CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Mount St. Joseph

6-5 2025 final

Mount St. Joseph is the three-time HCAC champion dethroned in 2025 — the Lions went 20-0 in conference play over three years before Hanover broke the streak, and Coach Tyler Hopperton is hungry to reclaim the crown.

The Lions rest in the shade.

Record
6-5
win% .545
Conference
2nd of 7
Heartland · 5-1
Index Rating
52.4
D3 #104 of 240
Playoff Path
Win the league
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic
The Long Wait·Offseason

Mount St. Joseph is the three-time HCAC champion dethroned in 2025 — the Lions went 20-0 in conference play over three years before Hanover broke the streak, and Coach Tyler Hopperton is hungry to reclaim the crown.

Title DroughtSince 2024 · 1 yrs

Mount St. Joseph won three consecutive HCAC championships (2022-2024) with a 20-0 record in conference play, but was upset by Hanover in 2025, ending the dynasty at the conference level. Head Coach Tyler Hopperton (15 years, four…

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Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Mount St. Joseph sits 2nd in the Heartland Conference and 104th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.

Heartland · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Hanover College6-09-366.0
2Mount St. Joseph5-16-552.4
3Franklin3-35-549.7
4Bluffton3-35-546.9
5Rose-Hulman3-33-742.8
6Anderson (IN)1-52-836.2
7Manchester0-60-1028.5
52.4 CFB Zeitgeist#104 of 240 D351.1 strength of schedule

Win the Heartland Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 6-5
W 33-27 at Muskingum University · Wk 2+6MuskinguL 28-35 vs Aurora · Wk 3-7AuroraL 28-31 at Hope College · Wk 4-3Hope ColW 41-21 vs Anderson (IN) · Wk 6+20AndersonL 21-45 vs Hanover College · Wk 7-24Hanover W 35-7 at Bluffton · Wk 8+28BlufftonW 52-21 vs Franklin · Wk 9+31FranklinL 42-49 at Ohio Northern · Wk 10-7Ohio NorW 48-20 vs Manchester · Wk 11+28ManchestW 48-0 at Rose-Hulman · Wk 12+48Rose-HulL 21-40 vs Westminster (PA) · Wk 13-19Westmins

Signature win 48-0 over Rose-Hulman; toughest day 21-45 against Hanover College.

The Pulse on Mount St. Joseph

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Lions rest in the shade.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Mount St. Joseph" — Mount St. Joseph fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Mount St. Joseph

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Mount St. Joseph · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
base6-6Mid-table finish.
ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Mount St. Joseph · 2018-present

Above-Average

80% home win rate vs 73% on the road. margin runs +4.3 better at home.

Home16-4Away17-6
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Mixed

Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 5-5

Schedule Strength · Mount St. Joseph · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 51% across 11 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.514

Moment of the Year · Mount St. Joseph · 2025

Won 41-21 vs Anderson (IN)

Week 6 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.

Decisive Margin

Postseason History

Recent postseason (2023): 0-1

Most recent: 2023 — loss 41-34 (away). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.

2023

From the Archive — Mount St. Joseph

2022: Won 33-28 vs Hope College

In 2022, the program won 33-28 vs Hope College — a tight home result that left the 5-point margin on the books.

The Lions roar.