cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Javen Jacobs /Utah State

Javen Jacobs

RB · Utah State · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

429 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 65 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Utah State

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87

RB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Javen Jacobs

  • 3
  • 5-10 | 190 lb
  • Chandler, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4257

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
8.02023
4292025

+5262%

Up 5262% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1670 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements5-10 | 190 lb
HometownChandler, AZ
Primary teamUtah State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1670 recruit
Composite rating 0.8317 HighSchool
Signed with Arizona State 2022
Origin Saguaro Scottsdale, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8317 No. 1670 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4257Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4668Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (379).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arizona State

Composite

0.8317

#1670 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Javen Jacobs

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The Utah State Aggies enter Year 2 under head coach Bronco Mendenhall (6-7 in Ye"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Javen Jacobs

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 43 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

HIGH · n=43 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#323 / 531
  • Yards per reception#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 at Vanderbilt — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 35-55

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Vanderbilt.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
429Rush yards
65Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
33Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
429Rush yards
65Carries
5Rush TDs

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Javen Jacobs is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 429 rushing yards, 43 catches, and 250 return yards for Utah State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #4257 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 808 429 rush | 379 rec | #194/735 (74th pct)
Rush TD 5 65 carries | #115/739 (85th pct)
Yards/carry 6.6 Per-rush efficiency | #76/735 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runnerPassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
65 65th
YDS
429 74th
YPC
6.6 90th
TD
5 85th

Receiving

REC
43 100th
YDS
379 99th
YPR
8.8 68th
TD
3 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 28-16vs UTEP4123.0010
Wk 2L 22-44@ Texas A&M8324.006
Wk 3W 49-30vs Air Force9717.9152
Wk 4W 48-7vs McNeese7223.115
Wk 5L 35-55@ Vanderbilt46315.8058
Wk 7L 26-44@ Hawai'i200.001
Wk 8W 30-25vs San José State7111.6010
Wk 9L 14-33@ New Mexico6315.2019
Wk 11W 51-14vs Nevada111.001
Wk 12L 26-29@ UNLV122.002
Wk 13W 28-17@ Fresno State8688.5232
Wk 14L 24-25vs Boise State59218.4156Season-high 92 yds
BowlL 21-34vs Washington State3248.0012
Total654296.0558
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Arizona State3-9HC: Herm Edwards · Balanced
2023Arizona State3-9HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Utah State654296.65--
2023Arizona State382.70--
2022Arizona State----------
Career3 loaded seasons684376.45--
SeasonTeam
2025Utah State433798.83--
2023Arizona State----------
2022Arizona State----------
Career3 loaded seasons433798.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 43 379 rec yds | #3/552 (100th pct)
Usage 12.7% 14.4% rush share | #231/738 (69th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.20 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #58/362 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 429 #194/735 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #115/739 85th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.6 #76/735 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 43 #3/552 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 379 #8/548 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.20 #58/362 84th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 59 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 12.7% #231/738 69th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 65 #257/739 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 58 #112/733 85th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 30 #126/540 77th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #175/548 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #5/552 99th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 219 #34/200 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards 31 #14/27 52nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 19.9 #83/199 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 11 #24/206 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 8 #6/29 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg 3.9 #23/27 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 14.8% #231/738 69th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.4% #365/738 51st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 14.1% #237/738 68th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.0% #239/738 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 11.4% #13/738 98th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.9% #206/738 72nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.2% #277/738 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g33.36.10.4
Road6g32.75.90.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g30.84.20.7
Losses7g34.97.60.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g32.06.00.3
Weeks 8+6g34.26.10.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

68Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (99th). Strength: rec yards (98th). Concern: carries (26th).

Receptions#3 / 338 · 99th pct
43rece
Rec yards#7 / 338 · 98th pct
379rece
Yards / carry#22 / 349 · 93rd pct
6.6rush
Long run#102 / 349 · 70th pct
58rush
Rush TDs#115 / 349 · 62nd pct
5rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#194 / 349 · 45th pct
429rush
Carries#257 / 349 · 26th pct
65rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.2High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Javen JacobsUtah StateDaylan SmothersNC State· 72% simBo JacksonOhio State· 70% simRaleek BrownArizona State· 69% sim
Receptions
99
Jacobs
97
Smothers
75
Jackson
94
Brown
Rec yards
98
Jacobs
81
Smothers
84
Jackson
91
Brown
Yards / carry
93
Jacobs
84
Smothers
87
Jackson
87
Brown
Long run
70
Jacobs
78
Smothers
76
Jackson
97
Brown
Rush TDs
62
Jacobs
72
Smothers
72
Jackson
50
Brown
Fumbles lost
49
Jacobs
49
Jackson
49
Brown
Rush yards
45
Jacobs
86
Smothers
93
Jackson
95
Brown
Carries
26
Jacobs
84
Smothers
88
Jackson
90
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete Back

Threatens defenses in every dimension — rushing, receiving, third-down.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to C'Bo Flemister’s 2022 season.

C'Bo Flemister

52%match

Pittsburgh · 2022

#2

Emmanuel Michel

Air Force · 2021

51%
#3

Ramone Green Jr.

Missouri State · 2025

43%
#4

Raleek Brown

USC · 2022

42%
#5

Nelson Smith

Navy · 2020

22%

Matches C'Bo on

Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from C'Bo on

EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Weight (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cade Harris's senior season at Air Force (2025).

Cade Harris

42%match

Air Force · 2025

#2

Cam Barfield

Hawai'i · 2025

All-Mountain West
40%
#3

Taron Keith

Bowling Green · 2023

37%
#4

Rayshon Luke

Fresno State · 2025

36%
#5

Jason Bean

Kansas · 2023

30%

Matches Cade on

Yards / carry

Differs from Cade on

Yards / reception (lower)
Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bronco Mendenhall

Pass share

47.9%

403 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

339 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChandler, AZ
Height5'10"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico RB3 #4257 #4668 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Arizona State RB3 #3422 #3730 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Arizona State RB3 #3481 #3650 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah State Mountain West RB 3 5-10 | 190 lb | Chandler, AZ
2024 New Mexico Mountain West RB 3 5-10 | 190 lb | Chandler, AZ
2023 Arizona State Pac-12 RB 3 5-10 | 190 lb | Chandler, AZ
2022 Arizona State Pac-12 RB 3 5-10 | 190 lb | Chandler, AZ