cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Yasin Willis /Syracuse

Yasin Willis

RB · Syracuse · So · #6

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Yasin Willis arrives at Syracuse with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

553RUSH YDS4RUSH TD129CARRIES

PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP

+27

perception vs production percentile · 2025

Read the story so far

Yasin Willis arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for Syracuse.

On the field, the headline is 553 rush yds, with 4 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Lequint Allen (3-star).

The number to watch: +27 — produces above perception · pctl gap.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromLequint Allen 3★
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Syracuse → Kansas for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Kansas

2025Syracuse
2026Kansas

RB · SYRACUSE · ACC

Yasin Willis

  • 2
  • #6
  • 6-1 | 235 lb
  • Newark, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 60th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#868

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
1302024
5532025

+325%

Up 325% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#523 national
CFB
College
Syracuse
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey6
Measurements6-1 | 235 lb
HometownNewark, NJ
Primary teamSyracuse

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 523 recruit
Composite rating 0.8872 HighSchool
Signed with Syracuse 2024
Origin St Joseph Regional Montvale, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8872 No. 523 recruit | HighSchool | Syracuse

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kansas 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Syracuse -> Kansas 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#868Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#937Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (553).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Syracuse

Composite

0.8872

#523 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Yasin Willis

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Yasin Willis

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.190

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #17 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 75th

Why it matters

#17 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.190 EPA/carry on 132 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.190 (75th)

HIGH · n=132 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Rushing yards (total)#46 / 69
  • Yards per carry#58 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
553Rush yards
129Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
61.4Rush yards
14Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
798.8Rush yards
186Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 553): needs 49.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 553): needs 111.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 553): needs 236.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Yasin Willis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Syracuse, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #868 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 587 553 rush | 34 rec | #139/735 (81st pct)
Rush TD 4 129 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.3 Per-rush efficiency | #435/735 (41st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
129 87th
YDS
553 81st
YPC
4.3 41st
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
8 55th
YDS
34 40th
YPR
4.3 19th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 26-45@ Tennessee23914.03143 rushing TDs
Wk 2W 27-20vs UConn11484.4118
Wk 4W 34-21@ Clemson18945.2032Season-high 94 yds
Wk 5L 3-38vs Duke11635.7035
Wk 6L 18-31@ SMU15412.7013
Wk 8L 13-30vs Pittsburgh13161.206
Wk 9L 16-41@ Georgia Tech10767.6041
Wk 10L 10-27vs North Carolina15614.1010
Wk 11L 10-38@ Miami13634.8022
Total1295534.4441
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Syracuse10-3HC: Fran Brown · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Syracuse3-9HC: Fran Brown · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Syracuse1295534.34--
2024Syracuse361303.61--
Career2 loaded seasons1656834.15--
SeasonTeam
2025Syracuse8344.20--
2024Syracuse8263.20--
Career2 loaded seasons16603.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 8 34 rec yds | #248/552 (55th pct)
Usage 23.2% 46.8% rush share | #62/738 (92nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #67/362 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 553 #139/735 81st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #435/735 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 8 #248/552 55th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 34 #330/548 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #67/362 82nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 23.2% #62/738 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 129 #96/739 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 41 #225/733 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 11 #395/540 27th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.3 #447/548 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 46.8% #26/738 97th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 31.0% #29/738 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 26.4% #68/738 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 24.7% #49/738 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.9% #121/738 84th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.5% #323/738 56th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.2% #215/738 71st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g47.03.90.2
Road5g73.04.90.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g71.04.80.5
Losses7g58.74.30.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g67.44.40.8
Weeks 8+4g54.04.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

44Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (19th).

Carries#96 / 349 · 72nd pct
129rush
Rush yards#139 / 349 · 60th pct
553rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Long run#196 / 349 · 43rd pct
41rush
Receptions#225 / 338 · 32nd pct
8rece
Yards / carry#257 / 349 · 24th pct
4.3rush
Rec yards#272 / 338 · 19th pct
34rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.19High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Yasin WillisSyracuseChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 87% simTae MeadowsTroy· 87% simJordan GantAkron· 83% sim
Carries
72
Willis
92
Wright
84
Meadows
95
Gant
Rush yards
60
Willis
84
Wright
74
Meadows
90
Gant
Rush TDs
50
Willis
62
Wright
72
Meadows
72
Gant
Fumbles lost
49
Willis
49
Wright
49
Meadows
49
Gant
Long run
43
Willis
49
Wright
53
Meadows
35
Gant
Receptions
32
Willis
32
Wright
45
Meadows
35
Gant
Yards / carry
24
Willis
33
Wright
29
Meadows
45
Gant
Rec yards
19
Willis
10
Wright
38
Meadows
27
Gant

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tavion Thomas’s 2022 season.

Tavion Thomas

79%match

Utah · 2022

#2

Tyrion Davis-Price

LSU · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 29
78%
#3

Jakobi Buchanan

Army · 2020

67%
#4

Antwain Littleton II

Maryland · 2023

71%
#5

Jadan Baugh

Florida · 2024

71%

Matches Tavion on

EPA / carry (adj)
Height

Differs from Tavion on

Yards / reception (lower)
Class year (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.

Andrew Body

98%match

Alabama State · 2025

#2

Chuba Hubbard

Oklahoma State · 2020

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
98%
#3

Christopher Brown Jr.

California · 2021

92%
#4

Narii Gaither

Gardner-Webb · 2023

90%
#5

CJ Donaldson

Ohio State · 2025

90%

Matches Andrew on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Malachi Singleton's sophomore season at Purdue (2025).

Malachi Singleton

76%match

Purdue · 2025

#2

Tavion Thomas

Utah · 2022

73%
#3

Tyrion Davis-Price

LSU · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 29
72%
#4

Chaton Mobley

Middle Tennessee · 2021

69%
#5

Carson Smith

Army · 2025

65%

Matches Malachi on

Recruiting rating
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Fran Brown

Pass share

48.6%

408 pass / 432 run

Plays / game

70.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.2%

379 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Fran Brown
Syracuse
2025
Fran Brown
Syracuse

Played his entire career under Fran Brown.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNewark, NJ
Height6'1"
Weight235 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Syracuse RB2 #868 #937 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Syracuse ACC RB 2 No. 6 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Newark, NJ
2024 Syracuse ACC RB 2 No. 6 | 6-1 | 235 lb | Newark, NJ