% | #24/428 | 95th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.16 | #112/140 | 21st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 85 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 75.8 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 0.6 |
| Road4g | 220 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 118 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 168 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 166 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 127 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
38Mid-pack
Elite: rush yards (81st). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.15Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.16Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jeff SimsArizona StateRyan BrownePurdue· 79% simBen FinleyAkron· 74% simMalik WashingtonMaryland· 73% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Interceptions
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Pass yards
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jeff Sims’s 2021 season.
Jeff Sims
72%match
#2
Gerry Bohannon
67%
#3
Grant Wilson
66%
#4
Taisun Phommachanh
65%
#5
Ben Wooldridge
63%
Matches Jeff on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush usage
INT rate
Differs from Jeff on
Completion % (lower)
Through 6 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Sam Noyer’s path through Oregon State.
Sam Noyer
88%match
#2
N'Kosi Perry
86%
#3
Rocky Lombardi
84%
#4
Cornelious Brown
79%
#5
Zach Pyron
79%
Matches Sam on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kenny Dillingham
Pass share
47.1%
429 pass / 482 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
345 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2022
Herm Edwards
Arizona State
2023era →
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
Coaching transition mid-career: Herm Edwards → Kenny Dillingham. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArizona State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arizona State | QB4 | #729 | #581 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Nebraska | QB4 | #1050 | #1116 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | QB4 | #572 | #758 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech | QB4 | #102 | #129 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2024 | Arizona State | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2023 | Nebraska | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2022 | Georgia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |
| 2021 | Georgia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Jacksonville, FL |