cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Vincent Anthony /Duke

Vincent Anthony

DE · Duke · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 7 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Duke for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Duke for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Duke

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30

DE · DUKE · ACC

Vincent Anthony

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-6 | 250 lb
  • Durham, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4038

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#297 national
CFB
College
Duke
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-6 | 250 lb
HometownDurham, NC
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 297 recruit
Composite rating 0.9018 HighSchool
Signed with Duke 2022
Origin C.E. Jordan Durham, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9018 No. 297 recruit | HighSchool | Duke

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4038Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4601Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Duke

Composite

0.9018

#297 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Vincent Anthony

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Vincent Anthony

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
34Tackles
13Tackles for loss
7Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Final
34Tackles
13Tackles for loss
7Sacks

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 7.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Vincent Anthony is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Duke's defense, with 7.0 sacks, 13.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4038 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 297 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 20 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 13.0 Backfield disruption | #42/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 7.0 Pass-rush finish | #39/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
20 78th
TFL
13.0 99th
SACK
7.0 99th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-17vs Elon632.01.01Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 2L 19-45vs Illinois322.52.502.5 sacks
Wk 3L 27-34@ Tulane321.01.00
Wk 4W 45-33vs NC State100.00.00
Wk 5W 38-3@ Syracuse221.00.00
Wk 6W 45-21@ California533.01.503.0 TFL
Wk 8L 18-27vs Georgia Tech200.50.00
Wk 10W 46-45@ Clemson420.50.00
Wk 11L 34-37@ UConn111.00.00
Wk 12L 17-34vs Virginia000.00.01
Wk 13W 32-25@ North Carolina320.00.00
Wk 14W 49-32vs Wake Forest210.50.00
Wk 15W 27-20@ Virginia221.01.00
Total342013.07.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Duke342013.07.02----
2024Duke25109.55.03----
2023Duke1784.02.01----
2022Duke24122.50.52----
Career4 loaded seasons1005029.014.58----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 13.0 #42/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 7.0 #39/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 20 #1029/4584 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.90.60.3
Road7g2.91.10.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g3.11.00.40.1
Losses5g1.81.00.70.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.31.61.00.2
Weeks 8+7g2.00.50.10.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

83All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (98th). Strength: sacks (98th).

Tackles for loss#42 / 2975 · 98th pct
13.0defe
Sacks#39 / 2975 · 98th pct
7.0defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1029 / 2975 · 64th pct
20defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Vincent AnthonyDukeRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 80% simJohn MillerUtah State· 79% simKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 79% sim
Tackles for loss
98
Anthony
100
Biles
96
Miller
99
Elliott
Sacks
98
Anthony
95
Biles
99
Miller
98
Elliott
QB hurries
88
Anthony
88
Biles
98
Miller
88
Elliott
Passes defended
67
Anthony
86
Biles
78
Miller
67
Elliott
Solo tackles
64
Anthony
91
Biles
92
Miller
98
Elliott
Tackles
61
Anthony
98
Biles
99
Miller
98
Elliott

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Rusher

Bends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Vincent Anthony’s 2024 season.

Vincent Anthony

92%match

Duke · 2024

#2

Malakai Williams

Boise State · 2025

77%
#3

Kenyatta Jackson

Ohio State · 2025

73%
#4

Braiden McGregor

Michigan · 2023

70%
#5

Niles King

San Diego State · 2025

69%

Matches Vincent on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Baron's senior season at Tennessee (2023).

Tyler Baron

85%match

Tennessee · 2023

NFL Rd 5
#2

Malakai Williams

Boise State · 2025

78%
#3

Kenyatta Jackson

Ohio State · 2025

78%
#4

Bradley Weaver

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
71%
#5

Max Llewellyn

Iowa · 2025

NFL Rd 7
70%

Matches Tyler on

Class year
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Mike Elko
Duke
2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
era →
2024
Manny Diaz
Duke
era →
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Elko, Trooper Taylor, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDurham, NC
Height6'6"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Duke DE4 #4038 #4601 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Duke DE4 #8068 #8470 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Duke DE4 #8837 #8997 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Duke ACC DE 4 No. 7 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Durham, NC
2024 Duke ACC DE 4 No. 7 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Durham, NC
2023 Duke ACC DE 4 No. 7 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Durham, NC
2022 Duke ACC DE 4 No. 7 | 6-6 | 250 lb | Durham, NC