DIII CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON
Ohio
THE LONG WAIT · 2025
Mount Union's Conference
Mount Union has won 13 DIII national championships — more than any program at any level of college football. Their Alliance, Ohio program wins 11 or 12 games almost every year under Larry Kehres and then Vince Kehres, with a culture of excellence so embedded that the program functions more like a professional organization than a small-college team. Ohio Northern, Otterbein, Baldwin Wallace, and Marietta all compete in the same conference and have produced NFL players. The OAC is DIII football's benchmark.
Mount Union has won 13 national championships. Does anyone in the OAC have the roster to challenge them in 2026, or is the question just how far they go in the bracket?
Conference Standings · Ohio · 2025
Standings
| # | Team | Conf |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Carroll University | 1–0 |
| 2 | University of Mount Union | 8–1 |
| 3 | Ohio Northern | 7–1 |
| 4 | Baldwin Wallace | 6–2 |
| 5 | Heidelberg | 5–3 |
| 6 | Muskingum University | 4–4 |
| 7 | Marietta | 3–5 |
| 8 | Wilmington (OH) | 1–7 |
| 9 | Capital | 1–7 |
| 10 | Otterbein | 1–7 |
Conference record determines standing. Power = neutral-field pts vs. all-level average. Last 5 = most recent game results.
Projected Standings · Ohio · 2025
Win Projection
Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. AVG = expected wins; W–L = most-likely record.
| # | Team | W–L | PWR | AVG | ≥8 | ≥7 | ≥6 | ≥5 | ≥4 | ≥3 | ≥2 | ≥1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favorites | ||||||||||||
| 1 | University of Mount Union | 5–3 | +2.1 | 4.5 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 52 | 77 | 93 | 99 | ✓ |
| 2 | John Carroll University | 0–1 | +4.3 | 0.5 | 50 | |||||||
| Challengers | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Ohio Northern | 4–4 | +0.5 | 4.2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 42 | 69 | 89 | 98 | ✓ |
| 4 | Baldwin Wallace | 4–4 | +0.3 | 4.2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 68 | 88 | 97 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marietta | 4–4 | -0.6 | 4.0 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 63 | 85 | 96 | ✓ | |
| The Field | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Heidelberg | 4–4 | -0.8 | 3.9 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 62 | 85 | 96 | ✓ | |
| 7 | Muskingum University | 4–4 | -1.2 | 3.9 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 60 | 83 | 96 | ✓ | |
| 8 | Wilmington (OH) | 4–4 | -1.5 | 3.8 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 58 | 82 | 95 | 99 | |
| Rebuilding | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Capital | 4–4 | -1.5 | 3.8 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 58 | 82 | 95 | 99 | |
| 10 | Otterbein | 4–4 | -1.6 | 3.8 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 57 | 82 | 95 | 99 | |
Conference Power · Division III
Where We Stand
| # | Conference | Avg Power |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Southwest | |
| 2 | Wisconsin | |
| 3 | Commonwealth Coast | |
| 4 | Old Dominion | |
| 5 | Northwest | |
| 6 | USA South | |
| 7 | Michigan | |
| 8 | Minnesota | |
| 9 | NEWMAC | |
| 10 | MSCAC | |
| 11 | Southern Athletic | |
| 12 | American Rivers | |
| 13 | Southern Collegiate Athletic | |
| 14 | Landmark Conference | |
| 15 | Heartland | |
| 16 | So. Cal. | |
| 17 | Centennial | |
| 18 | Upper Midwest | |
| 19 | CCIW | |
| 20 | New Jersey | |
| 21 | Liberty League | |
| 22 | North Coast | |
| 23 | OhioYou are here | |
| 24 | Mid Atlantic | |
| 25 | Presidents' | |
| 26 | Empire 8 | |
| 27 | NACC | |
| 28 | Midwest | |
| 29 | NESCAC |
Round-robin power = strength of schedule-adjusted conference average, points vs. all-level average team. Record = Ohio's record vs. that conference across all games this season.
Ohio is outperforming its raw power profile. The league body of work is stronger than the market would expect.
League Drivers
Ohio Team Board
The league stack, sorted by predictive strength. Power is shown as neutral-field points versus the all-level average team, while resume is shown on a 0-100 season score.
| Rank | Team | Record | Power | Resume | ATS | Wins vs Market | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #471 | John Carroll University | 12-2 | -8.6 | 71 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W12 W14 W15 L17) |
| #516 | University of Mount Union | 11-1 | -10.8 | 88 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W11 W12 W14 L15) |
| #558 | Ohio Northern | 8-3 | -12.4 | 70 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W10 W11 W12 L13) |
| #567 | Baldwin Wallace | 8-2 | -12.7 | 73 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12) |
| #599 | Marietta | 5-5 | -13.5 | 31 | -- | +0.00 | 2-2 over the last 4 (L9 W10 L11 W12) |
| #608 | Heidelberg | 6-4 | -13.7 | 40 | -- | +0.00 | 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 W11 L12) |
| #620 | Muskingum University | 4-6 | -14.1 | 28 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 W11 L12) |
| #639 | Wilmington (OH) | 3-7 | -14.4 | 22 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 L12) |
| #641 | Capital | 3-7 | -14.4 | 19 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (L9 L10 L11 W12) |
| #644 | Otterbein | 1-9 | -14.5 | 3 | -- | +0.00 | 1-3 over the last 4 (W9 L10 L11 L12) |