cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Wesley Williams /Duke

Wesley Williams

DE · Duke · Jr · #97

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

43 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Jacksonville — Rd 4, Pick 19, #119 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

#119Rd 4 · Pick 19
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

DE · DUKE · ACC

Wesley Williams

  • 3
  • #97
  • 6-3 | 265 lb
  • Gainesville, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3887

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#888 national
CFB
College
Duke
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #119
Jacksonville &middot; 2026

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class3
Jersey97
Measurements6-3 | 265 lb
HometownGainesville, VA
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 888 recruit
Composite rating 0.8648 HighSchool
Signed with Duke 2022
Origin Battlefield Haymarket, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8648 No. 888 recruit | HighSchool | Duke

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3887Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4514Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Duke

Composite

0.8648

#888 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 4, Pick 19

#119 overall · Jacksonville

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Wesley Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Wesley Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
43Tackles
8Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
43Tackles
8Tackles for loss
2Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Wesley Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Duke's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 8.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3887 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 8.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 43 21 solo | #804/4942 (84th pct)
TFL 8.0 Backfield disruption | #198/4972 (96th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
43 84th
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
8.0 96th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
16 100th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-17vs Elon110.00.00
Wk 2L 19-45vs Illinois310.00.00
Wk 3L 27-34@ Tulane430.50.00
Wk 4W 45-33vs NC State301.50.50
Wk 5W 38-3@ Syracuse200.00.00
Wk 6W 45-21@ California943.51.50Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 8L 18-27vs Georgia Tech330.00.00
Wk 10W 46-45@ Clemson411.00.00
Wk 11L 34-37@ UConn440.00.00
Wk 12L 17-34vs Virginia100.00.00
Wk 13W 32-25@ North Carolina100.00.00
Wk 14W 49-32vs Wake Forest000.00.00
Wk 15W 27-20@ Virginia521.00.01
BowlW 42-39vs Arizona State320.50.00
Total43218.02.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Duke43218.02.01----
2024Duke472012.57.02----
2023Duke37106.51.51----
Career3 loaded seasons1275127.010.54----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 16 Quarterback hurries | #1/1878 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 43 #804/4942 84th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.0 #198/4972 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 16 #1/1878 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 21 #959/4584 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.00.30.10.0
Road7g4.10.90.20.1

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.10.80.20.1
Losses5g3.00.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.60.90.30.0
Weeks 8+7g2.60.30.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

74Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (92nd).

QB hurries#1 / 2975 · 100th pct
16defe
Tackles for loss#198 / 2975 · 93rd pct
8.0defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#804 / 2975 · 73rd pct
43defe
Solo tackles#959 / 2975 · 67th pct
21defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Wesley WilliamsDukeAmare CampbellPenn State· 83% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 82% simRay ConeyTulsa· 82% sim
QB hurries
100
Williams
88
Campbell
95
Fields
88
Coney
Tackles for loss
93
Williams
96
Campbell
87
Fields
90
Coney
Sacks
80
Williams
89
Campbell
63
Fields
80
Coney
Tackles
73
Williams
99
Campbell
98
Fields
100
Coney
Solo tackles
67
Williams
100
Campbell
96
Fields
93
Coney
Passes defended
48
Williams
48
Campbell
67
Fields
67
Coney
Forced fumbles
47
Williams
47
Campbell
47
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Pierce Oppong’s 2021 season.

Pierce Oppong

87%match

Northern Illinois · 2021

#2

Michael Reese

Duke · 2023

81%
#3

Dennard Flowers

Arkansas State · 2023

80%
#4

Shane Irwin

Boise State · 2021

80%
#5

Nick Tarburton

Penn State · 2021

80%

Matches Pierce on

Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to C.J. Madden's junior season at Purdue (2025).

C.J. Madden

84%match

Purdue · 2025

#2

Emmanuel Waller

South Alabama · 2025

82%
#3

Kieran Davis

East Carolina · 2025

81%
#4

Brenton Cox

Florida · 2022

80%
#5

Kobie McKinzie

Oklahoma · 2025

75%

Matches C.J. on

Class year
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2024
Manny Diaz
Duke
era →
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke

Coaching transition mid-career: Trooper Taylor → Manny Diaz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGainesville, VA
Height6'3"
Weight265 lb
Class3
PositionDE
Jersey97

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Duke DE3 #3887 #4514 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Duke DE3 #7916 #8422 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Duke DE3 #11069 #10867 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Duke ACC DE 3 No. 97 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Gainesville, VA
2024 Duke ACC DE 3 No. 97 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Gainesville, VA
2023 Duke ACC DE 3 No. 97 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Gainesville, VA
2022 Duke ACC DE 3 No. 97 | 6-3 | 265 lb | Gainesville, VA