CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Jase Bauer
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA
Jase Bauer
- 4
- #8
- 6-2 | 215 lb
- Ankeny, IA
Heisman Heat
#1071
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR00 · Walk-on
Walk-on. Earning a roster spot is the starting line.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2023+332%
Up 332% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Central Michigan
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8237 | No. 1919 recruit | HighSchool | Central Michigan |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston -> UT Martin | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2024 | Central Michigan -> Sam Houston | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Central Michigan
Composite
0.8237
#1919 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jase Bauer
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jase Bauer
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 3g
455Pass yards
1Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
151.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,972Pass yards
4Pass TDs
9INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 455): needs 254.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 455): needs 354.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 10.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.9/game over remaining 10.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.4/game over remaining 10.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Jase Bauer's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Sam Houston, he has 1,881 passing yards and 12 touchdown passes, but he also adds 366 rushing yards and 10 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
163 74th
ATT
287 78th
CMP%
56.8% 31st
Y/A
6.6 42nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,881 75th
TD
12 79th
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
121 91st
YDS
366 88th
YPC
3.0 55th
TD
10 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-27@ Oklahoma State | 9/16 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 | -- | |
| Wk 2 | L 17-42@ UTEP | 23/33 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | -- | Season-high 273 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 10-42@ Missouri State | 19/27 | 112 | 0 | 1 | 4.1 | -- | |
| Total | 51/76 | 455 | 1 | 2 | 5.6 | — |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Central Michigan4-8HC: Jim McElwain · Run-leaning
2023Central Michigan5-7HC: Jim McElwain · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Central Michigan | 163 | 287 | 56.8% | 1,881 | 6.6 | 12 | 8 | 120.1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | 35 | 59 | 59.3% | 435 | 7.4 | 1 | 5 | 109.9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 198 | 346 | 57.2% | 2,316 | 6.7 | 13 | 13 | 118.3 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Central Michigan | 121 | 366 | 3.0 | 10 | -- |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | 53 | 312 | 5.9 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 174 | 678 | 3.9 | 14 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,881 | #98/382 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 12 | #88/407 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 163 | #100/383 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 56.8% | #264/383 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.6 | #223/382 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 366 | #52/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 287 | #90/407 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 121 | #36/408 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 29 | #113/391 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 10 | #14/408 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.0 | #185/407 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road3g | 152 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses3g | 152 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 152 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Phil Longo
Pass share
51.3%
388 pass / 368 run
Plays / game
63.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2023
1 coach2022
—
Sam Houston
2023era →
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
Played his entire career under K.C. Keeler.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAnkeny, IA
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey8
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSam Houston
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2024
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Sam Houston | QB4 | #1071 | #928 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | QB4 | #420 | #681 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | QB4 | #1049 | #1416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 8 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Ankeny, IA |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 8 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Ankeny, IA |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 8 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Ankeny, IA |