cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Wayne Knight /James Madison

Wayne Knight

RB · James Madison · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,373 RUSH YDS · 9 RUSH TD · 207 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred James Madison → UCLA for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to UCLA

2025James Madison
2026UCLA

RB · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Wayne Knight

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-7 | 190 lb
  • Smyrna, DE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

93

Elite in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1374

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Aura tax +24aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 80th percentile of RBs; the tape says 57th — more hype than the tape.
Aura — fan perception80th pctl
Production — on-field57th pctl
n=8 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

James Madison · RB

2023

James Madison · RB

2025

James Madison · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
-8.02022
23.02023
1,3732025

-17262%

Sharp dropoff (-17262%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
James Madison
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-7 | 190 lb
HometownSmyrna, DE
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UCLA 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 James Madison -> UCLA 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1374Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1184Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1373 rushing yards — clears the 1,200-RB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (397).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Wayne Knight

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 6 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 6 mentions · belief +0 · "Why Wayne Knight Can Carry UCLA Football’s Offense &nbsp;&nbsp; Sports Illustrat"Own fansNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "[Source](https://www.on3.com/teams/smu-mustangs/news/jmu-wide-receiver-yamir-kni"National
  • Own fans · n=6
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Wayne Knight

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 14g
1,373Rush yards
207Carries
9Rush TDs
Per game
98.1Rush yards
15Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
1,373Rush yards
207Carries
9Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,373.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,373.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Wayne Knight is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,373 rushing yards, 40 catches, and 268 return yards for James Madison. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #1374 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 25.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,770 1,373 rush | 397 rec | #7/735 (99th pct)
Rush TD 9 207 carries | #43/739 (94th pct)
Yards/carry 6.6 Per-rush efficiency | #76/735 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
207 97th
YDS
1,373 99th
YPC
6.6 90th
TD
9 94th

Receiving

REC
40 99th
YDS
397 99th
YPR
9.9 77th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State78912.7159
Wk 2L 14-28@ Louisville5122.406
Wk 4W 31-13@ Liberty17895.2117
Wk 5W 35-10vs Georgia Southern191517.9140151-yard day
Wk 6W 14-7@ Georgia State13856.5122
Wk 7W 24-14vs Louisiana201115.6049
Wk 8W 63-27vs Old Dominion12746.2134
Wk 10W 52-20@ Texas State13483.7010
Wk 11W 35-23@ Marshall14876.2130
Wk 12W 58-10vs App State16945.9141
Wk 13W 24-20vs Washington State151268.4158
Wk 14W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina18854.7015
Wk 15W 31-14vs Troy2121210.1173Season-high 212 yds
BowlL 34-51@ Oregon171106.5049
Total20713736.6973
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022James Madison8-3HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2023James Madison11-2HC: Damian Wroblewski · Balanced
2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison2071,3736.69--
2023James Madison4235.80--
2022James Madison5-8-1.60--
Career3 loaded seasons2161,3886.49--
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison403979.91--
2023James Madison11111.00--
2022James Madison56312.60--
Career3 loaded seasons4647110.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 40 397 rec yds | #5/552 (99th pct)
Usage 25.4% 34.6% rush share | #45/738 (94th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.15 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #126/362 (65th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,373 #7/735 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 9 #43/739 94th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.6 #76/735 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 40 #5/552 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 397 #5/548 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.15 #126/362 65th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 199 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 25.4% #45/738 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 207 #25/739 97th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 73 #44/733 94th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 57 #32/540 94th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.9 #129/548 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Punt return yards 179 #3/27 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 89 #64/200 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 22.3 #50/199 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Punt returns 21 #1/29 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Punt return avg 8.5 #14/27 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 34.6% #92/738 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 29.9% #42/738 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 28.4% #49/738 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 27.2% #31/738 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 18.7% #24/738 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.4% #79/738 89th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 13.1% #6/738 99th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g1228.10.9
Road7g73.75.00.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins12g1046.90.8
Losses2g61.04.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g92.46.70.6
Weeks 8+7g1046.50.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

93Elite
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (98th). Strength: receptions (98th).

Rec yards#4 / 338 · 99th pct
397rece
Receptions#5 / 338 · 98th pct
40rece
Rush yards#7 / 349 · 98th pct
1373rush
Yards / carry#22 / 349 · 93rd pct
6.6rush
Carries#25 / 349 · 93rd pct
207rush
Long run#40 / 349 · 88th pct
73rush
Rush TDs#43 / 349 · 87th pct
9rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Wayne KnightJames MadisonJeremiyah LoveNotre Dame· 92% simNate SheppardDuke· 92% simChip TrayanumToledo· 89% sim
Rec yards
99
Knight
95
Love
96
Sheppard
87
Trayanum
Receptions
98
Knight
86
Love
97
Sheppard
79
Trayanum
Rush yards
98
Knight
98
Love
94
Sheppard
90
Trayanum
Yards / carry
93
Knight
96
Love
79
Sheppard
74
Trayanum
Carries
93
Knight
92
Love
93
Sheppard
90
Trayanum
Long run
88
Knight
99
Love
73
Sheppard
90
Trayanum
Rush TDs
87
Knight
99
Love
92
Sheppard
94
Trayanum
Fumbles lost
87
Knight
87
Love
87
Trayanum

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Badie’s 2021 season.

Tyler Badie

65%match

Missouri · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 6
#2

Raleek Brown

Arizona State · 2025

All-Big 12
64%
#3

Jamal Haynes

Georgia Tech · 2023

All-ACC
63%
#4

Ismail Mahdi

Arizona · 2025

62%
#5

Raheem Blackshear

Virginia Tech · 2021

61%

Matches Tyler on

Rush TD rate
Yards / carry

Differs from Tyler on

Yards / reception (higher)
Height (lower)
Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jahiem White’s path through West Virginia.

Jahiem White

94%match

West Virginia · 2025

#2

Seth Davis

Mississippi State · 2023

91%
#3

Jermar Jefferson

Oregon State · 2020

NFL Rd 7
91%
#4

Devon Achane

Texas A&M · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 21
84%
#5

Raleek Brown

Arizona State · 2025

All-Big 12
84%

Matches Jahiem on

Height
Weight
Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Raleek Brown's senior season at Arizona State (2025).

Raleek Brown

72%match

Arizona State · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Sutton Smith

Memphis · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 6
65%
#3

Evan Pryor

Cincinnati · 2025

60%
#4

OJ Arnold

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
59%
#5

Brashard Smith

SMU · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 7
58%

Matches Raleek on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Raleek on

Yards / reception (higher)
Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Curt Cignetti
James Madison
2023
Damian Wroblewski
James Madison
era →
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Curt Cignetti, Damian Wroblewski, and Bob Chesney. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSmyrna, DE
Height5'7"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference James Madison | Sun Belt AP
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 James Madison RB3 #1374 #1184 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 James Madison RB3 #1263 #1001 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 James Madison RB3 #2653 #2500 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt RB 3 No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE
2024 James Madison Sun Belt RB 3 No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE
2023 James Madison Sun Belt RB 3 No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE
2022 James Madison Sun Belt RB 3 No. 3 | 5-7 | 190 lb | Smyrna, DE