cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler Moore /Iowa State

Tyler Moore

TE · Iowa State · Sr · #82

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

118 REC YDS · 7 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Iowa State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Iowa State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (48 in / 55 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa State · Last season: 8-4 (AP #22) · Talent rank #71 · 2026 recruiting class #54

TE · IOWA STATE · BIG 12

Tyler Moore

  • 4
  • #82
  • 6-5 | 255 lb
  • Des Moines, IA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1928

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
42.02022
25.02023
1182025

+181%

Up 181% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#553 national
CFB
College
Iowa State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey82
Measurements6-5 | 255 lb
HometownDes Moines, IA
Primary teamIowa State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 553 recruit
Composite rating 0.8774 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa State 2021
Origin Johnston Johnston, IA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8774 No. 553 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1928Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1649Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa State

Composite

0.8774

#553 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler Moore

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Iowa State hosts, offers 2028 prospect Titus Moore &nbsp;&nbsp; 247Sports"Own fansRivals: 1 mentions · belief -100 · "I genuinely don't know who you'd want to replace him, as far as I know there are"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=1
  • Rivals · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler Moore

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
118Rec yards
7Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
23.6Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
306.8Rec yards
18Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 118): needs 72.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 118): needs 110.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 7): needs 6.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 7): needs 9.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyler Moore's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1928 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 7 0 rec TD | #224/475 (53rd pct)
Receiving yards 118 16.9 per catch | #175/475 (63rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 118 Total offensive yardage | #175/475 (63rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
7 53rd
YDS
118 63rd
YPR
16.9 94th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 55-7vs South Dakota23316.5018
Wk 3W 24-16@ Arkansas State25829.0031Season-high 58 yds
Wk 9L 27-41vs BYU11212.0012
Wk 13W 38-14vs Kansas166.006
Wk 14W 20-13@ Oklahoma State199.009
Total711814.5031
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Iowa State4-8HC: Matt Campbell · Pass-leaning
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa State711816.90--
2023Iowa State4256.21--
2022Iowa State44210.50--
Career3 loaded seasons1518512.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.4% 9.5% pass-game share | #105/468 (78th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 7 #224/475 53rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 118 #175/475 63rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 16.9 #29/475 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 9.5% #105/468 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 31 #132/475 72nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 8.6% #41/468 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #50/468 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.0% #188/468 60th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.4% #181/468 62nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.6% #382/468 19th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.9% #388/468 17th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.317.011.50.0
Road2g1.533.519.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.526.515.10.0
Losses1g1.012.012.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g2.045.522.80.0
Weeks 8+3g1.09.09.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

29Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#3 / 175 · 99th pct
16.9rece
Long catch#105 / 175 · 41st pct
31rece
Rec yards#161 / 175 · 9th pct
118rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
7rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Tyler MooreIowa StateLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 53% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 51% simRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 49% sim
Yards / catch
99
Moore
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
71
Nowakowski
Long catch
41
Moore
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
69
Nowakowski
Rec yards
9
Moore
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
77
Nowakowski
Rec TDs
7
Moore
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
43
Nowakowski
Receptions
0
Moore
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
75
Nowakowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Campbell

Pass share

42.4%

345 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State

Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDes Moines, IA
Height6'5"
Weight255 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey82

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa State TE4 #1928 #1649 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Iowa State TE4 #2010 #1917 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Iowa State TE4 #2849 #3071 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Iowa State TE4 #3236 #3104 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa State Big 12 TE 4 No. 82 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Des Moines, IA
2024 Iowa State Big 12 TE 4 No. 82 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Des Moines, IA
2023 Iowa State Big 12 TE 4 No. 82 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Des Moines, IA
2022 Iowa State Big 12 TE 4 No. 82 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Des Moines, IA
2021 Iowa State Big 12 TE 4 No. 82 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Des Moines, IA