CFB Zeitgeist Score
74
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.
Zach Durfee
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
37 TACKLES · 4 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season
#233Rd 7 · Pick 17
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season
EDGE · WASHINGTON · BIG TEN
Zach Durfee
- 4
- #5
- 6-5 | 256 lb
- Dawson, MN
Heisman Heat
#8498
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Washington
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #233
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Sioux Falls -> Washington | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 7, Pick 17
#233 overall · Jacksonville
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Zach Durfee
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Zach Durfee
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 10g
37Tackles
5Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
5.2Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 37): needs 14.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 37): needs 21/game over remaining 3.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 0.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 3.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Zach Durfee is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Washington's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
37 80th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
4.0 97th
QBH
5 90th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 70-10vs UC Davis | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 59-24@ Washington State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 6-24vs Ohio State | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 7-24@ Michigan | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-25vs Illinois | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-13@ Wisconsin | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 5 tackles |
| Wk 12 | W 49-13vs Purdue | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-14@ UCLA | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-26vs Oregon | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 38-10vs Boise State | 5 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | |
| Total | 37 | 16 | 5.0 | 4.0 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Washington6-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2025Washington9-4HC: Jedd Fisch · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | 37 | 16 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Washington | 16 | 8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 53 | 24 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 2 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 37 | #1007/4942 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.0 | #553/4972 | 89th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 4.0 | #169/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 5 | #188/1878 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 16 | #1348/4584 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
74Solid starter
Elite: sacks (93rd). Strength: qb hurries (92nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Zach DurfeeWashingtonMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 76% simRay ConeyTulsa· 76% simOumar DiomandeUConn· 76% sim
Sacks
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Versatile End
Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.
EDGE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marcus Bragg’s 2021 season.
Marcus Bragg
88%match
#2
Amadou Fofana
87%
#3
Tavion Woodard
86%
#4
Brennan Jackson
NFL Rd 5
85%
#5
Cody Stufflebean
85%
Matches Marcus on
Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight
Differs from Marcus on
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Marcus Bragg's sophomore season at Western Kentucky (2021).
Marcus Bragg
94%match
#2
Tre Smith
All-Mountain West
91%
#3
Andre Jones
89%
#4
Cody Stufflebean
88%
#5
Seth Coleman
86%
Matches Marcus on
Class year
Height
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jedd Fisch
Pass share
44.9%
370 pass / 454 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
268 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jedd Fisch
Washington
2025
Jedd Fisch
Washington
Played his entire career under Jedd Fisch.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDawson, MN
Height6'5"
Weight256 lb
Class4
PositionEDGE
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWashington
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Washington | EDGE4 | #8498 | #8751 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Washington | EDGE4 | #6909 | #6518 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 256 lb | Dawson, MN |
| 2024 | Washington | Big Ten | EDGE | 4 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 256 lb | Dawson, MN |
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | EDGE | 4 | No. 5 | 6-5 | 256 lb | Dawson, MN |