cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dequan Finn /Miami (OH)

Dequan Finn

QB · Miami (OH) · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,451 PASS YDS · 9 PASS TD · 395 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Miami (OH)

Returning around him

  • 48% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Miami (OH) player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (16 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83

QB · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN

Dequan Finn

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 206 lb
  • Detroit, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#346

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Toledo · QB

2022

Toledo · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Toledo · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Baylor · QB

2025

Miami (OH) · QB

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
2,0672021
2,2652022
2,6512023
3072024
1,4512025

-30%

Sharp dropoff (-30%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 206 lb
HometownDetroit, MI
Primary teamMiami (OH)

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Miami (OH) 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Baylor -> Miami (OH) 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 Toledo -> Baylor 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#346Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#423Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (395).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dequan Finn

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Chuck Martin announces quarterback Dequan Finn is leaving Miami football &nbsp;&"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "submitted by /u/SecretYesterday7092 [link] [comments]"RivalsNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dequan Finn

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
1,451Pass yards
9Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
181.4Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,358Pass yards
15Pass TDs
10INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,451): needs 309.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,451): needs 509.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 3.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 4.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Dequan Finn's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Miami (OH), he has 1,451 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 395 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #346 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 48.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,451 9 TD | 6 INT | #116/382 (70th pct)
Completion rate 58.6% 106/181 completions | #237/383 (38th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.0 Explosiveness through the air | #92/382 (76th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumeDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
106 66th
ATT
181 68th
CMP%
58.6% 38th
Y/A
8.0 76th

Passing Production

YDS
1,451 70th
TD
9 71st
INT
6 28th

Rushing

CAR
89 84th
YDS
395 88th
YPC
4.4 71st
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 0-17@ Wisconsin9/1883024.612.1
Wk 2L 17-45@ Rutgers14/232510110.965.9
Wk 4L 38-41vs UNLV7/121312110.963.4
Wk 6W 25-14@ Northern Illinois14/26170106.551.1
Wk 7W 20-7@ Akron14/25203118.158.0
Wk 8W 44-30vs Eastern Michigan13/22159207.282.2
Wk 9W 26-17vs Western Michigan18/30260108.776.0Season-high 260 yds
Wk 11L 20-24@ Ohio17/25194217.849.3
Total106/1811451968.157.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Toledo7-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2022Toledo9-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Miami (OH)7-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)10618158.6%1,4518.096135.7----
2024Baylor234353.5%3077.132127.2----
2023Toledo20131763.4%2,6518.4229150.9----
2022Toledo18931659.8%2,2657.22312136.4----
2021Toledo14425057.6%2,0678.3182149.2----
Career5 loaded seasons6631,10759.9%8,7417.97531143.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)893954.44--
2024Baylor21663.12--
2023Toledo1235634.67--
2022Toledo1306324.99--
2021Toledo1125014.59--
Career5 loaded seasons4752,1574.531--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 395 4 rush TD | #49/408 (88th pct)
Usage 48.2% 76.5% pass share | 26.0% rush share | #94/428 (78th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.36 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #37/200 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,451 #116/382 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 9 #117/407 71st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 106 #131/383 66th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 58.6% #237/383 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.0 #92/382 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 395 #49/408 88th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.36 #37/200 82nd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 193 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 48.2% #94/428 78th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 181 #130/407 68th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 6 #294/407 28th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 89 #65/408 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 39 #73/391 82nd pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #120/407 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 76.5% #127/428 71st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 60.4% #98/428 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 57.1% #118/428 73rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 45.8% #112/428 74th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 44.7% #70/428 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 44.2% #82/428 81st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 26.0% #31/428 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.24 #73/140 49th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 79 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g1831.78.90.3
Road5g1800.87.61.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins4g1981.27.60.2
Losses4g1651.08.61.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-75g1680.88.21.0
Weeks 8+3g2041.77.90.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: completion % (26th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Yards / att#38 / 183 · 78th pct
8.0pass
Rush yards#44 / 183 · 76th pct
395rush
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Interceptions#70 / 183 · 56th pct
6pass
Pass yards#116 / 183 · 37th pct
1451pass
Pass TDs#117 / 183 · 33rd pct
9pass
Completion %#134 / 183 · 26th pct
58.6%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

70/124 (56.5%) · 6 TD · 5 INT

Short

0–9 yds
47%of completions
33 comp5.3 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
33%of completions
23 comp14.3 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
20%of completions
14 comp36.2 yds avg3 TD

Overall 56.5% completion on 124 attempts · 14 deep completions averaging 36.2 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.360
66th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.36Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dequan FinnMiami (OH)Avery JohnsonKansas State· 77% simRocco BechtIowa State· 74% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 72% sim
Fumbles lost
91
Finn
66
Johnson
66
Becht
66
Mateer
Yards / att
78
Finn
46
Johnson
68
Becht
57
Mateer
Rush yards
76
Finn
80
Johnson
46
Becht
79
Mateer
Rush TDs
59
Finn
81
Johnson
81
Becht
81
Mateer
Interceptions
56
Finn
56
Johnson
22
Becht
10
Mateer
Pass yards
37
Finn
61
Johnson
69
Becht
76
Mateer
Pass TDs
33
Finn
72
Johnson
64
Becht
58
Mateer
Completion %
26
Finn
33
Johnson
38
Becht
49
Mateer

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Austin Kendall’s 2021 season.

Austin Kendall

69%match

Louisiana Tech · 2021

#2

Bryson Barnes

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West
65%
#3

Jake Retzlaff

BYU · 2024

65%
#4

Jaxson Dart

Ole Miss · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
64%
#5

Robby Ashford

Wake Forest · 2025

63%

Matches Austin on

Completion %
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt

Differs from Austin on

Rush usage (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Carlos Davis’s path through Towson.

Carlos Davis

98%match

Towson · 2024

#2

Sam Ehlinger

Texas · 2020

All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
97%
#3

Colton Joseph

Old Dominion · 2025

All-Sun Belt
90%
#4

Chance Nolan

Oregon State · 2022

87%
#5

Brady White

Memphis · 2020

Campbell
87%

Matches Carlos on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chuck Martin

Pass share

43.4%

367 pass / 478 run

Plays / game

60.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2022
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2023
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2024
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2025
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)

Played his entire career under Chuck Martin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDetroit, MI
Height6'2"
Weight206 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-MAC all_conference Toledo | MAC QB
2022 All-MAC all_conference Toledo | MAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor QB4 #346 #423 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Toledo QB4 #19 #26 0.9% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Toledo QB4 #106 #157 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Toledo QB4 #124 #172 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI
2024 Baylor Big 12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI
2023 Toledo Mid-American QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI
2022 Toledo Mid-American QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI
2021 Toledo Mid-American QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI