cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Israel Polk /Akron

Israel Polk

WR · Akron · So · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

525 REC YDS · 33 REC · 8 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Akron → Oklahoma State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Oklahoma State

2025Akron
2026Oklahoma State

WR · AKRON · MID-AMERICAN

Israel Polk

  • 2
  • #5
  • 6-1 | 170 lb
  • Richmond, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3167

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Pittsburgh · WR

2024

Akron · WR

2025

Akron · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
14.02023
2012024
5252025

+3650%

Up 3650% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1141 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey5
Measurements6-1 | 170 lb
HometownRichmond, CA
Primary teamAkron

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1141 recruit
Composite rating 0.8592 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin St. John Bosco Bellflower, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8592 No. 1141 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oklahoma State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Akron -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 Pittsburgh -> Akron 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3167Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3926Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8592

#1141 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Israel Polk

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Israel Polk

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

15.9

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #72 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 87th

Why it matters

#72 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.9 yards per reception (33 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 15.9 (87th)

HIGH · n=33 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#23 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#193 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 at UAB — 99 ypr

Result L 28-31

The week the volume broke through — put up 99 yds at UAB.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
525Rec yards
33Receptions
8Rec TDs
Per game
43.8Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
568.8Rec yards
36Receptions
9Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 525): needs 175/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 525): needs 475/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 33): needs 27/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 33): needs 47/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 8): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Israel Polk already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3167 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 33 8 rec TD | #247/1110 (78th pct)
Receiving yards 525 15.9 per catch | #198/1107 (82nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 525 Total offensive yardage | #198/1107 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
33 78th
YDS
525 82nd
YPR
15.9 81st
TD
8 98th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 0-10vs Wyoming2136.5011
Wk 2L 0-68@ Nebraska144.004
Wk 3L 28-31@ UAB49924.8275Season-high 99 yds
Wk 4W 51-7vs Duquesne24723.5027
Wk 5L 3-45@ Toledo2168.0014
Wk 6W 28-22vs Central Michigan2147.009
Wk 7L 7-20vs Miami (OH)5285.618
Wk 8L 28-42@ Ball State57214.42252 TD catches
Wk 9W 24-16@ Buffalo36722.3046
Wk 11W 44-10vs Massachusetts11313.0113
Wk 12L 35-42vs Kent State46716.8119
Wk 13W 19-16@ Bowling Green28542.5175
Total3352515.7875
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Pittsburgh3-9HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Akron4-8HC: Joe Moorhead · Pass-leaning
2025Akron5-7HC: Joe Moorhead · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Akron3352515.98--
2024Akron242018.40--
2023Pittsburgh11414.00--
Career3 loaded seasons5874012.88--
SeasonTeam
2025Akron1--------
2024Akron----------
2023Pittsburgh----------
Career3 loaded seasons1--------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.3% 14.0% pass-game share | #279/1137 (76th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 8 Across offense and returns | #23/1111 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 33 #247/1110 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 525 #198/1107 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 8 #23/1111 98th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 15.9 #213/1106 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.0% #279/1137 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #47/1105 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.7% #394/1137 65th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.4% #187/1137 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.3% #216/1137 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.3% #254/1137 78th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.9% #473/1137 58th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.8% #319/1137 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.730.312.10.5
Road6g2.857.219.30.8

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g2.045.221.70.4
Losses7g3.342.711.40.9

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.631.611.30.4
Weeks 8+5g3.060.821.81.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

70Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (94th). Strength: long catch (90th). Concern: rush yards (17th).

Rec TDs#23 / 558 · 95th pct
8rece
Long catch#43 / 558 · 91st pct
75rece
Yards / catch#93 / 558 · 83rd pct
15.9rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rec yards#198 / 558 · 65th pct
525rece
Receptions#247 / 558 · 55th pct
33rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#233 / 287 · 18th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Israel PolkAkronChase HendricksOhio· 80% simDenzel BostonWashington· 80% simChris Brazzell IITennessee· 78% sim
Rec TDs
95
Polk
92
Hendricks
98
Boston
97
II
Long catch
91
Polk
80
Hendricks
94
Boston
86
II
Yards / catch
83
Polk
72
Hendricks
66
Boston
87
II
Fumbles lost
81
Polk
81
Hendricks
81
Boston
Rec yards
65
Polk
97
Hendricks
92
Boston
97
II
Receptions
55
Polk
97
Hendricks
91
Boston
91
II
Rush TDs
39
Polk
39
Hendricks
Rush yards
18
Polk
20
Hendricks

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Javen Banks’s 2020 season.

Javen Banks

69%match

Texas State · 2020

#2

Nic Trujillo

UL Monroe · 2025

66%
#3

Dontae Fleming

Louisiana · 2022

61%
#4

Chris Reed

Sam Houston · 2025

60%
#5

Corey Smith

Tulsa · 2024

58%

Matches Javen on

Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Javen on

Class year (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.

Joshua Harris

97%match

Furman · 2024

#2

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

97%
#3

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
96%
#4

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

95%
#5

Donovan Brown

San Diego State · 2025

93%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Nic Trujillo's junior season at UL Monroe (2025).

Nic Trujillo

71%match

UL Monroe · 2025

#2

Jaedn Skeete

Boston College · 2025

56%
#3

Darrell Gill Jr.

Syracuse · 2025

54%
#4

Nick Devereaux

Eastern Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
52%
#5

Cole Turner

Clemson · 2024

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
52%

Matches Nic on

EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume

Differs from Nic on

TD rate (higher)
Weight (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joe Moorhead

Pass share

48.7%

402 pass / 423 run

Plays / game

68.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.2%

370 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Joe Moorhead
Akron
2024
Joe Moorhead
Akron
2025
Joe Moorhead
Akron

Played his entire career under Joe Moorhead.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRichmond, CA
Height6'1"
Weight170 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-MAC all_conference Akron | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Akron WR2 #3167 #3926 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Pittsburgh WR2 #3705 #4020 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Akron Mid-American WR 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA
2024 Akron Mid-American WR 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA
2023 Pittsburgh ACC WR 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 170 lb | Richmond, CA