cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Merrifield /South Florida

Jacob Merrifield

DT · South Florida · Sr · #40

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

19 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Florida for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · South Florida

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (44 in / 34 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Florida · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #61 · 2026 recruiting class #65

DT · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Jacob Merrifield

  • 4
  • #40
  • 6-2 | 290 lb
  • Winder, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13894

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1682 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey40
Measurements6-2 | 290 lb
HometownWinder, GA
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1682 recruit
Composite rating 0.8322 HighSchool
Signed with Florida Atlantic 2021
Origin Winder-Barrow Winder, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8322 No. 1682 recruit | HighSchool | Florida Atlantic

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13894Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13907Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Florida Atlantic

Composite

0.8322

#1682 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Merrifield

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Merrifield

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
19Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
25Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
2.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 19): needs 20.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 19): needs 27/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Merrifield is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Florida's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13894 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 19 7 solo | #2072/4942 (58th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
19 58th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
2.0 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State410.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida100.50.00
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami100.00.00
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte400.00.00
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas321.01.01
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic111.01.00
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis110.00.00
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA100.00.00
Wk 12L 38-41@ Navy210.00.00
BowlL 10-24vs Old Dominion110.00.00
Total1972.52.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Florida Atlantic5-7HC: Willie Taggart · Balanced, slow tempo
2022Florida Atlantic5-7HC: Willie Taggart · Run-leaning
2023Florida Atlantic4-8HC: Tom Herman · Balanced
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida1972.52.01----
2023Florida Atlantic1351.00.0------
2022Florida Atlantic1451.50.0------
2021Florida Atlantic210.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons48185.02.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 19 #2072/4942 58th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.20.20.0
Road5g1.60.30.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.40.30.2
Losses4g1.20.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.30.20.20.2
Weeks 8+4g1.20.20.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

47Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (16th).

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles#2072 / 2975 · 29th pct
19defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jacob MerrifieldSouth FloridaMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 58% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 55% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 53% sim
Sacks
80
Merrifield
89
Montgomery
63
Vaughns
24
Martin
Tackles for loss
56
Merrifield
85
Montgomery
85
Vaughns
63
Martin
Passes defended
48
Merrifield
67
Montgomery
48
Vaughns
67
Martin
Tackles
29
Merrifield
99
Montgomery
99
Vaughns
98
Martin
QB hurries
22
Merrifield
22
Montgomery
22
Vaughns
22
Martin
Solo tackles
17
Merrifield
82
Montgomery
96
Vaughns
87
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Doran Ray’s 2025 season.

Doran Ray

92%match

Toledo · 2025

#2

Mason Narcisse

Louisiana · 2024

90%
#3

Devonte O'Malley

Northern Illinois · 2023

90%
#4

John Taumoepeau

BYU · 2024

90%
#5

Eliel Ehimare

UNLV · 2022

88%

Matches Doran on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Doran Ray's graduate season at Toledo (2025).

Doran Ray

94%match

Toledo · 2025

#2

Mason Narcisse

Louisiana · 2024

86%
#3

Ricky Barber

UCF · 2024

All-AAC
82%
#4

Keyon Ware-Hudson

Oregon · 2024

80%
#5

Jordan Guerad

Louisville · 2025

All-Conference USA
78%

Matches Doran on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWinder, GA
Height6'2"
Weight290 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey40

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida Atlantic DT4 #13894 #13907 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Florida Atlantic DT4 #13392 #13517 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Florida Atlantic DT4 #13322 #13444 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Florida Atlantic DT4 #12802 #12746 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic DT 4 No. 40 | 6-2 | 290 lb | Winder, GA
2024 Florida Atlantic American Athletic DT 4 No. 40 | 6-2 | 290 lb | Winder, GA
2023 Florida Atlantic American Athletic DT 4 No. 40 | 6-2 | 290 lb | Winder, GA
2022 Florida Atlantic Conference USA DT 4 No. 40 | 6-2 | 290 lb | Winder, GA
2021 Florida Atlantic Conference USA DT 4 No. 40 | 6-2 | 290 lb | Winder, GA