CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 93rd percentile.
Ty Simpson
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Ty Simpson is a cornerstone for Alabama — measured against the line he joined.
3,567PASS YDS28PASS TD93RUSH YDS
PASSING VALUE · WEPA
+0.44
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 501 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season
#13Rd 1 · Pick 13
Los Angeles2026 NFL rookie season
QB · ALABAMA · SEC
Ty Simpson
- 3
- #15
- 6-2 | 208 lb
- Martin, TN
Heisman Heat
#130
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
172 windows · 2025 fan posts
alabama×55.2simpson×902.6fsu×40.1shit×180.5rams×270.8theathletic×108.3drafted×49.2don×18.1
“Alabama QB Ty Simpson will declare for the 2026 NFL Draft, a source confirmed to @theathletic.com. Simpson threw for 3,567 yards and 28 TDs with 5 INT for the Crimson Tide this season.”
bluesky_curated · fan post, verbatim
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+10091%
Up 10091% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★★
CFB
College
Alabama
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 · #13
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 5-star | 0.9883 | No. 26 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3567 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3567).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★★
to Alabama
Composite
0.9883
#26 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 1, Pick 13
#13 overall · Los Angeles
Today’s Hot-Take
5.6 td : int ratio — #4 in a 72-QB cohort, 96th percentile in the modern era.
Anti-Take
EFFICIENCYEfficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.
The Room on Ty Simpson
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
57
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=108
- Rivals · n=4
- National · n=19
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ty Simpson
Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 2
Peak moment Week 0 · 3 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 100% Mockery 0%
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.440
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #10 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 84th
Why it matters
#10 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.440 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.440 (84th)
HIGH · n=501 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#11 / 57
- Total weighted-EPA passing#4 / 58
- TD : INT ratio#4 / 72
Signature Moment
Week 14 at Auburn — 31 ypc
Result W 27-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 31 yds at Auburn.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 15g
3,567Pass yards
28Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
237.8Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Final
3,567Pass yards
28Pass TDs
5INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,567.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 28.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ty Simpson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
305 98th
ATT
473 99th
CMP%
64.5% 63rd
Y/A
7.5 68th
Passing Production
YDS
3,567 97th
TD
28 97th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
90 85th
YDS
93 66th
YPC
1.0 26th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 15 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-31@ Florida State | 23/43 | 254 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 | 48.6 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 2 | W 73-0vs UL Monroe | 17/17 | 226 | 3 | 0 | 13.3 | 99.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 38-14vs Wisconsin | 24/29 | 382 | 4 | 0 | 13.2 | 89.7 | Season-high 382 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Georgia | 24/38 | 276 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 | 90.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 6 | W 30-14vs Vanderbilt | 23/31 | 340 | 2 | 1 | 11.0 | 80.1 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-24@ Missouri | 23/31 | 200 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 | 77.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 37-20vs Tennessee | 19/29 | 253 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 89.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 9 | W 29-22@ South Carolina | 24/43 | 253 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 | 77.9 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 11 | W 20-9vs LSU | 21/35 | 277 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 | 79.6 | |
| Wk 12 | L 21-23vs Oklahoma | 28/42 | 326 | 1 | 1 | 7.8 | 64.4 | |
| Wk 13 | W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois | 11/16 | 147 | 0 | 2 | 9.2 | 47.1 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-20@ Auburn | 19/35 | 122 | 3 | 0 | 3.5 | 76.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 15 | L 7-28vs Georgia | 19/39 | 212 | 1 | 1 | 5.4 | 19.9 | |
| Bowl | W 34-24@ Oklahoma | 18/29 | 232 | 2 | 0 | 8.0 | 80.8 | |
| Bowl | L 3-38@ Indiana | 12/16 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 60.6 | |
| Total | 305/473 | 3567 | 28 | 5 | 7.9 | 72.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,567 | #11/382 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 28 | #12/407 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 305 | #8/383 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.5% | #141/383 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.5 | #125/382 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 93 | #140/408 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.44 | #14/200 | 94th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 501 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 55.1% | #40/428 | 91st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 473 | #7/407 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 90 | #63/408 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 26 | #127/391 | 68th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.0 | #302/407 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.1% | #69/428 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 74.0% | #19/428 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 72.7% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 54.6% | #48/428 | 89th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 47.2% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 45.9% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.7% | #116/428 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.28 | #51/140 | 64th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 61 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 6 | #258/258 | 0th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 15 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 270 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 0.6 |
| Road7g | 201 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 246 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 0.3 |
| Losses4g | 215 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 247 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 227 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: pass yards (94th). Strength: pass tds (92nd). Concern: fumbles lost (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds43%of completions
72 comp5.3 yds avg9 TD
Middle
10–19 yds38%of completions
63 comp13.9 yds avg5 TD
Deep
20+ yds19%of completions
32 comp30.1 yds avg6 TD
Overall 66.5% completion on 251 attempts · 32 deep completions averaging 30.1 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.44High (p75–p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.28Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ty SimpsonAlabamaDarian MensahDuke· 85% simOwen McCownUTSA· 84% simKatin HouserEast Carolina· 79% sim
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Interceptions
Completion %
Yards / att
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Surgeon
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Shane Buechele’s 2020 season.
Shane Buechele
69%match
#2
Luke Altmyer
All-Big Ten
72%
#3
Brennan Armstrong
All-ACC
71%
#4
Tyler Johnston III
67%
#5
Kenny Pickett
Unitas Golden Arm1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
70%
Matches Shane on
Height
Rush yards / carry
INT rate
Differs from Shane on
TD rate (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bailey Zappe’s path through Western Kentucky.
Bailey Zappe
93%match
All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
#2
Eli Peters
90%
#3
Quinn Ewers
All-SECNFL Rd 7
84%
#4
Feleipe Franks
84%
#5
Kyle McCord
All-ACCNFL Rd 6
83%
Matches Bailey on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brady Cook's senior season at Missouri (2023).
Brady Cook
66%match
#2
Spencer Rattler
All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
59%
#3
Jordan Travis
All-ACCNFL Rd 5
58%
#4
Luke Altmyer
All-Big Ten
57%
#5
Graham Mertz
NFL Rd 6
55%
Matches Brady on
Yards / attempt
Differs from Brady on
Class year (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalen DeBoer
Pass share
53.4%
523 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
65.3
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
384 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024era →
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMartin, TN
Height6'2"
Weight208 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAlabama
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.