CFB Zeitgeist Score
34
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 49th percentile.
Aidan Armenta
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,619 PASS YDS · 12 PASS TD · 60 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to UL Monroe for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · UL Monroe
Returning around him
- 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +3 net (20 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UL Monroe · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #124 · 2026 recruiting class #115
QB · UL MONROE · SUN BELT
Aidan Armenta
- 2
- #10
- 6-3 | 210 lb
- Albuquerque, NM
Heisman Heat
#1478
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
UL Monroe
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1619).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Aidan Armenta
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Aidan Armenta
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 11g
1,619Pass yards
12Pass TDs
8INT
Per game
147.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,913Pass yards
14Pass TDs
9INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,619): needs 690.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,619): needs 1,190/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 11.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Aidan Armenta's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UL Monroe, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
147 73rd
ATT
252 74th
CMP%
58.3% 37th
Y/A
6.4 39th
Passing Production
YDS
1,619 72nd
TD
12 79th
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
60 75th
YDS
60 57th
YPC
1.0 26th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 29-0vs St. Francis (PA) | 12/23 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 4.1 | 9.5 | |
| Wk 2 | L 0-73@ Alabama | 8/14 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 3.8 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-25@ UTEP | 8/14 | 136 | 2 | 0 | 9.7 | 78.5 | |
| Wk 5 | W 28-16vs Arkansas State | 16/25 | 175 | 2 | 1 | 7.0 | 36.4 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-42@ Northwestern | 10/19 | 129 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 | 56.6 | |
| Wk 7 | L 8-23@ Coastal Carolina | 14/28 | 176 | 1 | 1 | 6.3 | 24.0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 14-37vs Troy | 19/33 | 171 | 1 | 2 | 5.2 | 19.5 | |
| Wk 10 | L 6-31vs Old Dominion | 12/20 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 7.5 | 9.2 | |
| Wk 12 | L 14-26vs South Alabama | 10/19 | 82 | 0 | 1 | 4.3 | 2.8 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-31@ Texas State | 19/26 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 49.4 | |
| Wk 14 | L 27-30@ Louisiana | 19/31 | 311 | 3 | 0 | 10.0 | 61.5 | Season-high 311 yds |
| Total | 147/252 | 1619 | 12 | 8 | 6.3 | 31.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025UL Monroe3-9HC: Bryant Vincent · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UL Monroe | 147 | 252 | 58.3% | 1,619 | 6.4 | 12 | 8 | 121.7 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 147 | 252 | 58.3% | 1,619 | 6.4 | 12 | 8 | 121.7 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UL Monroe | 60 | 60 | 1.0 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 60 | 60 | 1.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,619 | #107/382 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 12 | #88/407 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 147 | #105/383 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.3% | #243/383 | 37th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.4 | #233/382 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 60 | #176/408 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.24 | #118/200 | 42nd pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 240 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 44.6% | #120/428 | 72nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 252 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 60 | #103/408 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 32 | #101/391 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.0 | #302/407 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.9% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 60.6% | #106/428 | 75th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 59.9% | #103/428 | 76th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 40.5% | #138/428 | 68th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 38.9% | #111/428 | 74th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 35.4% | #134/428 | 69th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 10.3% | #155/428 | 64th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.08 | #131/140 | 7th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 35 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 135 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Road6g | 158 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 135 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 0.7 |
| Losses8g | 152 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 123 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 176 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
34Below cohort
Concern: completion % (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds45%of completions
34 comp4.6 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds40%of completions
30 comp12.8 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds15%of completions
11 comp30.0 yds avg1 TD
Overall 52.8% completion on 142 attempts · 11 deep completions averaging 30.0 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.24Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.08Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Aidan ArmentaUL MonroeNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 85% simPreston StoneNorthwestern· 84% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 84% sim
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Athan Kaliakmanis’s 2023 season.
Athan Kaliakmanis
83%match
NFL Rd 7
#2
Evan Simon
78%
#3
Brock Vandagriff
74%
#4
Haynes King
73%
#5
Grant Wilson
73%
Matches Athan on
Rush yards / carry
Yards / attempt
EPA / dropback (adj)
Differs from Athan on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Malachi Nelson’s path through UTEP.
Malachi Nelson
90%match
#2
Cam Ransom
89%
#3
Ethan Hampton
89%
#4
Grayson Loftis
88%
#5
Kaden Anderson
87%
Matches Malachi on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Desmond Trotter's sophomore season at South Alabama (2021).
Desmond Trotter
70%match
#2
Athan Kaliakmanis
NFL Rd 7
70%
#3
Terry Wilson
69%
#4
Behren Morton
NFL Rd 7
67%
#5
Matt McDonald
65%
Matches Desmond on
Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Completion %
Differs from Desmond on
Class year (lower)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bryant Vincent
Pass share
41.4%
302 pass / 428 run
Plays / game
60.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
241 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Bryant Vincent
UL Monroe
Played his entire career under Bryant Vincent.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAlbuquerque, NM
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUL Monroe
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UL Monroe | QB2 | #1478 | #1561 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | New Mexico | QB2 | #2740 | #3036 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Albuquerque, NM |
| 2024 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Albuquerque, NM |
| 2023 | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Albuquerque, NM |