cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Will Hammond /Texas Tech

Will Hammond

QB · Texas Tech · Fr · #15

sonnet prose (cached)

668 PASS YDS · 7 PASS TD · 299 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Texas Tech

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 9 Texas Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (21 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas Tech · Last season: 12-2 (AP #4) · Talent rank #29 · 2026 recruiting class #48

QB · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Will Hammond

  • 1
  • #15
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Austin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1085

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +12aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 79th percentile of QBs; the tape says 67th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception79th pctl
Production — on-field67th pctl
n=24 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing
In Their Words 100 windows · 2025 fan posts
recovering×933.7sorsby×44.5tech×12.3last×10.0

“Will Hammond is really good, like he was guaranteed QB1 if not for that ACL tear last season. Fortunately, Hammond is recovering well and looks great”

reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#226 national
CFB
College
Texas Tech
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#16 in market · 3 books

+40002.4% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey15
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownAustin, TX
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 226 recruit
Composite rating 0.9173 HighSchool
Signed with Texas Tech 2024
Origin Hutto Hutto, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9173 No. 226 recruit | HighSchool | Texas Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1085Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#994Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas Tech

Composite

0.9173

#226 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Will Hammond

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

54

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 11 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 14 mentions · belief +70 · "Texas Tech faces a new low point as quarterback Brendan Sorsby’s abrupt exit and"Own fansRivals: 20 mentions · belief -11 · "Thi wouldn't never happen if will Hammond didn't get injured last yr with his ac"RivalsNational: 4 mentions · belief -50 · "It's clear that Joey Maguire and company don't have total faith in Will Hammonds"National
  • Own fans · n=14
  • Rivals · n=20
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Will Hammond

Obsession score 13
Rival mentions 20
Weeks on radar 5
Peak moment Week 0 · 10 mentions
Grudging respect 25% Neutral 40% Mockery 35%

2025 Signature · 2025 season

ESPN QBR (season average)

68.8

QBR

P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games

National rank #27 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 71st

Why it matters

#27 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 68.8 across 7 games.

Vs cohort

This player 68.8 (71th)

HIGH · n=7 cohort 92

  • Also strong
  • Third-down snap share#87 / 93

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
668Pass yards
7Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
83.5Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,086Pass yards
11Pass TDs
5INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 668): needs 466.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 668): needs 666.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 3.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 4.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 7): needs 5.6/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Will Hammond's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Texas Tech, he has 668 passing yards and 7 touchdown passes, but he also adds 299 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #1085 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 226 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 668 7 TD | 3 INT | #163/382 (58th pct)
Completion rate 63.0% 68/108 completions | #168/383 (56th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.2 Explosiveness through the air | #248/382 (35th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
68 60th
ATT
108 61st
CMP%
63.0% 56th
Y/A
6.2 35th

Passing Production

YDS
668 58th
TD
7 67th
INT
3 43rd

Rushing

CAR
43 65th
YDS
299 86th
YPC
7.0 91st
TD
5 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff7/9921010.298.0
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State7/1094109.496.0
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State3/52010.45.0
Wk 4W 34-10@ Utah13/161692010.696.3Season-high 169 yds
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston
Wk 7W 42-17vs Kansas7/1642012.669.0
Wk 8L 22-26@ Arizona State22/37167214.554.7
Wk 9W 42-0vs Oklahoma State9/15102106.862.7
Total68/108668736.468.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech6810863.0%6686.273130.8----
Career1 loaded season6810863.0%6686.273130.8----
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech432997.05--
Career1 loaded season432997.05--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 299 5 rush TD | #60/408 (86th pct)
Usage 23.2% 34.4% pass share | 12.6% rush share | #203/428 (53rd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.33 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #57/200 (72nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 668 #163/382 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 7 #135/407 67th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 68 #155/383 60th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 63.0% #168/383 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.2 #248/382 35th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 299 #60/408 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.33 #57/200 72nd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 106 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 23.2% #203/428 53rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 108 #158/407 61st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 3 #234/407 43rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 64 #14/391 97th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 43 #142/408 65th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 7.0 #36/407 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #59/408 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 34.4% #211/428 51st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 31.8% #200/428 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 31.6% #204/428 53rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.8% #200/428 54th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 19.5% #203/428 53rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 19.3% #206/428 52nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 12.6% #129/428 70th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.36 #22/140 85th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 43 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home5g66.40.65.90.4
Road3g1121.37.50.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins7g71.60.76.70.3
Losses1g1672.04.51.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g66.50.76.60.3
Weeks 8+2g1341.55.70.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

43Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (82nd). Concern: pass yards (11th).

Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Rush yards#54 / 183 · 71st pct
299rush
Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct
5rush
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Completion %#85 / 183 · 54th pct
63.0%pass
Pass TDs#135 / 183 · 25th pct
7pass
Yards / att#147 / 183 · 19th pct
6.2pass
Pass yards#162 / 183 · 12th pct
668pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

53/88 (60.2%) · 4 TD · 3 INT

Short

0–9 yds
60%of completions
32 comp5.1 yds avg1 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
34%of completions
18 comp14.8 yds avg1 TD

Deep

20+ yds
6%of completions
3 comp33.7 yds avg2 TD

Overall 60.2% completion on 88 attempts.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.330
56th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.33Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.36High (p75–p90) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Will HammondTexas TechAvery JohnsonKansas State· 71% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 69% simCade KlubnikClemson· 65% sim
Interceptions
82
Hammond
56
Johnson
44
Vattiato
56
Klubnik
Rush yards
71
Hammond
80
Johnson
27
Vattiato
42
Klubnik
Rush TDs
68
Hammond
81
Johnson
39
Vattiato
59
Klubnik
Fumbles lost
66
Hammond
66
Johnson
66
Vattiato
66
Klubnik
Completion %
54
Hammond
33
Johnson
41
Vattiato
73
Klubnik
Pass TDs
25
Hammond
72
Johnson
64
Vattiato
64
Klubnik
Yards / att
19
Hammond
46
Johnson
13
Vattiato
63
Klubnik
Pass yards
12
Hammond
61
Johnson
57
Vattiato
78
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Payton Thorne’s 2023 season.

Payton Thorne

61%match

Auburn · 2023

#2

Brennan Armstrong

NC State · 2023

58%
#3

Zeon Chriss

Louisiana · 2023

56%
#4

Grant Wells

Marshall · 2020

All-Conference USA
50%
#5

Ben Wooldridge

Louisiana · 2022

54%

Matches Payton on

TD rate

Differs from Payton on

Class year (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
INT rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tristan Gebbia’s path through Oregon State.

Tristan Gebbia

95%match

Oregon State · 2020

#2

Tony Muskett

Virginia · 2024

89%
#3

Derek Robertson

Monmouth · 2025

89%
#4

Jalon Jones

Charlotte · 2023

87%
#5

Cameran Brown

Georgia State · 2025

86%

Matches Tristan on

Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Lunch Winfield's sophomore season at Louisiana (2025).

Lunch Winfield

51%match

Louisiana · 2025

#2

Ethan Vasko

Coastal Carolina · 2023

51%
#3

Zeon Chriss

Louisiana · 2023

47%
#4

Austin Smith

Eastern Michigan · 2022

47%
#5

Lucas Johnson

San Diego State · 2021

44%

Matches Lunch on

Height

Differs from Lunch on

Rush usage (lower)
Weight (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Played his entire career under Joey McGuire.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAustin, TX
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech QB1 #1085 #994 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 1 No. 15 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Austin, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 QB 1 No. 15 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Austin, TX