CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 78th percentile.
Dequan Finn
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,451 PASS YDS · 9 PASS TD · 395 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Miami (OH)
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83
QB · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 78th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#346
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedNational watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Toledo · QB
—
2022
Toledo · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2023
Toledo · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Baylor · QB
—
2025
Miami (OH) · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025Sharp dropoff (-30%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Baylor -> Miami (OH) | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Toledo -> Baylor | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,451): needs 309.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,451): needs 509.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 3.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 4.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.2/game over remaining 5.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Dequan Finn's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Miami (OH), he has 1,451 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes, but he also adds 395 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 0-17@ Wisconsin | 9/18 | 83 | 0 | 2 | 4.6 | 12.1 | |
| Wk 2 | L 17-45@ Rutgers | 14/23 | 251 | 0 | 1 | 10.9 | 65.9 | |
| Wk 4 | L 38-41vs UNLV | 7/12 | 131 | 2 | 1 | 10.9 | 63.4 | |
| Wk 6 | W 25-14@ Northern Illinois | 14/26 | 170 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | 51.1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-7@ Akron | 14/25 | 203 | 1 | 1 | 8.1 | 58.0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 44-30vs Eastern Michigan | 13/22 | 159 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 | 82.2 | |
| Wk 9 | W 26-17vs Western Michigan | 18/30 | 260 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 | 76.0 | Season-high 260 yds |
| Wk 11 | L 20-24@ Ohio | 17/25 | 194 | 2 | 1 | 7.8 | 49.3 | |
| Total | 106/181 | 1451 | 9 | 6 | 8.1 | 57.2 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | 106 | 181 | 58.6% | 1,451 | 8.0 | 9 | 6 | 135.7 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 23 | 43 | 53.5% | 307 | 7.1 | 3 | 2 | 127.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Toledo | 201 | 317 | 63.4% | 2,651 | 8.4 | 22 | 9 | 150.9 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Toledo | 189 | 316 | 59.8% | 2,265 | 7.2 | 23 | 12 | 136.4 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Toledo | 144 | 250 | 57.6% | 2,067 | 8.3 | 18 | 2 | 149.2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 663 | 1,107 | 59.9% | 8,741 | 7.9 | 75 | 31 | 143.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | 89 | 395 | 4.4 | 4 | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 21 | 66 | 3.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Toledo | 123 | 563 | 4.6 | 7 | -- |
| 2022 | Toledo | 130 | 632 | 4.9 | 9 | -- |
| 2021 | Toledo | 112 | 501 | 4.5 | 9 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 475 | 2,157 | 4.5 | 31 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,451 | #116/382 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 9 | #117/407 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 106 | #131/383 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.6% | #237/383 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.0 | #92/382 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 395 | #49/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.36 | #37/200 | 82nd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 193 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 48.2% | #94/428 | 78th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 181 | #130/407 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 89 | #65/408 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 39 | #73/391 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.4 | #120/407 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 76.5% | #127/428 | 71st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 60.4% | #98/428 | 77th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 57.1% | #118/428 | 73rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 45.8% | #112/428 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 44.7% | #70/428 | 84th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 44.2% | #82/428 | 81st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 26.0% | #31/428 | 93rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #73/140 | 49th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 79 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 183 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 180 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 198 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 165 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 168 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 204 | 1.7 | 7.9 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: completion % (26th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 56.5% completion on 124 attempts · 14 deep completions averaging 36.2 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Austin Kendall’s 2021 season.
Austin Kendall
Bryson Barnes
Jake Retzlaff
Jaxson Dart
Robby Ashford
Matches Austin on
Differs from Austin on
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Carlos Davis’s path through Towson.
Carlos Davis
Sam Ehlinger
Colton Joseph
Chance Nolan
Brady White
Matches Carlos on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chuck Martin
Pass share
43.4%
367 pass / 478 run
Plays / game
60.4
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Chuck Martin.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-MAC
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | QB |
| 2022 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | QB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Baylor | QB4 | #346 | #423 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Toledo | QB4 | #19 | #26 | 0.9% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Toledo | QB4 | #106 | #157 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Toledo | QB4 | #124 | #172 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI |
| 2024 | Baylor | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI |
| 2023 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI |
| 2022 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI |
| 2021 | Toledo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Detroit, MI |