cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Zavion Thomas /LSU

Zavion Thomas

WR · LSU · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

488 REC YDS · 41 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Chicago — Rd 3, Pick 25, #89 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Chicago2026 NFL rookie season

#89Rd 3 · Pick 25
Chicago2026 NFL rookie season

WR · LSU · SEC

Zavion Thomas

  • 4
  • 5-10 | 192 lb
  • Woodmere, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#330

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Mississippi State · WR

2023

Mississippi State · WR

2024

LSU · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

LSU · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 25 · #89 overall · Chicago

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
4.02022
5032023
2182024
4882025

+12100%

Up 12100% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#756 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 &middot; #89
Chicago &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-10 | 192 lb
HometownWoodmere, LA
Primary teamLSU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 391 recruit
Composite rating 0.8926 HighSchool
Signed with Mississippi State 2022
Origin John Ehret Marrero, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8926 No. 391 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State
2021 3-star | 0.8663 No. 756 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination LSU 2024
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 6, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Mississippi State -> LSU 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate
2023 Mississippi State -> Mississippi State 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#330Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#363Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Mississippi State

Composite

0.8926

#391 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 3, Pick 25

#89 overall · Chicago

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Zavion Thomas

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 5 mentions · belief +25 · "LSU Fall Camp Day 10 was all about the playmakers. Trey’Dez Green, Zavion Thomas"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=5

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Zavion Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

11.9

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #297 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 44th

Why it matters

#297 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.9 yards per reception (41 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 11.9 (44th)

HIGH · n=41 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#229 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 vs Arkansas — 80 ypr

Result W 23-22

The week the volume broke through — put up 80 yds vs Arkansas.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
488Rec yards
41Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
37.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
488Rec yards
41Receptions
4Rec TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Zavion Thomas already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #330 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 391 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 41 4 rec TD | #178/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 488 11.9 per catch | #233/1107 (79th pct)
Scrimmage yards 587 Total offensive yardage | #233/1107 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
41 84th
YDS
488 79th
YPR
11.9 50th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
19 97th
YDS
99 94th
YPC
5.2 59th
TD
1 96th

Returns

KR YDS
22 28th
KR AVG
22.0 70th
PR YDS
170 88th
PR AVG
10.0 68th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-10@ Clemson11919.0019
Wk 2W 23-7vs Louisiana Tech4358.8015
Wk 3W 20-10vs Florida4358.8123
Wk 4W 56-10vs SE Louisiana22613.0117
Wk 5L 19-24@ Ole Miss36321.0050
Wk 7W 20-10vs South Carolina166.006
Wk 8L 24-31@ Vanderbilt47518.8162
Wk 9L 25-49vs Texas A&M188.008
Wk 11L 9-20@ Alabama5499.8020
Wk 12W 23-22vs Arkansas68013.3034Season-high 80 yds
Wk 13W 13-10vs Western Kentucky6477.8018
Wk 14L 13-17@ Oklahoma33010.0118
BowlL 35-38@ Houston11515.0015
Total4148812.3462
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Mississippi State9-4HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024LSU9-4HC: Brian Kelly · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025LSU7-6HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025LSU4148811.94--
2024LSU232189.52--
2023Mississippi State4050312.61--
2022Mississippi State242.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1061,21311.47--
SeasonTeam
2025LSU199922170--
2024LSU97663366--
2023Mississippi State1223202163--
2022Mississippi State----952021
Career4 loaded seasons401989526011
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.5% 8.7% pass-game share | #556/1137 (51st pct)
Return yards 192 0 return TD | #172/238 (28th pct)
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 41 #178/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 488 #233/1107 79th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.9 #556/1106 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 22 #172/238 28th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 170 #27/224 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.7% #556/1137 51st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 99 #24/397 94th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 48 #15/346 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 19 #14/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #164/393 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 62 #154/1105 86th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 22.0 #71/236 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 17 #27/237 89th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 10.0 #73/222 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.9% #397/1137 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.5% #239/1137 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.2% #225/1137 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.2% #203/1137 82nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.0% #458/1137 60th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 6.0% #17/1137 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g3.433.99.40.3
Road6g2.841.815.60.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.435.411.00.3
Losses6g2.840.013.80.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.328.413.10.3
Weeks 8+6g4.248.211.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

66Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (92nd). Strength: rush tds (85th).

Rush yards#22 / 287 · 93rd pct
99rush
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Long catch#138 / 558 · 74th pct
62rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Receptions#178 / 558 · 68th pct
41rece
Rec yards#233 / 558 · 58th pct
488rece
Yards / catch#344 / 558 · 38th pct
11.9rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Zavion ThomasLSUDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 84% simHank BeattyIllinois· 83% simAaron TurnerRice· 83% sim
Rush yards
93
Thomas
79
Beatty
98
Turner
Rush TDs
85
Thomas
85
Beatty
99
Turner
Fumbles lost
81
Thomas
81
Voisin
81
Beatty
81
Turner
Long catch
74
Thomas
78
Voisin
74
Beatty
65
Turner
Rec TDs
68
Thomas
68
Voisin
57
Beatty
68
Turner
Receptions
68
Thomas
95
Voisin
96
Beatty
92
Turner
Rec yards
58
Thomas
87
Voisin
91
Beatty
48
Turner
Yards / catch
38
Thomas
35
Voisin
42
Beatty
1
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to BJ Hawkins Jr.’s 2025 season.

BJ Hawkins Jr.

89%match

UAB · 2025

#2

Roderic Burns

North Texas · 2023

84%
#3

TJ Sheffield

Purdue · 2022

84%
#4

DeMeer Blankumsee

Toledo · 2022

83%
#5

Will Pauling

Wisconsin · 2024

82%

Matches BJ on

EPA / play (adj)
Yards / reception
Weight

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.

Joshua Harris

98%match

Furman · 2024

#2

Hunter Long

Boston College · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 18
97%
#3

Jake Bailey

SMU · 2024

97%
#4

Taylor Grimes

Incarnate Word · 2022

94%
#5

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

93%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Preston Fox's senior season at West Virginia (2023).

Preston Fox

83%match

West Virginia · 2023

#2

Cade McDonald

Miami (OH) · 2023

82%
#3

Yulkeith Brown

Tulane · 2024

77%
#4

Nate Mccollum

North Carolina · 2023

74%
#5

Roderic Burns

North Texas · 2023

73%

Matches Preston on

Weight
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Preston on

Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Kelly

Pass share

55.0%

443 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

62.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

365 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Brian Kelly
LSU
2023
Brian Kelly
LSU
2024
Brian Kelly
LSU
2025
Brian Kelly
LSU

Played his entire career under Brian Kelly.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWoodmere, LA
Height5'10"
Weight192 lb
Class4
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-SEC all_conference LSU | SEC AP
2024 All-SEC all_conference LSU | SEC AP

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 LSU WR4 #330 #363 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Mississippi State WR4 #994 #1261 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State WR4 #2821 #2564 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 LSU SEC WR 4 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA
2024 LSU SEC WR 4 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA
2023 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA
2022 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA