cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gregory DeRosiers /Memphis

Gregory DeRosiers

RB · Memphis · Sr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

563 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 99 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

RB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Gregory DeRosiers

  • 4
  • #13
  • 5-11 | 200 lb
  • Belmont, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

78

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#238

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
2032022
3012023
2282024
5632025

+177%

Up 177% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey13
Measurements5-11 | 200 lb
HometownBelmont, MS
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#238Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#271Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gregory DeRosiers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gregory DeRosiers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

1

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #402 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 24th

Why it matters

#402 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 1 TDs on 32 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 1 (24th)

HIGH · n=32 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#471 / 531
  • Yards per reception#514 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 vs Tulsa — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 45-7

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs Tulsa.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
563Rush yards
99Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
56.3Rush yards
10Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
731.9Rush yards
129Carries
9Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 563): needs 62.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 563): needs 145.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 563): needs 312.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 4.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gregory DeRosiers is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 563 rushing yards, 32 catches, and 40 return yards for Memphis. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #238 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 18.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 791 563 rush | 228 rec | #132/735 (82nd pct)
Rush TD 7 99 carries | #62/739 (92nd pct)
Yards/carry 5.7 Per-rush efficiency | #152/735 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
99 78th
YDS
563 82nd
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
7 92nd

Receiving

REC
32 95th
YDS
228 94th
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga4266.519
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas9323.6021
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic1920410.7390Season-high 204 yds
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa14533.808
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB11746.7141
Wk 9W 34-31vs South Florida11333.0113
Wk 10W 38-14@ Rice7284.0112
Wk 11L 32-38vs Tulane8354.4017
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina9535.9026
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy7253.609
Total995635.2790
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Massachusetts1-11HC: Don Brown · Run-heavy
2023Massachusetts3-9HC: Don Brown · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis995635.77--
2024Memphis312287.43--
2023Massachusetts373018.14--
2022Massachusetts422034.82--
Career4 loaded seasons2091,2956.216--
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis322287.11--
2024Memphis211758.34--
2023Massachusetts1518512.32--
2022Massachusetts6152.50--
Career4 loaded seasons746038.17--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 32 228 rec yds | #28/552 (95th pct)
Usage 18.9% 28.9% rush share | #103/738 (86th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.24 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #26/362 (93rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 563 #132/735 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 7 #62/739 92nd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.7 #152/735 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 32 #28/552 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 228 #36/548 94th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.24 #26/362 93rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 97 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 18.9% #103/738 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 99 #166/739 78th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 90 #8/733 99th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #174/540 68th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.1 #261/548 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 40 #110/200 46th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 13.3 #154/199 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 3 #85/206 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 28.9% #137/738 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 22.5% #103/738 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 21.1% #108/738 86th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.5% #43/738 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.3% #168/738 77th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.1% #82/738 89th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 9.9% #33/738 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g34.04.10.3
Road4g89.86.81.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g62.75.31.0
Losses4g46.85.20.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g78.86.11.0
Weeks 8+6g41.34.60.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

78All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long run (97th). Strength: receptions (91st).

Long run#8 / 349 · 98th pct
90rush
Receptions#28 / 338 · 92nd pct
32rece
Rec yards#35 / 338 · 90th pct
228rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rush TDs#62 / 349 · 80th pct
7rush
Yards / carry#68 / 349 · 79th pct
5.7rush
Rush yards#132 / 349 · 62nd pct
563rush
Carries#166 / 349 · 52nd pct
99rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.24Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Gregory DeRosiersMemphisDaylan SmothersNC State· 82% simChip TrayanumToledo· 82% simWayne KnightJames Madison· 79% sim
Long run
98
DeRosiers
78
Smothers
90
Trayanum
88
Knight
Receptions
92
DeRosiers
97
Smothers
79
Trayanum
98
Knight
Rec yards
90
DeRosiers
81
Smothers
87
Trayanum
99
Knight
Fumbles lost
87
DeRosiers
87
Trayanum
87
Knight
Rush TDs
80
DeRosiers
72
Smothers
94
Trayanum
87
Knight
Yards / carry
79
DeRosiers
84
Smothers
74
Trayanum
93
Knight
Rush yards
62
DeRosiers
86
Smothers
90
Trayanum
98
Knight
Carries
52
DeRosiers
84
Smothers
90
Trayanum
93
Knight

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jo'quavious Marks’s 2022 season.

Jo'quavious Marks

67%match

Mississippi State · 2022

#2

Nelson Smith

Navy · 2020

56%
#3

Jo'quavious Marks

USC · 2024

64%
#4

Lopini Katoa

BYU · 2020

59%
#5

Dean Connors

Rice · 2023

63%

Matches Jo'quavious on

Yards / carry
Height
Weight

Differs from Jo'quavious on

Receiving share (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Lawrance Toafili's senior season at Florida State (2023).

Lawrance Toafili

72%match

Florida State · 2023

#2

Kaidon Salter

Liberty · 2024

All-Conference USA
65%
#3

Roman Hemby

Maryland · 2024

All-Big Ten
65%
#4

Thomas Castellanos

Florida State · 2025

All-ACC
60%
#5

Jason Bean

Kansas · 2023

59%

Matches Lawrance on

Weight
Height
Rush TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBelmont, MS
Height5'11"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis RB4 #238 #271 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Massachusetts RB4 #495 #792 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Massachusetts RB4 #1757 #2519 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic RB 4 No. 13 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Belmont, MS
2024 Memphis American Athletic RB 4 No. 13 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Belmont, MS
2023 Massachusetts FBS Independents RB 4 No. 13 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Belmont, MS
2022 Massachusetts FBS Independents RB 4 No. 13 | 5-11 | 200 lb | Belmont, MS