CFB Zeitgeist Score
78
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 89th percentile.
Dontae McMillan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,014 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 177 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Eastern Michigan for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Eastern Michigan
Returning around him
- 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -15 net (11 in / 26 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Eastern Michigan · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #94 · 2026 recruiting class #97
RB · EASTERN MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN
Dontae McMillan
- 4
- #28
- 5-10 | 203 lb
- Seattle, WA
Heisman Heat
#2483
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
Eastern Michigan · RB
—
★
2025
Eastern Michigan · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+3069%
Up 3069% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Eastern Michigan
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8400 | No. 1444 recruit | HighSchool | Weber State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (375).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Weber State
Composite
0.8400
#1444 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dontae McMillan
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dontae McMillan
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #322 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 39th
Why it matters
#322 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.4 yards per reception (33 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.4 (39th)
HIGH · n=33 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#325 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 vs Western Michigan — 126 ypr
Result L 21-31
The week the volume broke through — put up 126 yds vs Western Michigan.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
1,014Rush yards
177Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
84.5Rush yards
15Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,098Rush yards
192Carries
4Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,014.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,014.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,014): needs 486/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dontae McMillan is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,014 rushing yards, 33 catches, and 0 return yards for Eastern Michigan. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
177 94th
YDS
1,014 95th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
33 96th
YDS
375 99th
YPR
11.4 86th
TD
3 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 27-52@ Texas State | 9 | 78 | 8.7 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 2 | L 23-28vs Long Island University | 8 | 58 | 7.3 | 1 | 40 | |
| Wk 3 | L 23-48@ Kentucky | 13 | 83 | 6.4 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-31vs Louisiana | 19 | 126 | 6.6 | 0 | 21 | Season-high 126 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 13-24@ Central Michigan | 13 | 71 | 5.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Buffalo | 20 | 117 | 5.9 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 7 | W 16-10vs Northern Illinois | 23 | 104 | 4.5 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 8 | L 30-44@ Miami (OH) | 11 | 37 | 3.4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 21-28vs Ohio | 10 | 49 | 4.9 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 11 | W 27-21vs Bowling Green | 19 | 100 | 5.3 | 1 | 33 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-9@ Ball State | 21 | 80 | 3.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-31vs Western Michigan | 11 | 111 | 10.1 | 1 | 54 | |
| Total | 177 | 1014 | 6.0 | 4 | 54 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Eastern Michigan6-7HC: Chris Creighton · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Eastern Michigan4-8HC: Chris Creighton · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Eastern Michigan | 177 | 1,014 | 5.7 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Eastern Michigan | 11 | 32 | 2.9 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 188 | 1,046 | 5.6 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Eastern Michigan | 33 | 375 | 11.4 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Eastern Michigan | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 34 | 387 | 11.4 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,014 | #38/735 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 33 | #24/552 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 375 | #9/548 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 167 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 26.9% | #28/738 | 96th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 177 | #43/739 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 54 | #136/733 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 50 | #46/540 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.4 | #80/548 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 46.8% | #26/738 | 97th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 33.2% | #18/738 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 31.0% | #29/738 | 96th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 28.0% | #25/738 | 97th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.9% | #33/738 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.9% | #70/738 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.3% | #38/738 | 95th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 91.3 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 77.7 | 5.6 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 102 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 75.5 | 6.5 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 91.0 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 75.4 | 5.5 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
78All-Conference
Elite: rec yards (97th). Strength: receptions (92nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Dontae McMillanEastern MichiganDaylan SmothersNC State· 88% simNate SheppardDuke· 84% simCarson HansenIowa State· 83% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush yards
Carries
Fumbles lost
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trestan Ebner’s 2021 season.
Trestan Ebner
74%match
NFL Rd 6
#2
Lincoln Pare
69%
#3
Noah Whittington
72%
#4
Jordan Simmons
71%
#5
Owen Allen
66%
Matches Trestan on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Differs from Trestan on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Height (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Simmons's graduate season at Akron (2024).
Jordan Simmons
82%match
#2
Eli Sanders
66%
#3
Jordan Houston
62%
#4
Micah Bernard
62%
#5
Jevyon Ducker
61%
Matches Jordan on
Yards / carry
Weight
Height
Differs from Jordan on
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chris Creighton
Pass share
51.1%
403 pass / 385 run
Plays / game
65.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.9%
342 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
2025
Chris Creighton
Eastern Michigan
Played his entire career under Chris Creighton.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSeattle, WA
Height5'10"
Weight203 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey28
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamEastern Michigan
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Eastern Michigan | MAC | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Eastern Michigan | RB4 | #2483 | #2266 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Eastern Michigan | RB4 | #3279 | #3542 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 203 lb | Seattle, WA |
| 2024 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 203 lb | Seattle, WA |
| 2023 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | RB | 4 | No. 28 | 5-10 | 203 lb | Seattle, WA |