CFB Zeitgeist Score
79
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 96th percentile.
Will Henderson III
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
866 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 125 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to UTSA for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · UTSA
Returning around him
- 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107
RB · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Will Henderson III
- 1
- #27
- 5-10 | 185 lb
- Gilmer, TX
Heisman Heat
#1878
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+821%
Up 821% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
UTSA
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8800 | No. 651 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UTSA
Composite
0.8800
#651 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Will Henderson III
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Will Henderson III
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
866Rush yards
125Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
66.6Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
866Rush yards
125Carries
6Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 866.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Will Henderson III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
125 86th
YDS
866 92nd
YPC
6.9 92nd
TD
6 89th
Receiving
REC
19 86th
YDS
132 79th
YPR
6.9 49th
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-42@ Texas A&M | 7 | 12 | 1.7 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | L 36-43vs Texas State | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 3 | W 48-20vs Incarnate Word | 11 | 33 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 4 | W 17-16@ Colorado State | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-27@ Temple | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 7 | W 61-13vs Rice | 5 | 115 | 23.0 | 2 | 57 | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-55@ North Texas | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 10 | W 48-26vs Tulane | 12 | 52 | 4.3 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 11 | L 23-55@ South Florida | 5 | 27 | 5.4 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-7@ Charlotte | 19 | 185 | 9.7 | 1 | 59 | Season-high 185 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 58-24vs East Carolina | 19 | 146 | 7.7 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-27vs Army | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 0 | 41 | |
| Bowl | W 57-20vs Florida International | 14 | 59 | 4.2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Total | 125 | 866 | 7.6 | 6 | 59 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 866 | #59/735 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 6 | #83/739 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.9 | #60/735 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 19 | #78/552 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 132 | #116/548 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #26/362 | 93rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 109 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.8% | #158/738 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 125 | #101/739 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 59 | #108/733 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 40 | #71/540 | 87th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.9 | #281/548 | 49th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 34 | #120/200 | 40th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 17.0 | #118/199 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 2 | #109/206 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 27.9% | #146/738 | 80th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 20.1% | #141/738 | 81st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 18.0% | #165/738 | 78th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.0% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.9% | #168/738 | 77th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.1% | #198/738 | 73rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.0% | #156/738 | 79th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 73.1 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
| Road6g | 59.0 | 6.2 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 87.6 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Losses6g | 42.2 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 47.6 | 7.0 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 88.8 | 8.3 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
79All-Conference
Elite: yards / carry (95th). Strength: rush yards (83rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.24Elite (≥p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Will Henderson IIIUTSABo JacksonOhio State· 90% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 88% simMichael WashingtonArkansas· 88% sim
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Long run
Carries
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dae Dae Hunter’s 2021 season.
Dae Dae Hunter
74%match
#2
Jamal Haynes
All-ACC
73%
#3
Raheem Blackshear
72%
#4
Sutton Smith
All-AACNFL Rd 6
71%
#5
T.J. Pledger
67%
Matches Dae on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Differs from Dae on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Jermar Jefferson’s path through Oregon State.
Jermar Jefferson
87%match
NFL Rd 7
#2
Duke Watson
80%
#3
Xavier White
80%
#4
Jamauri McClure
78%
#5
Jamarion Wilcox
77%
Matches Jermar on
Yards per carry
Recruiting rating
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jeremy Payne's sophomore season at TCU (2025).
Jeremy Payne
74%match
#2
Keaton Mitchell
All-AAC
72%
#3
J'Koby Williams
69%
#4
Dylan Riley
All-Mountain West
68%
#5
Dae Dae Hunter
66%
Matches Jeremy on
Weight
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Differs from Jeremy on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Traylor
Pass share
50.7%
446 pass / 434 run
Plays / game
67.7
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.0%
281 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGilmer, TX
Height5'10"
Weight185 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey27
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUTSA
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UTSA | RB1 | #1878 | #2607 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.