cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Adrian Norton /Marshall

Adrian Norton

WR · Marshall · Jr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

383 REC YDS · 28 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Marshall

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120

WR · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Adrian Norton

  • 3
  • #13
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Huber Heights, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#667

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2023

Akron · WR

2024

Akron · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Marshall · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
71.02023
8322024
3832025

+439%

Up 439% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1933 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey13
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownHuber Heights, OH
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1933 recruit
Composite rating 0.8270 HighSchool
Signed with Akron 2023
Origin Stebbins Dayton, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8270 No. 1933 recruit | HighSchool | Akron

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Marshall 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jun 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Akron -> Marshall 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#667Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1195Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Akron

Composite

0.8270

#1933 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Adrian Norton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Adrian Norton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #185 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 65th

Why it matters

#185 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.7 yards per reception (28 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.7 (65th)

MODERATE · n=28 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#315 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 vs Georgia Southern — 160 ypr

Result L 19-24

The week the volume broke through — put up 160 yds vs Georgia Southern.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
383Rec yards
28Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
47.9Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
622.4Rec yards
46Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 383): needs 63.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 383): needs 123.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 28): needs 6.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 28): needs 10.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 0.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1/game over remaining 5.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Adrian Norton already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #667 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 28 5 rec TD | #303/1110 (73rd pct)
Receiving yards 383 13.7 per catch | #296/1107 (73rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 383 Total offensive yardage | #296/1107 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
28 73rd
YDS
383 73rd
YPR
13.7 65th
TD
5 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky13030.0130
Wk 5L 51-54@ Louisiana4287.0112
Wk 7W 48-24vs Old Dominion133.003
Wk 8W 40-37vs Texas State55410.8121
Wk 10L 27-44@ Coastal Carolina33210.7012
Wk 11L 23-35vs James Madison12020.0020
Wk 12W 30-18@ Georgia State55611.2129
Wk 14L 19-24vs Georgia Southern816020.0141Season-high 160 yds
Total2838314.1541
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Akron2-10HC: Joe Moorhead · Pass-leaning
2024Akron4-8HC: Joe Moorhead · Pass-leaning
2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall2838313.75--
2024Akron4383219.37--
2023Akron9717.90--
Career3 loaded seasons801,28616.112--
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall----------
2024Akron----15----
2023Akron----------
Career3 loaded seasons----15----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.5% 13.2% pass-game share | #311/1137 (73rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 28 #303/1110 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 383 #296/1107 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.7 #389/1106 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.2% #311/1137 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 41 #430/1105 61st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.3% #161/1137 86th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.7% #197/1137 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.5% #423/1137 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #493/1137 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.9% #663/1137 42nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.3% #635/1137 44th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.253.416.80.6
Road3g4.038.79.60.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g3.035.813.80.8
Losses4g4.060.014.40.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g2.020.313.30.7
Weeks 8+5g4.464.414.50.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

54Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Yards / catch#228 / 558 · 59th pct
13.7rece
Rec yards#296 / 558 · 47th pct
383rece
Receptions#303 / 558 · 44th pct
28rece
Long catch#367 / 558 · 33rd pct
41rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Adrian NortonMarshallGermie BernardAlabama· 70% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 68% simRyan DavisUtah· 68% sim
Rec TDs
78
Norton
92
Bernard
100
Sarratt
68
Davis
Yards / catch
59
Norton
57
Bernard
46
Sarratt
36
Davis
Rec yards
47
Norton
91
Bernard
88
Sarratt
83
Davis
Receptions
44
Norton
93
Bernard
93
Sarratt
91
Davis
Long catch
33
Norton
39
Bernard
55
Sarratt
67
Davis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marcell Barbee’s 2020 season.

Marcell Barbee

74%match

Texas State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
#2

Stefan Cobbs

Boise State · 2021

All-Mountain West
77%
#3

Javon Harvey

Old Dominion · 2023

75%
#4

Jakarius Caston

Southern Miss · 2022

74%
#5

Logan Loya

UCLA · 2024

74%

Matches Marcell on

Weight
Class year
Height

Differs from Marcell on

Reception volume (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cary Angeline’s path through NC State.

Cary Angeline

99%match

NC State · 2020

#2

Matthew Henry

Western Kentucky · 2025

96%
#3

Kris Mitchell

Notre Dame · 2024

All-Conference USA
93%
#4

Jake Herslow

Houston · 2021

92%
#5

Jalen Coker

Holy Cross · 2023

92%

Matches Cary on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kris Mitchell's junior season at Florida International (2022).

Kris Mitchell

75%match

Florida International · 2022

All-Conference USA
#2

Kyle Williams

UNLV · 2022

74%
#3

Tyson Mobley

Coastal Carolina · 2022

74%
#4

Roman Wilson

Michigan · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 20
71%
#5

Logan Loya

UCLA · 2022

71%

Matches Kris on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Kris on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2024
Charles Huff
Marshall
2025
Tony Gibson
Marshall
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Charles Huff → Tony Gibson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHuber Heights, OH
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-MAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-MAC all_conference Akron | MAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Akron WR3 #667 #1195 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Akron WR3 #4637 #5308 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Marshall Sun Belt WR 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Huber Heights, OH
2024 Akron Mid-American WR 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Huber Heights, OH
2023 Akron Mid-American WR 3 No. 13 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Huber Heights, OH