cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Fred Gaskin /South Florida

Fred Gaskin

S · South Florida · So · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred South Florida → Auburn for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Auburn

2025South Florida
2026Auburn

S · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Fred Gaskin

  • 2
  • #5
  • 5-10 | 198 lb
  • Ocala, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14238

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#547 national
CFB
College
South Florida
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey5
Measurements5-10 | 198 lb
HometownOcala, FL
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 547 recruit
Composite rating 0.8853 HighSchool
Signed with South Florida 2024
Origin Vanguard Ocala, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8853 No. 547 recruit | HighSchool | South Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Auburn 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 South Florida -> Auburn 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14238Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14268Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to South Florida

Composite

0.8853

#547 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Fred Gaskin

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Fred Gaskin

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
53Tackles
3Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
53Tackles
3Tackles for loss
1Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Fred Gaskin is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Florida's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14238 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 28 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
28 87th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State300.00.01
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida431.00.00
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami740.00.00
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State300.00.00
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte100.00.00
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas200.00.010
Wk 8W 48-13vs Florida Atlantic761.01.00
Wk 9L 31-34@ Memphis320.00.00
Wk 11W 55-23vs UTSA520.00.00
Wk 12L 38-41@ Navy860.00.01Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 13W 48-18@ UAB211.00.010
Wk 14W 52-3vs Rice410.00.00
BowlL 10-24vs Old Dominion430.00.00
Total53283.01.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida53283.01.022--
Career1 loaded season53283.01.022--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 48 #118/578 80th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 28 #608/4584 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 24.0 #161/578 72nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.90.10.10.1
Road6g4.30.30.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.40.30.10.1
Losses4g5.50.00.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.10.00.1
Weeks 8+6g4.80.30.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

66Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (81st).

Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
Solo tackles#608 / 2975 · 79th pct
28defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Fred GaskinSouth FloridaTJ DotteryOle Miss· 86% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 85% simGavin MoulDelaware· 83% sim
Tackles
82
Gaskin
98
Dottery
99
McDuffie
99
Moul
Solo tackles
79
Gaskin
97
Dottery
99
McDuffie
98
Moul
Interceptions
75
Gaskin
75
McDuffie
Passes defended
67
Gaskin
67
Dottery
78
McDuffie
78
Moul
Sacks
63
Gaskin
74
Dottery
80
McDuffie
80
Moul
Tackles for loss
63
Gaskin
83
Dottery
83
McDuffie
90
Moul
QB hurries
55
Gaskin
55
Dottery
72
McDuffie
72
Moul
Forced fumbles
47
Gaskin
47
McDuffie
47
Moul

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Allen’s 2025 season.

Jordan Allen

82%match

Houston · 2025

#2

Kerry Brown

Minnesota · 2025

82%
#3

Jeremiah Vessel

UAB · 2025

78%
#4

Braden Turner

Northwestern · 2025

80%
#5

Ladarius Tennison

Ole Miss · 2022

78%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
PD rate
Weight

Differs from Jordan on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ronald Wilson's sophomore season at New Mexico (2022).

Ronald Wilson

80%match

New Mexico · 2022

#2

Christian Bodnar

Liberty · 2025

78%
#3

Kerry Brown

Minnesota · 2024

78%
#4

Malik Mustapha

Wake Forest · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 4
75%
#5

Jaylen McClain

Ohio State · 2025

All-Big Ten
74%

Matches Ronald on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Played his entire career under Alex Golesh.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOcala, FL
Height5'10"
Weight198 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-AAC all_conference South Florida | AAC DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Florida S2 #14238 #14268 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic S 2 No. 5 | 5-10 | 198 lb | Ocala, FL
2024 South Florida American Athletic S 2 No. 5 | 5-10 | 198 lb | Ocala, FL